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Identifying causal relationships from observational time series data is a key problem in disciplines such as climate science or neuroscience, where experiments are often not possible. Data-driven causal inference is challenging since…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-03 Jakob Runge , Peer Nowack , Marlene Kretschmer , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

Finding interdependency relations between (possibly multivariate) time series provides valuable knowledge about the processes that generate the signals. Information theory sets a natural framework for non-parametric measures of several…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-02-09 German Gomez-Herrero , Wei Wu , Kalle Rutanen , Miguel C. Soriano , Gordon Pipa , Raul Vicente

Causal knowledge is vital for effective reasoning in science, as causal relations, unlike correlations, allow one to reason about the outcomes of interventions. Algorithms that can discover causal relations from observational data are based…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-12 Anish Dhir , Ciarán M. Lee

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

The relationship between statistical dependency and causality lies at the heart of all statistical approaches to causal inference. Recent results in the ChaLearn cause-effect pair challenge have shown that causal directionality can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-12-22 Gianluca Bontempi , Maxime Flauder

Discovering causal relationships in complex multivariate time series is a fundamental scientific challenge. Traditional methods often falter, either by relying on restrictive linear assumptions or on conditional independence tests that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Gian Marco Paldino , Gianluca Bontempi

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of…

Discovering causal relationships between different variables from time series data has been a long-standing challenge for many domains such as climate science, finance, and healthcare. Given the complexity of real-world relationships and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-27 Wenbo Gong , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Nick Pawlowski

Causal relationships play a fundamental role in understanding the world around us. The ability to identify and understand cause-effect relationships is critical to making informed decisions, predicting outcomes, and developing effective…

Discovery of causal relations is fundamental for understanding the dynamics of complex systems. While causal interactions are well defined for acyclic systems that can be separated into causally effective subsystems, a mathematical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Daniel Harnack , Erik Laminski , Klaus Richard Pawelzik

Chaotic systems can be synchronized by linking them to a common signal, subject to certain conditions. However, the presence of multiple driving signals coming from different systems, give rise to novel behavior. The particular case of…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha

The concept of distance covariance/correlation was introduced recently to characterize dependence among vectors of random variables. We review some statistical aspects of distance covariance/correlation function and we demonstrate its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Dominic Edelmann , Konstantinos Fokianos , Maria Pitsillou

Causality defines the relationship between cause and effect. In multivariate time series field, this notion allows to characterize the links between several time series considering temporal lags. These phenomena are particularly important…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Antonin Arsac , Aurore Lomet , Jean-Philippe Poli

We present a constraint-based algorithm for learning causal structures from observational time-series data, in the presence of latent confounders. We assume a discrete-time, stationary structural vector autoregressive process, with both…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-06-02 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Shami Nisimov , Yaniv Gurwicz , Gal Novik

Most of the metrics used for detecting a causal relationship among multiple time series ignore the effects of practical measurement impairments, such as finite sample effects, undersampling and measurement noise. It has been shown that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-03 Rahul Devendra , Ribhu Chopra , Kumar Appaiah

We consider the effect of temporal aggregation on instantaneous (non-temporal) causal discovery in general setting. This is motivated by the observation that the true causal time lag is often considerably shorter than the observational…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-11 Shunxing Fan , Mingming Gong , Kun Zhang

Measures of linear dependence (coherence) and nonlinear dependence (phase synchronization) between any number of multivariate time series are defined. The measures are expressed as the sum of lagged dependence and instantaneous dependence.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-11-12 Roberto D. Pascual-Marqui

We consider the problem of inferring causal relationships between two or more passively observed variables. While the problem of such causal discovery has been extensively studied especially in the bivariate setting, the majority of current…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-22 Ricardo Pio Monti , Kun Zhang , Aapo Hyvarinen

We propose a method that infers whether linear relations between two high-dimensional variables X and Y are due to a causal influence from X to Y or from Y to X. The earlier proposed so-called Trace Method is extended to the regime where…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-02-20 Jakob Zscheischler , Dominik Janzing , Kun Zhang
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