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We address the problem of uncertainty calibration. While standard deep neural networks typically yield uncalibrated predictions, calibrated confidence scores that are representative of the true likelihood of a prediction can be achieved…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-24 Christian Tomani , Sebastian Gruber , Muhammed Ebrar Erdem , Daniel Cremers , Florian Buettner

Recent machine learning papers often report 1-2 percentage point improvements from a single run on a benchmark. These gains are highly sensitive to random seeds, data ordering, and implementation details, yet are rarely accompanied by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Wenzhang Du

In-context reinforcement learning (ICRL) studies agents that, after pretraining, adapt to new tasks by conditioning on additional context without parameter updates. Existing theoretical analyses of ICRL largely rely on linear attention,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-19 Zixuan Xie , Xinyu Liu , Claire Chen , Shuze Daniel Liu , Rohan Chandra , Shangtong Zhang

Making calibrated online predictions is a central challenge in modern AI systems. Much of the existing literature focuses on fully adversarial environments where outcomes may be arbitrary, leading to conservative algorithms that can perform…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Junyan Liu , Haipeng Luo , Lillian J. Ratliff

This paper investigates the post-hoc calibration of confidence for "exploratory" machine learning classification problems. The difficulty in these problems stems from the continuing desire to push the boundaries of which categories have…

Models that are indistinguishable on in-distribution data can behave very differently under distribution shift. We introduce Perturb-and-Correct (P&C), a post-hoc method for constructing epistemically diverse predictors from a single…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-05 Eleanor Quint

Assistive devices must determine both what a user intends to do and how reliable that prediction is before providing support. We introduce a safety-critical triggering framework based on calibrated probabilities for multimodal next-action…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Johannes A. Gaus , Winfried Ilg , Daniel Haeufle

This paper presents a dual method of closed-form analysis and lightweight simulation that enables an evaluation of the performance of mobile ad hoc networks that is more realistic, efficient, and accurate than those found in existing…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Don Torrieri , Salvatore Talarico , Matthew C. Valenti

In mechanistic interpretability, recent work scrutinizes transformer "circuits" - sparse, mono or multi layer sub computations, that may reflect human understandable functions. Yet, these network circuits are rarely acid-tested for their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Karan Bali , Jack Stanley , Praneet Suresh , Danilo Bzdok

This paper presents a comprehensive empirical analysis of conformal prediction methods on a challenging aerial image dataset featuring diverse events in unconstrained environments. Conformal prediction is a powerful post-hoc technique that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-25 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki

In this paper, we present Context-Adaptive PARRoT (CA-PARRoT) as an extension of our previous work Predictive Ad-hoc Routing fueled by Reinforcement learning and Trajectory knowledge (PARRoT). Short-term effects, as occurring in urban…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2021-07-14 Cedrik Schüler , Benjamin Sliwa , Christian Wietfeld

Post-training quantization makes large reasoning models practical under tight memory and latency budgets, but it can distort the online signals that drive adaptive test-time compute allocation. Under a fixed cap on the number of newly…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Sai Babu Patarlapalli , Surya Teja Avvaru

Transformer-based sequential recommendation (SR) has been booming in recent years, with the self-attention mechanism as its key component. Self-attention has been widely believed to be able to effectively select those informative and…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 Peilin Zhou , Qichen Ye , Yueqi Xie , Jingqi Gao , Shoujin Wang , Jae Boum Kim , Chenyu You , Sunghun Kim

Although deep neural networks yield high classification accuracy given sufficient training data, their predictions are typically overconfident or under-confident, i.e., the prediction confidences cannot truly reflect the accuracy. Post-hoc…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-02-15 Jiexin Wang , Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

Hyperparameter sensitivity in Deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) is often accepted as unavoidable. However, it remains unclear whether it is intrinsic to the RL problem or exacerbated by specific training mechanisms. We investigate this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-06 Jan Malte Töpperwien , Aditya Mohan , Marius Lindauer

Uncertainty quantification is critical in safety-sensitive applications but is often omitted from off-the-shelf neural networks due to adverse effects on predictive performance. Retrofitting uncertainty estimates post-hoc typically requires…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Lennart Bramlage , Cristóbal Curio

Machine Reading Comprehension(MRC) has achieved a remarkable result since some powerful models, such as BERT, are proposed. However, these models are not robust enough and vulnerable to adversarial input perturbation and generalization…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-25 Jing Jin , Houfeng Wang

Fairness in toxicity classification involves three integrated axes: ranking, calibration, and abstention. Training-time interventions and post-hoc safety mechanisms cannot be evaluated independently because the former determines the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Mokshit Surana

Post training quantization is essential for deploying large language models (LLMs) on resource constrained hardware, yet state of the art methods enforce uniform bit widths across layers, yielding suboptimal accuracy efficiency trade offs.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-19 Arpit Singh Gautam , Saurabh Jha

Machine learning classifiers often produce probabilistic predictions that are critical for accurate and interpretable decision-making in various domains. The quality of these predictions is generally evaluated with proper losses, such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-26 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach