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Causal inference is difficult in the presence of unobserved confounders. We introduce the instrumented common confounding (ICC) approach to (nonparametrically) identify causal effects with instruments, which are exogenous only conditional…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-09-20 Christian Tien

This paper analyzes the effect of a discrete treatment Z on a duration T. The treatment is not randomly assigned. The confounding issue is treated using a discrete instrumental variable explaining the treatment and independent of the error…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-23 Jad Beyhum , Jean-Pierre FLorens , Ingrid Van Keilegom

We are interested in the estimation of average treatment effects based on right-censored data of an observational study. We focus on causal inference of differences between t-year absolute event risks in a situation with competing risks. We…

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

Many proposals for the identification of causal effects require an instrumental variable that satisfies strong, untestable unconfoundedness and exclusion restriction assumptions. In this paper, we show how one can potentially identify…

Instrumental variable methods have been widely used to identify causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding. A key identification condition known as the exclusion restriction states that the instrument cannot have a direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-08-05 Baoluo Sun , Yifan Cui , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

This paper focuses on drawing inference on the causal impact of an intervention at a specific time point, as manifested in an outcome variable over time. We operate on the interrupted time series framework and expand on approaches such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-07 Gianluca Giudice , Sara Geneletti , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Causal effect moderation investigates how the effect of interventions (or treatments) on outcome variables changes based on observed characteristics of individuals, known as potential effect moderators. With advances in data collection,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Soham Bakshi , Walter Dempsey , Snigdha Panigrahi

We propose a semiparametric data fusion framework for efficient inference on survival probabilities by integrating right-censored and current status data. Existing data fusion methods focus largely on fusing right-censored data only, while…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-15 Xiudi Li , Sijia Li

In studies of time-to-event outcomes with unmeasured heterogeneity, the hazard ratio for treatment is known to have a complex causal interpretation. Accelerated failure time (AFT) models, which assess the effect on the survival time ratio…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Mari Brathovde , Hein Putter , Morten Valberg , Richard A. J. Post

N-of-1 experiments, where a unit serves as its own control and treatment in different time windows, have been used in certain medical contexts for decades. However, due to effects that accumulate over long time windows and interventions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-25 Tengyuan Liang , Benjamin Recht

Instrumental variable methods are among the most commonly used causal inference approaches to deal with unmeasured confounders in observational studies. The presence of invalid instruments is the primary concern for practical applications,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-18 Zijian Guo

Causal inference relies on the untestable assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Sensitivity analysis can be used to quantify the impact of unmeasured confounding on causal estimates. Among sensitivity analysis methods proposed in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Yushu Zou , Liangyuan Hu , Amanda Ricciuto , Mark Deneau , Kuan Liu

Instrumental variables have been widely used to estimate the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome. Existing confidence intervals for causal effects based on instrumental variables assume that all of the putative instrumental variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-14 Hyunseung Kang , T. Tony Cai , Dylan S. Small

In a nonparametric instrumental regression model, we strengthen the conventional moment independence assumption towards full statistical independence between instrument and error term. This allows us to prove identification results and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-06-13 Isaac Loh

This paper proposes methods of estimation and uniform inference for a general class of causal functions, such as the conditional average treatment effects and the continuous treatment effects, under multiway clustering. The causal function…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Nan Liu , Yanbo Liu , Yuya Sasaki

Learning causal relationships between pairs of complex traits from observational studies is of great interest across various scientific domains. However, most existing methods assume the absence of unmeasured confounding and restrict causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Wei Li , Rui Duan , Sai Li

This dissertation focuses on modern causal inference under uncertainty and data restrictions, with applications to neoadjuvant clinical trials, distributed data networks, and robust individualized decision making. In the first project, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Xiaoqing Tan

In longitudinal studies where units are embedded in space or a social network, interference may arise, meaning that a unit's outcome can depend on treatment histories of others. The presence of interference poses significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Ye Wang , Michael Jetsupphasuk

In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered in the literature in several papers, each relying on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Benjamin R. Baer , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman