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Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

We propose an empirical Bayes framework for aggregating estimators obtained from several identification functionals associated to the same causal parameter. The central object is a posterior mean that pools a collection of asymptotically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-21 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

Seismic full waveform inversion (FWI) is a powerful technique to generate high resolution images of the Earth's interior. However, significant uncertainty exists in all FWI solutions due to imperfect acquisition geometries, inherent noise…

地球物理 · 物理学 2026-03-13 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

Variational Bayesian Inference is a popular methodology for approximating posterior distributions over Bayesian neural network weights. Recent work developing this class of methods has explored ever richer parameterizations of the…

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

In a thought-provoking paper, Efron (2011) investigated the merit and limitation of an empirical Bayes method to correct selection bias based on Tweedie's formula first reported by \cite{Robbins:1956}. The exceptional virtue of Tweedie's…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-05-27 Lilun Du , Inchi Hu

The goal of this presentation is to build an efficient non-parametric Bayes classifier in the presence of large numbers of predictors. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while non-parametric procedures tend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-01-07 Abhishek Bhattacharya

Variational Bayes (VB) has been used to facilitate the calculation of the posterior distribution in the context of Bayesian inference of the parameters of nonlinear models from data. Previously an analytical formulation of VB has been…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-07-06 Michael A. Chappell , Martin S. Craig , Mark W. Woolrich

Empirical Bayes (EB) improves the accuracy of simultaneous inference "by learning from the experience of others" (Efron, 2012). Classical EB theory focuses on latent variables that are iid draws from a fitted prior (Efron, 2019). Modern…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-24 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

In this paper we consider the estimation of unknown parameters in Bayesian inverse problems. In most cases of practical interest, there are several barriers to performing such estimation, This includes a numerical approximation of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Neil K. Chada , Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

When we use simulation to assess the performance of stochastic systems, the input models used to drive simulation experiments are often estimated from finite real-world data. There exist both input model and simulation estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-08-10 Wei Xie , Cheng Li , Yuefeng Wu , Pu Zhang

Uncertainty quantification is central to many applications of causal machine learning, yet principled Bayesian inference for causal effects remains challenging. Standard Bayesian approaches typically require specifying a probabilistic model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-04 Emil Javurek , Dennis Frauen , Yuxin Wang , Stefan Feuerriegel

Inferring the means in the multivariate normal model $X \sim N_n(\theta, I)$ with unknown mean vector $\theta=(\theta_1,...,\theta_n)' \in \mathbb{R}^n$ and observed data $X=(X_1,...,X_n)'\in {\mathbb R}^n$ is a challenging task, known as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Chuanhai Liu

We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

We study the normal mean inference problem, which involves simultaneous testing of the means of many normal distributions. This problem has been extensively studied within the empirical Bayes (EB) framework. However, the reliability of most…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-03 Kwangok Seo , Johan Lim

Bayesian methods have proved powerful in many applications for the inference of model parameters from data. These methods are based on Bayes' theorem, which itself is deceptively simple. However, in practice the computations required are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-10 Michael A. Chappell , Mark W. Woolrich

Modelling a complex system is almost invariably a challenging task. The incorporation of experimental observations can be used to improve the quality of a model, and thus to obtain better predictions about the behavior of the corresponding…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-11-24 Massimiliano Bonomi , Carlo Camilloni , Andrea Cavalli , Michele Vendruscolo

Bayesian inference provides a rigorous methodology for estimation and uncertainty quantification of parameters in geophysical forward models. Badlands (basin and landscape dynamics model) is a landscape evolution model that simulates…

地球物理 · 物理学 2021-07-06 Rohitash Chandra , Danial Azam , R. Dietmar Müller , Tristan Salles , Sally Cripps