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相关论文: Probabilities of Causation for Continuous Outcomes…

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Although the existing causal inference literature focuses on the forward-looking perspective by estimating effects of causes, the backward-looking perspective can provide insights into causes of effects. In backward-looking causal…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-26 Chao Zhang , Zhi Geng , Wei Li , Peng Ding

To answer questions of "causes of effects", the probability of necessity is introduced for assessing whether or not an observed outcome was caused by an earlier treatment. However, the statistical inference for probability of necessity is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Ping Zhang , Ruoyu Wang , Wang Miao

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the probabilities of causation when treatment and effect are not binary. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-23 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. Pearl defined three binary probabilities of causation, the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Ang Li , Judea Pearl

Probabilities of causation provide explanatory information on the observed occurrence (causal necessity) and non-occurrence (causal sufficiency) of events. Here, we adapt these probabilities (probability of necessity, probability of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2025-04-28 Bronner P. Gonçalves

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the probability that one event was a cause of another in a given scenario. Using structural-semantical definitions of the probabilities of necessary or sufficient causation (or both), we show…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Jin Tian , Judea Pearl

The probability of causation (PC) is often used in liability assessments. In a legal context, for example, where a patient suffered the side effect after taking a medication and sued the pharmaceutical company as a result, the value of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Chengfeng Shi , Qiang Zhao

The probabilities of causation are commonly used to solve decision-making problems. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Ang Li , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl

Probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS) measures the likelihood of a feature set being both necessary and sufficient for predicting an outcome. It has proven effective in guiding representation learning for unimodal data, enhancing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-28 Boyu Chen , Junjie Liu , Zhu Li , Mengyue Yang

Probabilities of causation (PoC) offer valuable insights for informed decision-making. This paper introduces novel variants of PoC-controlled direct, natural direct, and natural indirect probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS). These…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

Causal attribution, which aims to explain why events or behaviors occur, is crucial in causal inference and enhances our understanding of cause-and-effect relationships in scientific research. The probabilities of necessary causation (PN)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-16 Zhaoqing Tian , Peng Wu

Evaluating joint probabilities of potential outcomes and observed variables, and their linear combinations, is a fundamental challenge in causal inference. This paper addresses the bounding and identification of these probabilities in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Naoya Hashimoto , Yuta Kawakami , Jin Tian

Probabilities of causation (PoC) are valuable concepts for explainable artificial intelligence and practical decision-making. PoC are originally defined for scalar binary variables. In this paper, we extend the concept of PoC to continuous…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-06-03 Yuta Kawakami , Manabu Kuroki , Jin Tian

Probabilities of causation (PoCs), such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), are important tools for decision making but are generally not point identifiable. Existing work has derived bounds for these quantities using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-20 Tianyuan Cheng , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl , Ang Li

Propensity scores are often used for stratification of treatment and control groups of subjects in observational data to remove confounding bias when estimating of causal effect of the treatment on an outcome in so-called potential outcome…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-24 Priyantha Wijayatunga

This paper deals with the problem of learning the probabilities of causation of subpopulations given finite population data. The tight bounds of three basic probabilities of causation, the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-18 Ang Li , Song Jiang , Yizhou Sun , Judea Pearl

The concept of Probability of Causation (PC) is critically important in legal contexts and can help in many other domains. While it has been around since 1986, current operationalizations can obtain only the minimum and maximum values of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-08-14 Tapajit Dey , Audris Mockus

The explainability of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) is critical to various GNN applications, yet it remains a significant challenge. A convincing explanation should be both necessary and sufficient simultaneously. However, existing GNN…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-31 Ruichu Cai , Yuxuan Zhu , Xuexin Chen , Yuan Fang , Min Wu , Jie Qiao , Zhifeng Hao

Probabilities of causation play a crucial role in modern decision-making. This paper addresses the challenge of predicting probabilities of causation for subpopulations with insufficient data using machine learning models. Tian and Pearl…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-14 Shuai Wang , Ang Li

This paper provides a nonparametric framework for causal inference with categorical outcomes under binary treatment and binary instrument settings. I decompose the observed joint probability of outcomes and treatment into marginal…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-11 Onil Boussim
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