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Recent advances in reinforcement learning (RL) have led to substantial improvements in the mathematical reasoning abilities of LLMs, as measured by standard benchmarks. Yet these gains often persist even when models are trained with flawed…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Jian Yao , Ran Cheng , Kay Chen Tan

Determining the number of common factors is an important and practical topic in high dimensional factor models. The existing literatures are mainly based on the eigenvalues of the covariance matrix. Due to the incomparability of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-25 Jianqing Fan , Jianhua Guo , Shurong Zheng

This paper considers the problem of matrix-variate logistic regression. It derives the fundamental error threshold on estimating low-rank coefficient matrices in the logistic regression problem by obtaining a lower bound on the minimax…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-05-10 Batoul Taki , Mohsen Ghassemi , Anand D. Sarwate , Waheed U. Bajwa

Unmeasured confounding may undermine the validity of causal inference with observational studies. Sensitivity analysis provides an attractive way to partially circumvent this issue by assessing the potential influence of unmeasured…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-15 Peng Ding , Tyler VanderWeele

Unbiased and consistent variance estimators generally do not exist for design-based treatment effect estimators because experimenters never observe more than one potential outcome for any unit. The problem is exacerbated by interference and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-04 Christopher Harshaw , Joel A. Middleton , Fredrik Sävje

Let $X$ be a set of items of size $n$ that contains some defective items, denoted by $I$, where $I \subseteq X$. In group testing, a {\it test} refers to a subset of items $Q \subset X$. The outcome of a test is $1$ if $Q$ contains at least…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2023-08-16 Nader H. Bshouty

Soft-thresholding is a sparse modeling method that is typically applied to wavelet denoising in statistical signal processing and analysis. It has a single parameter that controls a threshold level on wavelet coefficients and,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-01 Katsuyuki Hagiwara

It is known that the common factors in a large panel of data can be consistently estimated by the method of principal components, and principal components can be constructed by iterative least squares regressions. Replacing least squares…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-16 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

The model implied by factor score predictors does not reproduce the non-diagonal elements of the observed covariance matrix as well as the factor loadings. It is therefore investigated whether it is possible to estimate factor loadings for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-26 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger

Factor score estimation in small sample sizes often encounters parameter bias and convergence failures when constructing hierarchical national/sub-national indices. This paper proposes a novel method for hierarchical factor analysis called…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-22 Zachary Esses Johnson

The present study investigates to what degree the common variance of the factor score predictor with the original factor, i.e., the determinacy coefficient or the validity of the factor score predictor, depends on the mean-difference…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-11-27 André Beauducel , Norbert Hilger

Recently, financial industry and regulators have enhanced the debate on the good properties of a risk measure. A fundamental issue is the evaluation of the quality of a risk estimation. On the one hand, a backtesting procedure is desirable…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-02-07 Matteo Burzoni , Ilaria Peri , Chiara Maria Ruffo

A factor model with a break in its factor loadings is observationally equivalent to a model without changes in the loadings but a change in the variance of its factors. This effectively transforms a structural change problem of high…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-12-06 Jushan Bai , Jiangtao Duan , Xu Han

In a standard classification framework a set of trustworthy learning data are employed to build a decision rule, with the final aim of classifying unlabelled units belonging to the test set. Therefore, unreliable labelled observations,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-11-20 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

This paper is concerned with the hard thresholding operator which sets all but the $k$ largest absolute elements of a vector to zero. We establish a {\em tight} bound to quantitatively characterize the deviation of the thresholded solution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-12 Jie Shen , Ping Li

A factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) model is defined by a VAR equation that captures lead-lag correlations amongst a set of observed variables $X$ and latent factors $F$, and a calibration equation that relates another set of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-02 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

Measuring the contribution of a bank or an insurance company to overall systemic risk is a key concern, particularly in the aftermath of the 2007--2009 financial crisis and the 2020 downturn. In this paper, we derive worst-case and…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Jinghui Chen , Edward Furman , X. Sheldon Lin

This note shows that for i.i.d. data, estimating large covariance matrices in factor models can be casted using a simple plug-in method to choose the threshold: $$…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-31 Yuan Liao

Explanations of the replication crisis often emphasize misconduct, questionable research practices, or incentive misalignment, implying that behavioral reform is sufficient. This paper argues that a substantial component is architectural:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Marco Pollanen

This paper considers linear panel data models where the dependence of the regressors and the unobservables is modelled through a factor structure. The asymptotic setting is such that the number of time periods and the sample size both go to…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-25 Jad Beyhum , Eric Gautier