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Post-hoc recalibration methods are widely used to ensure that classifiers provide faithful probability estimates. We argue that parametric recalibration functions based on logistic regression can be motivated from a simple theoretical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-11 Eugène Berta , David Holzmüller , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

At very high sparsity, neural network pruning does more than decide which weights remain. It also determines where pruning induced damage is placed across the network, and whether that damage can be recovered by a fixed lightweight repair…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Qishi Zhan , Liang He , Minxuan Hu , Ziheng Chen

Continuous monitoring of trained ML models to determine when their predictions should and should not be trusted is essential for their safe deployment. Such a framework ought to be high-performing, explainable, post-hoc and actionable. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-07-14 Nandita Bhaskhar , Daniel L. Rubin , Christopher Lee-Messer

Ride-hailing and autonomous mobility-on-demand operators reposition idle supply before future demand is fully observed. We study a retrieval-calibrated predict-then-optimize approach for this problem: historical demand regimes are matched…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Indar Kumar , Akanksha Tiwari

The prediction accuracy of machine learning methods is steadily increasing, but the calibration of their uncertainty predictions poses a significant challenge. Numerous works focus on obtaining well-calibrated predictive models, but less is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-07 Donghwan Lee , Xinmeng Huang , Hamed Hassani , Edgar Dobriban

Modern end-to-end automatic speech recognition (ASR) models like Whisper not only suffer from reduced recognition accuracy in noise, but also exhibit overconfidence - assigning high confidence to wrong predictions. We conduct a systematic…

音频与语音处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-09-10 Mingyue Huo , Yuheng Zhang , Yan Tang

Robotic policies deployed in real-world environments often encounter post-training faults, where retraining, exploration, or system identification are impractical. We introduce an inference-time, cerebellar-inspired residual control…

Adversarial Training (AT) is one of the most effective methods for developing robust deep neural networks (DNNs). However, AT faces a trade-off problem between clean accuracy and adversarial robustness. In this work, we reveal a surprising…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-04-30 Yanyun Wang , Qingqing Ye , Li Liu , Zi Liang , Haibo Hu

A typical desideratum for quantifying the uncertainty from a classification model as a prediction set is class-conditional singleton set calibration. That is, such sets should map to the output of well-calibrated selective classifiers,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-12-02 Allen Schmaltz , Danielle Rasooly

Classical cluster inference is hampered by the spatial specificity paradox. Given the null-hypothesis of no active voxels, the alternative hypothesis states that there is at least one active voxel in a cluster. Hence, the larger the cluster…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-12 Xu Chen , Jelle J. Goeman , Thijmen J. P. Krebs , Rosa J. Meijer , Wouter D. Weeda

Conventional optimization-based metering depends on strict adherence to precomputed schedules, which limits the flexibility required for the stochastic operations of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM). In contrast, multi-agent reinforcement…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Arsyi Aziz , Peng Wei

We propose an evaluation framework for class probability estimates (CPEs) in the presence of label uncertainty, which is commonly observed as diagnosis disagreement between experts in the medical domain. We also formalize evaluation metrics…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-03-23 Takahiro Mimori , Keiko Sasada , Hirotaka Matsui , Issei Sato

Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free, finite-sample coverage guarantees but critically relies on exchangeability, a condition often violated under distribution shift. We study the robustness of split conformal prediction…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Xunlei Qian , Yue Xing

We audit alignment-induced shifts in residual-stream activations of three open-weight instruction-tuned LLMs (Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct, Gemma-2-9B-it, Qwen-2.5-7B-Instruct) using the effective rank of the alignment modification matrix on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Yuki Nakamura

Accurate and robust trajectory predictions of road users are needed to enable safe automated driving. To do this, machine learning models are often used, which can show erratic behavior when presented with previously unseen inputs. In this…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-04-05 Manuel Muñoz Sánchez , Emilia Silvas , Jos Elfring , René van de Molengraft

Post-hoc attribution methods aim to explain deep learning predictions by highlighting influential input pixels. However, these explanations are highly non-robust: small, imperceptible input perturbations can drastically alter the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-19 Alaa Anani , Tobias Lorenz , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele

Proper confidence calibration of deep neural networks is essential for reliable predictions in safety-critical tasks. Miscalibration can lead to model over-confidence and/or under-confidence; i.e., the model's confidence in its prediction…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-08 Shuang Ao , Stefan Rueger , Advaith Siddharthan

Recent years have witnessed significant progress in autonomous navigation using reinforcement learning. However, existing approaches largely emphasize reinforcement learning framework design, such as input representations, action spaces,…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-18 Zhefan Xu , Hanyu Jin , Kenji Shimada

Contact-rich micromanipulation in microfluidic flow is challenging because small disturbances can break pushing contact and induce large lateral drift. We study planar cell pushing with a magnetic rolling microrobot that tracks a…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Yanda Yang , Sambeeta Das

Large language models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes tasks, where confident yet incorrect inferences may cause severe real-world harm, bringing the previously overlooked issue of confidence faithfulness back to the forefront. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-10 Haokai Ma , Lee Yan Zhen , Gang Yang , Yunshan Ma , Ee-Chien Chang , Tat-Seng Chua
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