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In this paper, we propose a method for evaluating autonomous trading strategies that provides realistic expectations, regarding the strategy's long-term performance. This method addresses This method addresses many pitfalls that currently…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2021-11-22 Murilo Sibrao Bernardini , Paulo Andre Lima de Castro

Autonomous robotic exploration has long attracted the attention of the robotics community and is a topic of high relevance. Deploying such systems in the real world, however, is still far from being a reality. In part, it can be attributed…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2022-08-17 Julio A. Placed , José A. Castellanos

Designing autonomous drone swarms is hampered by a vast design space spanning platform, algorithmic, and numerical-strength choices. We perform large-scale agent-based simulations in three canonical scenarios: swarm-on-swarm battle,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-25 Abram H. Clark , Liraz Mudrik , Colton Kawamura , Nathan C. Redder , João P. Hespanha , Isaac Kaminer

Autonomous trading robots have been studied in artificial intelligence area for quite some time. Many AI techniques have been tested for building autonomous agents able to trade financial assets. These initiatives include traditional neural…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-06-30 Paulo André Lima de Castro

In this paper, we explore an optimal timing strategy for the trading of price spreads exhibiting mean-reverting characteristics. A sequential optimal stopping framework is formulated to analyze the optimal timings for both entering and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-03-06 Boming Ning , Prakash Chakraborty , Kiseop Lee

Stop-loss rules are often studied in the financial literature, but the stop-loss levels are seldom constructed systematically. In many papers, and indeed in practice as well, the level of the stops is too often set arbitrarily. Guided by…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-09-06 Antoine Emil Zambelli

The autonomous trading agent is one of the most actively studied areas of artificial intelligence to solve the capital market portfolio management problem. The two primary goals of the portfolio management problem are maximizing profit and…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2019-09-10 Wonsup Shin , Seok-Jun Bu , Sung-Bae Cho

Financial market forecasting remains a formidable challenge despite the surge in computational capabilities and machine learning advancements. While numerous studies have underscored the precision of computer-generated market predictions,…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2023-11-16 Reza Yarbakhsh , Mahdieh Soleymani Baghshah , Hamidreza Karimaghaie

We theoretically and numerically study the problem of optimal control of large-scale autonomous systems under explicitly adversarial conditions, including probabilistic destruction of agents during the simulation. Large-scale autonomous…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-08-06 Theodoros Tsatsanifos , Abram H. Clark , Claire Walton , Isaac Kaminer , Qi Gong

In this paper, we study an investor's optimal entry and exit decisions in a liquid staking protocol (LSP) and an automated market maker (AMM), primarily from the standpoint of the investor. Our analysis focuses on two key investor actions:…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-10 Ruofei Ma , Zhebiao Cai , Wenpin Tang , David Yao

We investigate the optimal control of large-scale autonomous systems under explicitly adversarial conditions, incorporating the probabilistic destruction of agents over time. In many such systems, adversarial interactions arise as different…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-27 Claire Walton , Isaac Kaminer , Qi Gong , Abram H. Clark , Theodoros Tsatsanifos

In this paper we consider a stochastic deployment problem, where a robotic swarm is tasked with the objective of positioning at least one robot at each of a set of pre-assigned targets while meeting a temporal deadline. Travel times and…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone , Brian M. Sadler , Stefano Carpin

For a mining strategy we define the notion of "profit lag" as the minimum time it takes to be profitable after that moment. We compute closed forms for the profit lag and the revenue ratio for the strategies "selfish mining" and…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2020-10-07 Cyril Grunspan , Ricardo Pérez-Marco

Many real-world optimisation problems involve dynamic and stochastic components. While problems with multiple interacting components are omnipresent in inherently dynamic domains like supply-chain optimisation and logistics, most research…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2020-09-16 Ragav Sachdeva , Frank Neumann , Markus Wagner

Prompt optimization in compound AI systems is statistically indistinguishable from a coin flip: across 72 optimization runs on Claude Haiku 4.5 (6 methods $\times$ 4 tasks $\times$ 3 repeats), 49% score below zero-shot; on Amazon Nova Lite,…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-05-28 Xing Zhang , Guanghui Wang , Yanwei Cui , Wei Qiu , Ziyuan Li , Bing Zhu , Peiyang He

Automated trading systems on developed and emerging capital markets are studied in this paper. The standard for developed market is automated trading system with 40-days simple moving average. We tested it for the index SIX Industrial for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-19 Ondrej Hudak , Jana Tothova

We develop a complete analysis of a general entry-exit-scrapping model. In particular, we consider an investment project that operates within a random environment and yields a payoff rate that is a function of a stochastic economic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-06-05 Mihail Zervos , Carlos Oliveira , Kate Duckworth

Trailing stop is a popular stop-loss trading strategy by which the investor will sell the asset once its price experiences a pre-specified percentage drawdown. In this paper, we study the problem of timing buy and then sell an asset subject…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-03-26 Tim Leung , Hongzhong Zhang

Suboptimal methods in optimal control arise due to a limited computational budget, unknown system dynamics, or a short prediction window among other reasons. Although these methods are ubiquitous, their transient performance remains…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-08 Aren Karapetyan , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

Mobility systems often suffer from a high price of anarchy due to the uncontrolled behavior of selfish users. This may result in societal costs that are significantly higher compared to what could be achieved by a centralized system-optimal…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-26 David van de Sanden , Maarten Schoukens , Mauro Salazar
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