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This paper is concerned with inverse acoustic scattering problem of inferring the position and shape of a sound-soft obstacle from phaseless far-field data. We propose the Bayesian approach to recover sound-soft disks, line cracks and…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-07-28 Zhipeng Yang , Xinping Gui , Ju Ming , Guanghui Hu

We consider distributed estimation of a Gaussian source in a heterogenous bandwidth constrained sensor network, where the source is corrupted by independent multiplicative and additive observation noises, with incomplete statistical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-05-23 Alireza Sani , Azadeh Vosoughi

Max-value entropy search (MES) is one of the state-of-the-art approaches in Bayesian optimization (BO). In this paper, we propose a novel variant of MES for constrained problems, called Constrained MES via Information lower BOund…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Shion Takeno , Tomoyuki Tamura , Kazuki Shitara , Masayuki Karasuyama

Bayesian inference allows the transparent communication of uncertainty in material flow analyses (MFAs), and a systematic update of uncertainty as new data become available. However, the method is undermined by the difficultly of defining…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Jiayuan Dong , Jiankan Liao , Xun Huan , Daniel Cooper

Inverse scattering problems have many important applications. In this paper, given limited aperture data, we propose a Bayesian method for the inverse acoustic scattering to reconstruct the shape of an obstacle. The inverse problem is…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-05-30 Zhaoxiang Li , Zhiliang Deng , Jiguang Sun

We introduce the entropic measure transform (EMT) problem for a general process and prove the existence of a unique optimal measure characterizing the solution. The density process of the optimal measure is characterized using a…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-22 Renjie Wang , Cody Hyndman , Anastasis Kratsios

We consider the problem of robust optimization within the well-established Bayesian optimization (BO) framework. While BO is intrinsically robust to noisy evaluations of the objective function, standard approaches do not consider the case…

Low-rank matrix completion is a widely studied problem with many variants. Inductive matrix completion (IMC) incorporates row and column side information to significantly narrow the search space. Prior work falls into two regimes: methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 Yuepeng Yang , Cong Ma

Suppose that a compound Poisson process is observed discretely in time and assume that its jump distribution is supported on the set of natural numbers. In this paper we propose a non-parametric Bayesian approach to estimate the intensity…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-21 Shota Gugushvili , Ester Mariucci , Frank van der Meulen

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods remain the mainstay of Bayesian estimation of structural equation models (SEM), though they often incur a high computational cost. We present a bespoke approximate Bayesian approach to SEM, drawing on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Haziq Jamil , Håvard Rue

We develop an entropic framework to model the dynamics of stocks and European Options. Entropic inference is an inductive inference framework equipped with proper tools to handle situations where incomplete information is available. The…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2019-08-20 Mohammad Abedi , Daniel Bartolomeo

Problems of probabilistic inference and decision making under uncertainty commonly involve continuous random variables. Often these are discretized to a few points, to simplify assessments and computations. An alternative approximation is…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-03-08 William B. Poland , Ross D. Shachter

Various logit-adjusted parameterizations of the cross-entropy (CE) loss have been proposed as alternatives to weighted CE for training large models on label-imbalanced data far beyond the zero train error regime. The driving force behind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 Tina Behnia , Ganesh Ramachandra Kini , Vala Vakilian , Christos Thrampoulidis

The method of maximum entropy (ME) is extended to address the following problem: Once one accepts that the ME distribution is to be preferred over all others, the question is to what extent are distributions with lower entropy supposed to…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Ariel Caticha

A statistical model is said to be un-normalised when its likelihood function involves an intractable normalising constant. Two popular methods for parameter inference for these models are MC-MLE (Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation),…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-01 Lionel Riou-Durand , Nicolas Chopin

An evolutionary form of a generalized Bayesian update method, which is strictly derivative- free yet directed through an additive update term based purely on the statistical moments of the design variables, is proposed for nonlinear inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-17 M Venugopal , D Roy , R M Vasu

Many inference problems involve inferring the number $N$ of components in some region, along with their properties $\{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i=1}^N$, from a dataset $\mathcal{D}$. A common statistical example is finite mixture modelling. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-01-15 Brendon J. Brewer

Unknown constraints arise in many types of expensive black-box optimization problems. Several methods have been proposed recently for performing Bayesian optimization with constraints, based on the expected improvement (EI) heuristic.…

We propose a semiparametric Bayesian methodology for estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) within the potential outcomes framework using observational data with high-dimensional nuisance parameters. Our method introduces a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

The problem of pricing Bermudan options using Monte Carlo and a nonparametric regression is considered. We derive optimal non-asymptotic bounds for a lower biased estimate based on the suboptimal stopping rule constructed using some…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2009-08-03 Denis Belomestny