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Earth system modeling presents a fundamental challenge in scientific computing: capturing complex, multiscale nonlinear dynamics in computationally efficient models while minimizing forecast errors caused by necessary simplifications. Even…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Yongquan Qu , Matthieu Blanke , Sara Shamekh , Pierre Gentine

Learned time-series models, whether continuous or discrete, are widely used for forecasting the states of dynamical systems but suffer from error accumulation in multi-step forecasts. To address this issue, we propose a Predictor-Corrector…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-11 Muhammad Bilal Shahid , Zhanhong Jiang , Prajwal Koirala , Soumik Sarkar , Cody Fleming

Spatial-temporal forecasting systems play a crucial role in addressing numerous real-world challenges. In this paper, we investigate the potential of addressing spatial-temporal forecasting problems using general time series forecasting…

Deep learning-based approaches have demonstrated significant advancements in time series forecasting. Despite these ongoing developments, the complex dynamics of time series make it challenging to establish the rule of thumb for designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Bin Wang , Yongqi Han , Minbo Ma , Tianrui Li , Junbo Zhang , Feng Hong , Yanwei Yu

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

The forecasting combination puzzle is a well-known phenomenon in forecasting literature, stressing the challenge of outperforming the simple average when aggregating forecasts from diverse methods. This study proposes a Reinforcement…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-29 Marcelo C. Medeiros , Jeronymo M. Pinro

Modern deep-learning models have achieved remarkable success in time-series forecasting. Yet, their performance degrades in long-term prediction due to error accumulation in autoregressive inference, where predictions are recursively used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Minh Hoang Nguyen , Dai Do , Huu Hiep Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Kien Do , Hung Le

The recent revolution in data-driven methods for weather forecasting has lead to a fragmented landscape of complex, bespoke architectures and training strategies, obscuring the fundamental drivers of forecast accuracy. Here, we demonstrate…

Time series forecasting plays a central role in many real-world applications and has been extensively studied. Most existing approaches rely on deterministic models. However, real-world environments exhibit inherently uncertain and complex…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-25 Minju Kim , Youngbum Hur

Due to limited computational resources, medium-range temperature forecasts typically rely on low-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, which are prone to systematic and random errors. We propose a method that integrates a…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-04-09 Takuya Inoue , Takuya Kawabata

The ability to predict trajectories of surrounding agents and obstacles is a crucial component in many robotic applications. Data-driven approaches are commonly adopted for state prediction in scenarios where the underlying dynamics are…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-04-28 Kaiyuan Tan , Peilun Li , Jun Wang , Thomas Beckers

Current autonomous driving systems rely on specialized models for perceiving and predicting motion, which demonstrate reliable performance in standard conditions. However, generalizing cost-effectively to diverse real-world scenarios…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-10-21 Katie Luo , Jingwei Ji , Tong He , Runsheng Xu , Yichen Xie , Dragomir Anguelov , Mingxing Tan

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

This paper deals with a novel Plug-and-Play (PnP) architecture for the control and monitoring of Large-Scale Systems (LSSs). The proposed approach integrates a distributed Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy with a distributed Fault…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-09-19 Stefano Riverso , Francesca Boem , Giancarlo Ferrari-Trecate , Thomas Parisini

The Homotopy paradigm, a general principle for solving challenging problems, appears across diverse domains such as robust optimization, global optimization, polynomial root-finding, and sampling. Practical solvers for these problems…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Jiayao Mai , Bangyan Liao , Zhenjun Zhao , Yingping Zeng , Haoang Li , Javier Civera , Tailin Wu , Yi Zhou , Peidong Liu

We consider the robust Perspective-n-Point (PnP) problem using a hybrid approach that combines deep learning with model based algorithms. PnP is the problem of estimating the pose of a calibrated camera given a set of 3D points in the world…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-03-11 Roy Sheffer , Ami Wiesel

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) system is an infrastructure that exerts considerable impacts on modern society.Traditional NWP system, however, resolves it by solving complex partial differential equations with a huge computing cluster,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-09-26 Junchao Gong , Tao Han , Kang Chen , Lei Bai

Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions between large-scale dynamics and small-scale processes such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-31 Weiqi Chen , Wenwei Wang , Qilong Yuan , Lefei Shen , Bingqing Peng , Jiawei Chen , Bo Wu , Liang Sun

Obtaining accurate probabilistic forecasts is an operational challenge in many applications, such as energy management, climate forecasting, supply chain planning, and resource allocation. Many of these applications present a natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-24 Kin G. Olivares , Geoffrey Négiar , Ruijun Ma , O. Nangba Meetei , Mengfei Cao , Michael W. Mahoney
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