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Power systems face increasing challenges in maintaining resource adequacy due to lower operating margins, rising renewable energy uncertainty, and demand variability. Forecasting the probability distribution of peak demand on shorter…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-28 Buyi Yu , Wenyuan Tang

In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry. An understanding of peak magnitude and timing is paramount for the implementation of smart…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Yvenn Amara-Ouali , Matteo Fasiolo , Yannig Goude , Hui Yan

Fine-grained urban flow inference is crucial for urban planning and intelligent transportation systems, enabling precise traffic management and resource allocation. However, the practical deployment of existing methods is hindered by two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Yuanshao Zhu , Xiangyu Zhao , Zijian Zhang , Xuetao Wei , James Jianqiao Yu

While recent advances in machine learning have equipped Weather Foundation Models (WFMs) with substantial generalization capabilities across diverse downstream tasks, the escalating computational requirements associated with their expanding…

Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-19 Elena Giacomazzi , Felix Haag , Konstantin Hopf

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Accurate and reliable electricity load forecasts are becoming increasingly important as the share of intermittent resources in the system increases. Distribution System Operators (DSOs) are called to accurately forecast their production and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-11 Pål Forr Austnes , Celia García-Pareja , Fabio Nobile , Mario Paolone

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is vital for short-term electricity markets, yet the multivariate nature of day-ahead prices - spanning 24 consecutive hours - remains underexplored. At the same time, real-time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Simon Hirsch

Electric load forecasting is essential for power management and stability in smart grids. This is mainly achieved via advanced metering infrastructure, where smart meters (SMs) are used to record household energy consumption. Traditional…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Ratun Rahman , Neeraj Kumar , Dinh C. Nguyen

Rapid growth in electric-vehicle (EV) charging demand is placing increasing stress on distribution power networks (DPNs), whose hosting capacity is often limited and spatially uneven. Beyond demonstrating that coordination can help, this…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-15 Yi Ju , Lunlong Li , Jingchun Wang , Scott Moura

Electric load forecasting is pivotal for power system operation, planning and decision-making. The rise of smart grids and meters has provided more detailed and high-quality load data at multiple levels of granularity, from home to bus and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-14 Zhaoyang Zhu , Zhipeng Zeng , Qiming Chen , Linxiao Yang , Peiyuan Liu , Weiqi Chen , Liang Sun

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

To further develop accurate and large-scale simulations of electrochemical interfaces, we propose a unified explicit electric potential framework to simultaneously predict atomic forces and electron density distributions. The framework…

化学物理 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Jingwen Zhou , Yawen Yu , Xuwei Liu , Chungen Liu

Predicting the demand for electricity with uncertainty helps in planning and operation of the grid to provide reliable supply of power to the consumers. Machine learning (ML)-based demand forecasting approaches can be categorized into (1)…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-15 Yiwei Fu , Nurali Virani , Honggang Wang

Accurately forecasting electricity price volatility is crucial for effective risk management and decision-making. Traditional forecasting models often fall short in capturing the complex, non-linear dynamics of electricity markets,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-20 Haochen Xue , Chenghao Liu , Chong Zhang , Yuxuan Chen , Angxiao Zong , Zhaodong Wu , Yulong Li , Jiayi Liu , Kaiyu Liang , Zhixiang Lu , Ruobing Li , Jionglong Su

Electric load is simultaneously affected across multiple time scales by exogenous factors such as weather and calendar rhythms, sudden events, and policies. Therefore, this paper proposes GRAFT (GRid-Aware Forecasting with Text), which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Fangzhou Lin , Guoshun He , Zhenyu Guo , Zhe Huang , Jinsong Tao

The growing uncertainty from renewable power and electricity demand brings significant challenges to unit commitment (UC). While various advanced forecasting and optimization methods have been developed to predict better and address this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-30 Rui Xie , Yue Chen , Pierre Pinson

Collaborative perception (CP) is a critical technology in applications like autonomous driving and smart cities. It involves the sharing and fusion of information among sensors to overcome the limitations of individual perception, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Mengmeng Zhu , Yuxuan Sun , Yukuan Jia , Wei Chen , Bo Ai , Sheng Zhou

Electricity price forecasting (EPF) is essential for energy markets stakeholders (e.g. grid operators, energy traders, policymakers) but remains challenging due to the inherent volatility and nonlinearity of price signals. Traditional…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Kritchanat Ponyuenyong , Pengyu Tu , Jia Wei Tan , Wei Soon Cheong , Jamie Ng Suat Ling , Lianlian Jiang

Electric vehicles (EVs) have the potential to reduce grid stress through smart charging strategies while simultaneously meeting user demand. This requires accurate forecasts of key charging parameters, such as energy demand and connection…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-08-26 Parnian Alikhani , Nico Brinkel , Wouter Schram , Ioannis Lampropoulos , Wilfried van Sark