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This paper considers the identification of treatment effects on conditional transition probabilities. We show that even under random assignment only the instantaneous average treatment effect is point identified. Since treated and control…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2017-09-27 Johan Vikström , Geert Ridder , Martin Weidner

When resources are scarce, an allocation policy is needed to decide who receives a resource. This problem occurs, for instance, when allocating scarce medical resources and is often solved using modern ML methods. This paper introduces…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Niclas Boehmer , Yash Nair , Sanket Shah , Lucas Janson , Aparna Taneja , Milind Tambe

Proper management of resources whose arrival and consumption are subject to environmental randomness is an intrinsic process in both natural and artificial systems. This phenomenon can be modeled as a queuing process whose arrival…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-18 José Giral-Barajas , Paul C. Bressloff

The treatment assignment mechanism in a randomized clinical trial can be optimized for statistical efficiency within a specified class of randomization mechanisms. Optimal designs of this type have been characterized in terms of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Wei Zhang , Zhiwei Zhang , Aiyi Liu

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity has become an increasingly popular task in various fields, as it helps design personalized advertisements in e-commerce or targeted treatment in biomedical studies. However, most of the existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-12 Waverly Wei , Xinwei Ma , Jingshen Wang

I propose a treatment selection model that introduces unobserved heterogeneity in both choice sets and preferences to evaluate the average effects of a program offer. I show how to exploit the model structure to define parameters capturing…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-01 Vishal Kamat

Estimating the effects of interventions in networks is complicated when the units are interacting, such that the outcomes for one unit may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of many or all other units (i.e., there is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Dean Eckles , Brian Karrer , Johan Ugander

Consider a setting in which a policy maker assigns subjects to treatments, observing each outcome before the next subject arrives. Initially, it is unknown which treatment is best, but the sequential nature of the problem permits learning…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-08-13 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for comparing the effectiveness of a new treatment to the current one (the control). Most RCTs allocate the patients to the treatment group and the control group by uniform…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-22 Onur Atan , William R. Zame , Mihaela van der Schaar

The performance of Emergency Departments (EDs) is of great importance for any health care system, as they serve as the entry point for many patients. However, among other factors, the variability of patient acuity levels and corresponding…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-09 Nikolaus Furian , Michael O'Sullivan , Cameron Walker , Melanie Reuter-Oppermann

Recent developments in sequential experimental design look to construct a policy that can efficiently navigate the design space, in a way that maximises the expected information gain. Whilst there is work on achieving tractable policies for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Yasir Zubayr Barlas , Kizito Salako

This paper shows how to use a randomized saturation experimental design to identify and estimate causal effects in the presence of spillovers--one person's treatment may affect another's outcome--and one-sided non-compliance--subjects can…

Educational research often studies subjects that are in naturally clustered groups of classrooms or schools. When designing a randomized experiment to evaluate an intervention directed at teachers, but with effects on teachers and their…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-17 Brenda Jenney , Sharon Lohr

Public sector agencies perform the critical task of implementing the redistributive role of the State by acting as the leading provider of critical public services that many rely on. In recent years, public agencies have been increasingly…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2026-05-06 Erina Seh-Young Moon , Shion Guha

We consider the following comparative effectiveness scenario. There are two treatments for a particular medical condition: a randomized experiment has demonstrated mediocre effectiveness for the first treatment, while a non-randomized study…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-23 Brian Knaeble , Erich Kummerfeld

The presence of interference, where the outcome of an individual may depend on the treatment assignment and behavior of neighboring nodes, can lead to biased causal effect estimation. Current approaches to network experiment design focus on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-22 Zahra Fatemi , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Elena Zheleva

Hierarchical random effect models are used for different purposes in clinical research and other areas. In general, the main focus is on population parameters related to the expected treatment effects or group differences among all units of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-04-07 Maryna Prus , Norbert Benda , Rainer Schwabe

Many public health interventions are conducted in settings where individuals are connected to one another and the intervention assigned to randomly selected individuals may spill over to other individuals they are connected to. In these…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Junhan Fang , Donna Spiegelman , Ashley Buchanan , Laura Forastiere

In non-network settings, encouragement designs have been widely used to analyze causal effects of a treatment, policy, or intervention on an outcome of interest when randomizing the treatment was considered impractical or when compliance to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-16 Hyunseung Kang , Guido Imbens

Demand response is designed to motivate electricity customers to modify their loads at critical time periods. The accurate estimation of impact of demand response signals to customers' consumption is central to any successful program. In…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-03 Pan Li , Baosen Zhang