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Remarkable progress has been made in difference-in-differences (DID) approaches to causal inference that estimate the average effect of a treatment on the treated (ATT). Of these, the semiparametric DID (SDID) approach incorporates a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-09 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

In real-world healthcare settings, treatment decisions often involve optimizing for multivariate outcomes such as treatment efficacy and severity of side effects based on individual preferences. However, existing statistical methods for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Joshua P. Zitovsky , Yating Zou , Leslie Wilson , Michael R. Kosorok

For observational studies, we study the sensitivity of causal inference when treatment assignments may depend on unobserved confounders. We develop a loss minimization approach for estimating bounds on the conditional average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-11 Steve Yadlowsky , Hongseok Namkoong , Sanjay Basu , John Duchi , Lu Tian

We consider the problem of estimating a dose-response curve. Continuous treatments arise often in practice, e.g. in the form of time spent on an operation, distance traveled to a location or dosage of a drug. Letting $A$ denote a continuous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Matteo Bonvini , Edward H. Kennedy

Matching and weighting methods for observational studies involve the choice of an estimand, the causal effect with reference to a specific target population. Commonly used estimands include the average treatment effect in the treated (ATT),…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-12 Noah Greifer , Elizabeth A. Stuart

Bias is a common problem inherent in recommender systems, which is entangled with users' preferences and poses a great challenge to unbiased learning. For debiasing tasks, the doubly robust (DR) method and its variants show superior…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2023-03-03 Haoxuan Li , Yan Lyu , Chunyuan Zheng , Peng Wu

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) for survival outcomes has gained increasing attention, as it captures the variation in treatment efficacy across patients or subgroups in delaying disease progression. However, most existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-27 Na Bo , Ying Ding

We introduce a new preference-based framework for conditional treatment effect estimation and policy learning, built on the Conditional Preference-based Treatment Effect (CPTE). CPTE requires only that outcomes be ranked under a preference…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Dovid Parnas , Mathieu Even , Julie Josse , Uri Shalit

In this paper, we develop a multiply robust inference procedure of the average treatment effect (ATE) for data with high-dimensional covariates. We consider the case where it is difficult to correctly specify a single parametric model for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Xintao Xia , Yumou Qiu

We propose a doubly robust approach to characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity in observational studies. We develop a frequentist inferential procedure that utilizes posterior distributions for both the propensity score and outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-21 Heejun Shin , Joseph Antonelli

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) and diabetic macular edema (DME) are leading causes of permanent blindness worldwide. Designing an automatic grading system with good generalization ability for DR and DME is vital in clinical practice. However,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-28 Haoxuan Che , Haibo Jin , Hao Chen

We propose a double robust Bayesian inference procedure on the average treatment effect (ATE) under unconfoundedness. For our new Bayesian approach, we first adjust the prior distributions of the conditional mean functions, and then correct…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-02-26 Christoph Breunig , Ruixuan Liu , Zhengfei Yu

Mean-based estimators of causal effects in randomized experiments may behave poorly if the potential outcomes have a heavy tail or contain outliers. An alternative estimator proposed by Rosenbaum (1993) estimates a constant additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-09 Aditya Ghosh , Nabarun Deb , Bikram Karmakar , Bodhisattva Sen

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-18 Saksham Jain , Alex Luedtke

Motivated by conflicting conclusions regarding hydrocortisone's treatment effect on ICU patients with vasopressor-dependent septic shock, we developed a novel instrumental variable (IV) estimator to assess the average treatment effect (ATE)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-18 Runjia Li , Victor B. Talisa , Chung-Chou H. Chang

The average treatment effect (ATE) is commonly used to quantify the main effect of a binary treatment on an outcome. Extensions to continuous treatments are usually based on the dose-response curve or shift interventions, but both require…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-02 Oliver J. Hines , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Stijn Vansteelandt

Reinforcement learning algorithms based on Q-learning are driving Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) research towards solving complex problems and achieving super-human performance on many of them. Nevertheless, Q-Learning is known to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-14 Andrea Cini , Carlo D'Eramo , Jan Peters , Cesare Alippi

When estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, missing outcome data can complicate treatment effect estimation, causing certain subgroups of the population to be poorly represented. In this work, we discuss this commonly overlooked…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-15 Matthew Pryce , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Ruth H. Keogh , Stijn Vansteelandt

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-01-20 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li , Fred Zhang

This study designs an adaptive experiment for efficiently estimating average treatment effects (ATEs). In each round of our adaptive experiment, an experimenter sequentially samples an experimental unit, assigns a treatment, and observes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Masahiro Kato , Akihiro Oga , Wataru Komatsubara , Ryo Inokuchi