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This paper gives an arbitrage-free prediction for future prices of an arbitrary co-terminal set of options with a given maturity, based on the observed time series of these option prices. The statistical analysis of such a multi-dimensional…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-07-22 Petros Dellaportas , Aleksandar Mijatović

We propose a versatile Monte-Carlo method for pricing and hedging options when the market is incomplete, for an arbitrary risk criterion (chosen here to be the expected shortfall), for a large class of stochastic processes, and in the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Benoît Pochart , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We propose a new framework for modeling stochastic local volatility, with potential applications to modeling derivatives on interest rates, commodities, credit, equity, FX etc., as well as hybrid derivatives. Our model extends the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2013-03-29 Igor Halperin , Andrey Itkin

This paper analyses the implementation and calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model. We first explain how characteristic functions can be used to estimate option prices. Then we consider the implementation of the Heston model,…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2015-03-18 Ricardo Crisostomo

The fundamental theorem behind financial markets is that stock prices are intrinsically complex and stochastic. One of the complexities is the volatility associated with stock prices. Volatility is a tendency for prices to change…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-21 Leonard Mushunje , Maxwell Mashasha , Edina Chandiwana

We propose model-free (nonparametric) estimators of the volatility of volatility and leverage effect using high-frequency observations of short-dated options. At each point in time, we integrate available options into estimates of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-24 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

We explore credit risk pricing by modeling equity as a call option and debt as the difference between the firm's asset value and a put option, following the structural framework of the Merton model. Our approach proceeds in two stages:…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-06-17 Jagdish Gnawali , Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev

First, we show that implied normal volatility is intimately linked with the incomplete Gamma function. Then, we deduce an expansion on implied normal volatility in terms of the time-value of a European call option. Then, we formulate an…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2011-12-09 Cyril Grunspan

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

It has often been stated that, within the class of continuous stochastic volatility models calibrated to vanillas, the price of a VIX future is maximized by the Dupire local volatility model. In this article we prove that this statement is…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-10-15 Beatrice Acciaio , Julien Guyon

Model uncertainty is a type of inevitable financial risk. Mistakes on the choice of pricing model may cause great financial losses. In this paper we investigate financial markets with mean-volatility uncertainty. Models for stock markets…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2014-07-31 Yuhong Xu

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

The paper develops no arbitrage results for trajectory based models by imposing general constraints on the trading portfolios. The main condition imposed, in order to avoid arbitrage opportunities, is a local continuity requirement on the…

概率论 · 数学 2015-01-19 Alexander Alvarez , Sebastian Ferrando

We model the logarithm of the price (log-price) of a financial asset as a random variable obtained by projecting an operator stable random vector with a scaling index matrix $\underline{\underline{E}}$ onto a non-random vector. The scaling…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-26 Przemysław Repetowicz , Peter Richmond

We apply the concepts of utility based pricing and hedging of derivatives in stochastic volatility markets and introduce a new class of "reciprocal affine" models for which the indifference price and optimal hedge portfolio for pure…

概率论 · 数学 2008-12-02 M. R. Grasselli , T. R. Hurd

This study provides a consistent and efficient pricing method for both Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX) options and the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (VIX) options under a multiscale stochastic volatility model. To…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-24 Jaegi Jeon , Geonwoo Kim , Jeonggyu Huh

We propose a new model for the forecasting of both the implied volatility surfaces and the underlying asset price. In the spirit of Guyon and Lekeufack (2023) who are interested in the dependence of volatility indices (e.g. the VIX) on the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-10-15 Hervé Andrès , Alexandre Boumezoued , Benjamin Jourdain

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-12-24 Gifty Malhotra , R. Srivastava , H. C. Taneja

We derive a backward and forward nonlinear PDEs that govern the implied volatility of a contingent claim whenever the latter is well-defined. This would include at least any contingent claim written on a positive stock price whose payoff at…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-07-18 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin , Sasha Stoikov

We present a new numerical method to price vanilla options quickly in time-changed Brownian motion models. The method is based on rational function approximations of the Black-Scholes formula. Detailed numerical results are given for a…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2012-04-02 Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte