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相关论文: Smooth Multi-Policy Causal Effect Estimation in Lo…

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Causal effects may vary among individuals and can even be of opposite signs. When significant effect heterogeneity exists, the population average causal effect might be uninformative for an individual. Due to the fundamental problem of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-12 Richard Post , Zhuozhao Zhan , Edwin van den Heuvel

Value estimation is one key problem in Reinforcement Learning. Albeit many successes have been achieved by Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) in different fields, the underlying structure and learning dynamics of value function, especially…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-22 Tong Sang , Hongyao Tang , Jianye Hao , Yan Zheng , Zhaopeng Meng

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

The standard approach to answering an identifiable causal-effect query (e.g., $P(Y|do(X)$) when given a causal diagram and observational data is to first generate an estimand, or probabilistic expression over the observable variables, which…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-28 Anna Raichev , Alexander Ihler , Jin Tian , Rina Dechter

Extreme quantile treatment effects (eQTEs) measure the causal impact of a treatment on the tails of an outcome distribution and are central for studying rare, high-impact events. Standard QTE methods often fail in extreme regimes due to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-25 Mengran Li , Daniela Castro-Camilo

This paper introduces a novel causal framework for multi-stage decision-making in natural language action spaces where outcomes are only observed after a sequence of actions. While recent approaches like Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO)…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-02-26 Bohan Zhang , Yixin Wang , Paramveer S. Dhillon

Accurately estimating personalized treatment effects within a study site (e.g., a hospital) has been challenging due to limited sample size. Furthermore, privacy considerations and lack of resources prevent a site from leveraging…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Xiaoqing Tan , Chung-Chou H. Chang , Ling Zhou , Lu Tang

Observational studies developing causal machine learning (ML) models for the prediction of individualized treatment effects (ITEs) seldom conduct empirical evaluations to assess the conditional exchangeability assumption. We aimed to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Gerard T. Portela , Jason B. Gibbons , Sebastian Schneeweiss , Rishi J. Desai

Off-policy reinforcement learning holds the promise of sample-efficient learning of decision-making policies by leveraging past experience. However, in the offline RL setting -- where a fixed collection of interactions are provided and no…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Seyed Kamyar Seyed Ghasemipour , Dale Schuurmans , Shixiang Shane Gu

We consider estimating a low-dimensional parameter in an estimating equation involving high-dimensional nuisances that depend on the parameter. A central example is the efficient estimating equation for the (local) quantile treatment effect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-08-18 Nathan Kallus , Xiaojie Mao , Masatoshi Uehara

We address the problem of estimating causal effects from observational data in the presence of network confounding, a setting where both treatment assignment and observed outcomes of individuals may be influenced by their neighbors within a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-24 Abhishek Dalvi , Neil Ashtekar , Vasant Honavar

Estimating long-term causal effects based on short-term surrogates is a significant but challenging problem in many real-world applications, e.g., marketing and medicine. Despite its success in certain domains, most existing methods…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-22 Ruichu Cai , Weilin Chen , Zeqin Yang , Shu Wan , Chen Zheng , Xiaoqing Yang , Jiecheng Guo

Bridging the gap between internal and external validity is crucial for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation. Randomised controlled trials (RCTs), favoured for their internal validity due to randomisation, often encounter challenges in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Evangelos Dimitriou , Edwin Fong , Jens Magelund Tarp , Karla Diaz-Ordaz , Brieuc Lehmann

A major challenge in modern reinforcement learning (RL) is efficient control of dynamical systems from high-dimensional sensory observations. Learning controllable embedding (LCE) is a promising approach that addresses this challenge by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-25 Brandon Cui , Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh

In recent years, various limitations of conventional supervised learning have been identified, motivating the development of reinforcement learning--and quantum reinforcement learning that leverages quantum resources such as entanglement…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-03-10 Jaehun Jeong , Donghwa Ji , Kabgyun Jeong

Scaling reinforcement learning to tens of thousands of parallel environments requires overcoming the limited exploration capacity of a single policy. Ensemble-based policy gradient methods, which employ multiple policies to collect diverse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-04 Naoki Shitanda , Motoki Omura , Tatsuya Harada , Takayuki Osa

Efficiently and flexibly estimating treatment effect heterogeneity is an important task in a wide variety of settings ranging from medicine to marketing, and there are a considerable number of promising conditional average treatment effect…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Erik Sverdrup , Yifan Cui

Estimating causal effects from observational network data is a significant but challenging problem. Existing works in causal inference for observational network data lack an analysis of the generalization bound, which can theoretically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-09 Ruichu Cai , Zeqin Yang , Weilin Chen , Yuguang Yan , Zhifeng Hao

The proximal causal inference framework enables the identification and estimation of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured confounding by leveraging two disjoint sets of observed strong proxies: negative control treatments and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-16 Antonio Olivas-Martinez , Peter B. Gilbert , Andrea Rotnitzky

Clinical decision-making often involves selecting tests that are costly, invasive, or time-consuming, motivating individualized, sequential strategies for what to measure and when to stop ascertaining. We study the problem of learning…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Doudou Zhou , Yiran Zhang , Dian Jin , Yingye Zheng , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai
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