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Many engineering problems involve learning hidden dynamics from indirect observations, where the physical processes are described by systems of partial differential equations (PDE). Gradient-based optimization methods are considered…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-12-17 Kailai Xu , Dongzhuo Li , Eric Darve , Jerry M. Harris

This work extends the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) method to latent models outside the scope of latent Gaussian models, where independent components of the latent field can have a near-Gaussian distribution. The proposed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-14 Thiago G. Martins , Håvard Rue

We propose AIDA, an inference engine for accelerating fully-connected (FC) layers of Deep Neural Network (DNN). AIDA is an associative in-memory processor, where the bulk of data never leaves the confines of the memory arrays, and…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2019-01-16 Leonid Yavits , Roman Kaplan , Ran Ginosar

We propose the approximate Laplace approximation (ALA) to evaluate integrated likelihoods, a bottleneck in Bayesian model selection. The Laplace approximation (LA) is a popular tool that speeds up such computation and equips strong model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-07 David Rossell , Oriol Abril , Anirban Bhattacharya

The integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) for Bayesian inference is an efficient approach to estimate the posterior marginal distributions of the parameters and latent effects of Bayesian hierarchical models that can be expressed…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-11-05 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Roger S. Bivand , Håvard Rue

Misclassified variables used in regression models, either as a covariate or as the response, may lead to biased estimators and incorrect inference. Even though Bayesian models to adjust for misclassification error exist, it has not been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Emma Skarstein , Leonardo Soares Bastos , Håvard Rue , Stefanie Muff

Fitting cross-classified multilevel models with binary response is challenging. In this setting a promising method is Bayesian inference through Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA), which performs well in several latent variable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-07-21 Leonardo Grilli , Francesco Innocenti

We introduce a new copula-based correction for generalized linear mixed models (GLMMs) within the integrated nested Laplace approximation (INLA) approach for approximate Bayesian inference for latent Gaussian models. While INLA is usually…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-12-16 Egil Ferkingstad , Håvard Rue

Latent Gaussian models (LGMs) are a popular class of Bayesian hierarchical models that include Gaussian processes, as well as certain spatial models and mixed-effect models. Efficient Bayesian inference of LGMs often requires marginalizing…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Jinlin Lai , Charles C. Margossian , Daniel R. Sheldon

We address in this paper a new approach for fitting spatiotemporal models with application in disease mapping using the interaction types 1,2,3, and 4. When we account for the spatiotemporal interactions in disease-mapping models, inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-22 Esmail Abdul Fattah , Haavard Rue

Uncertainty estimation is crucial in safety-critical applications, where robust out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is essential. Traditional Bayesian methods, though effective, are often hindered by high computational demands. As an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-06 Maksim Zhdanov , Stanislav Dereka , Sergey Kolesnikov

We present Entropy Adaptive Decoding (EAD), a novel approach for efficient language model inference that dynamically switches between different-sized models based on prediction uncertainty. By monitoring rolling entropy in model logit…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-12 Toby Simonds

Data assimilation (DA) methods use priors arising from differential equations to robustly interpolate and extrapolate data. Popular techniques such as ensemble methods that handle high-dimensional, nonlinear PDE priors focus mostly on state…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-05 Rafael Anderka , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Deep neural networks (DNNs) often produce overconfident out-of-distribution predictions, motivating Bayesian uncertainty quantification. The Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) achieves this by linearizing the DNN and applying Laplace…

This paper introduces a Laplace approximation to Bayesian inference in Dirichlet regression models, which can be used to analyze a set of variables on a simplex exhibiting skewness and heteroscedasticity, without having to transform the…

The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) is a convenient way to obtain approximations to the posterior marginals for parameters in Bayesian hierarchical models when the latent effects can be expressed as a Gaussian Markov Random…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Francisco Palmí-Perales

The marginal likelihood is a well established model selection criterion in Bayesian statistics. It also allows to efficiently calculate the marginal posterior model probabilities that can be used for Bayesian model averaging of quantities…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-07 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

In Bayesian inference, making deductions about a parameter of interest requires one to sample from or compute an integral against a posterior distribution. A popular method to make these computations cheaper in high-dimensional settings is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-10 Anya Katsevich

Bayesian inference on non-Gaussian data is often non-analytic and requires computationally expensive approximations such as sampling or variational inference. We propose an approximate inference framework primarily designed to be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Marius Hobbhahn , Philipp Hennig

Recently, it has been shown that approximations to marginal posterior distributions obtained using a low discrepancy sequence (LDS) can outperform standard grid-based methods with respect to both accuracy and computational efficiency. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-05 Paul T. Brown , Chaitanya Joshi , Stephen Joe , Haavard Rue