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Mortgages account for the largest portion of household debt in the United States, totaling around \$12 trillion nationwide. In times of financial hardship, alleviating mortgage burdens is essential for supporting affected households. The…

In this paper, we investigate the impact of mortgage rates on home prices, and how the impact may be used to help property purchase discussions at individual buyer level and to adjust home price indices across time. A mortgage-rate-adjusted…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-07-08 Honggao Cao

Prepayment risk embedded in fixed-rate mortgages forms a significant fraction of a financial institution's exposure. The embedded prepayment option bears the same interest rate risk as an exotic interest rate swap with a suitable stochastic…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-07-14 Leonardo Perotti , Lech A. Grzelak , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

In this paper, we use machine learning techniques to explore the H-1B application dataset disclosed by the Department of Labor (DOL), from 2008 to 2018, in order to provide more stylized facts of the international workers in US labor…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-25 Barry Ke , Angela Qiao

The COVID-19 recession threatens mass housing insecurity that undermines economic recovery. Unprecedented federal policy responses halt court-ordered evictions, but questions remain whether policies adequately account for dynamics that…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-06-28 Katherine Marcal , Patrick J. Fowler , Peter S. Hovmand

We develop a deep learning model of multi-period mortgage risk and use it to analyze an unprecedented dataset of origination and monthly performance records for over 120 million mortgages originated across the US between 1995 and 2014. Our…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-03-13 Justin Sirignano , Apaar Sadhwani , Kay Giesecke

This study investigates the impact of increased debt servicing costs on household consumption resulting from monetary policy tightening. It utilizes observational panel microdata on all mortgage holders in Israel and leverages…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-10-04 Itamar Caspi , Nadav Eshel , Nimrod Segev

This paper investigates gaps in access to and the cost of housing credit by race and ethnicity using the near universe of U.S. mortgage applications. Our data contain borrower creditworthiness variables that have historically been absent…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-03 Sean Lewis-Faupel , Nicholas Tenev

Prior literature has argued that flood insurance maps may not capture the extent of flood risk. This paper performs a granular assessment of coastal flood risk in the mortgage market by using physical simulations of hurricane storm surge…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-11 Amine Ouazad

In general, homeowners refinance in response to a decrease in interest rates, as their borrowing costs are lowered. However, it is worth investigating the effects of refinancing after taking the underlying costs into consideration. Here we…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi , Cheng Su

Geographic constraints have long structured access to high-growth career opportunities, concentrating upward mobility within a limited set of cities and organizations. The expansion of remote work potentially alters this opportunity…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-05-05 Yunhan Zheng , Jinhua Zhao

Mortgage prepayments play a crucial role in the pricing and hedging of mortgage backed securities. An important feature of mortgage prepayment modeling is burnout; as time goes on those borrowers who have the greatest tendency to refinance…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Mark B. Wise , Vineer Bhansali

The recent rise of sub-national minimum wage (MW) policies in the US has resulted in significant dispersion of MW levels within urban areas. In this paper, we study the spillover effects of these policies on local rental markets through…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-28 Gabriele Borg , Diego Gentile Passaro , Santiago Hermo

We study the effect of localized housing price hikes on renters' mobility, consumption, and credit outcomes. Consistent with a spatial equilibrium model, we find that the consumption responses vary greatly for movers and stayers. While…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-10 Giacomo De Giorgi , Enrico Moretti , Harrison Wheeler

Immigration is often blamed for increasing unemployment among local workers. This sentiment is reflected in the rise of anti-immigration parties and policies in Western democracies. And in fact, numerous studies estimate that in the short…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-12-11 Pascal Michaillat

Internal migration is an essential aspect to study labor mobility. I exploit the German statutory minimum wage introduction in 2015 to estimate its push and pull effects on internal migration using a 2% sample of administrative data. In a…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-01 Alexander Moog

Climate-driven flood risk increasingly necessitates managed retreat through government buyout programmes, yet empirical evidence documents substantial racial and economic disparities in programme implementation. Here we develop a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-03-02 Yuqun Zhou

We develop a stochastic free-boundary model of housing tenure decisions in markets with high mobility risk, such as areas near military installations. Housing prices and rents follow correlated diffusion processes, and households face an…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-04-20 Hui Wu

Homelessness in American cities is becoming an ever more prominent issue, but its causes remain contested, ranging from mental health and substance abuse to housing affordability and local labor markets. To shed light on this issue, I…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-06 Richard Yun

This paper explores integration and contagion among US metropolitan housing markets. The analysis applies Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) house price repeat sales indexes from 384 metropolitan areas to estimate a multi-factor model of…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2011-10-20 John Cotter , Stuart Gabriel , Richard Roll
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