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In this work we present a rigorous application of the Expectation Maximization algorithm to determine the marginal distributions and the dependence structure in a Gaussian copula model with missing data. We further show how to circumvent a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-17 Maximilian Kertel , Markus Pauly

Vine pair-copula constructions exist for a mix of continuous and ordinal variables. In some steps, this can involve estimating a bivariate copula for a pair of mixed continuous-ordinal variables. To assess the adequacy of copula fits for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-13 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe

Classical models for multivariate or spatial extremes are mainly based upon the asymptotically justified max-stable or generalized Pareto processes. These models are suitable when asymptotic dependence is present, i.e., the joint tail…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-13 Zhongwei Zhang , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

In this work, we propose a non-iterative Gaussian transformation strategy based on copula function, which doesn't require some commonly seen restrictive assumptions in the previous studies such as the elliptically symmetric distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Rongxiang Rui , Maozai Tian

We investigate the validity of two resampling techniques when carrying out inference on the underlying unknown copula using a recently proposed class of smooth, possibly data-adaptive nonparametric estimators that contains empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-16 Ivan Kojadinovic , Bingqing Yi

The predictions of mean-field electrodynamics can now be probed using direct numerical simulations of random flows and magnetic fields. When modelling astrophysical MHD, it is important to verify that such simulations are in agreement with…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-09-12 Irina Makarenko , Paul Bushby , Andrew Fletcher , Robin Henderson , Nikolay Makarenko , Anvar Shukurov

Modeling of high order multivariate probability distribution is a difficult problem which occurs in many fields. Copula approach is a good choice for this purpose, but the curse of dimensionality still remains a problem. In this paper we…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-09-16 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

This study was sparked by an extensive longitudinal dataset focusing on HIV CD4 T$^+$ cell counts from Livingstone district, Zambia. Analysis of the corresponding histogram plots reveals an absence of symmetry in the marginal distributions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-28 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Many types of bounded data defined on the unit interval arise naturally as ratios of the form $X/(X + Y)$. In the existing literature, the main statistical models proposed for this type of bounded data typically based on the assumption that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino , Marcelo Bourguignon

In recent years, conditional copulas, that allow dependence between variables to vary according to the values of one or more covariates, have attracted increasing attention. In high dimension, vine copulas offer greater flexibility compared…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-24 Rosario Barone , Luciana Dalla Valle

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

In this paper we present an application of the use of autocopulas for modelling financial time series showing serial dependencies that are not necessarily linear. The approach presented here is semi-parametric in that it is characterized by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2015-07-20 Antony Ware , Ilnaz Asadzadeh

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

This paper investigates Gaussian copula mixture models (GCMM), which are an extension of Gaussian mixture models (GMM) that incorporate copula concepts. The paper presents the mathematical definition of GCMM and explores the properties of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-25 Ke Wan , Alain Kornhauser

In this paper, we develop a method to model and estimate several, _dependent_ count processes, using granular data. Specifically, we develop a multivariate Cox process with shot noise intensities to jointly model the arrival process of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-08-19 Benjamin Avanzi , Gregory Clive Taylor , Bernard Wong , Xinda Yang

A new index based on empirical copulas, termed the Copula Statistic (CoS), is introduced for assessing the strength of multivariate dependence and for testing statistical independence. New properties of the copulas are proved. They allow us…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-12-22 Mohsen Ben Hassine , Lamine Mili , Kiran Karra

Irregular multivariate time series forecasting is critical in many real-world applications, where time series are irregularly sampled and exhibit dynamically evolving missingness patterns. Although existing methods perform well in offline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Haonan Wen , Hanyang Chen , Songhe Feng

Copula models are flexible tools to represent complex structures of dependence for multivariate random variables. According to Sklar's theorem (Sklar, 1959), any d-dimensional absolutely continuous density can be uniquely represented as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Clara Grazian , Luciana Dalla Valle , Brunero Liseo

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

We introduce an extended d-variate Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern (FGM) copula that incorporates additional parameters based on Legendre polynomials to enhance the representation of multivariate dependence structures. Within an i.i.d. framework,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-10 Mous-Abou Hamadou , Martial Longla
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