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This paper proposes a scenario-based framework for predictive maintenance scheduling under uncertainty in a finite planning horizon. The considered setting involves multiple assets for which maintenance decisions are informed by three…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-29 Jerzy Baranowski , Waldemar Bauer

Driven by ambitious renewable portfolio standards, large-scale inclusion of variable energy resources (such as wind and solar) are expected to introduce unprecedented levels of uncertainty into power system operations. The current practice…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-08-02 Semih Atakan , Harsha Gangammanavar , Suvrajeet Sen

The increasing penetration of renewable energy sources introduces significant challenges to power grid stability, primarily due to their inherent variability. A new opportunity for grid operation is the smart integration of electricity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-10-30 Janik Pinter , Frederik Zahn , Maximilian Beichter , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

This paper addresses a central challenge of jointly considering shorter-term (e.g. hourly) and longer-term (e.g. yearly) uncertainties in power system planning with increasing penetration of renewable and storage resources. In conventional…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-13 Chao Yan , Xinbo Geng , Zhaohong Bie , Le Xie

Within the last few years, the trend towards more distributed, renewable energy sources has led to major changes and challenges in the electricity sector. To ensure a stable electricity distribution in this changing environment, we propose…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-07-12 Jens Hönen , Johann L. Hurink , Bert Zwart

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

In prognostics and health management (PHM) of engineered systems, maintenance decisions are ideally informed by predictions of a system's remaining useful life (RUL) based on operational data. Model-based prognostics algorithms rely on a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-23 Xinyu Jia , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

The usability of vehicles is highly dependent on their energy consumption. In particular, one of the main factors hindering the mass adoption of electric (EV), hybrid (HEV), and plug-in hybrid (PHEV) vehicles is range anxiety, which occurs…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-18 Jihed Khiari , Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Electrochemical hybrid battery models have major potential to enable advanced physics-based control, diagnostic, and prognostic features for next-generation lithium-ion battery management systems. This is due to the physical significance of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-05-13 Jackson Fogelquist , Xinfan Lin

Forecasting is an indispensable element of operational research (OR) and an important aid to planning. The accurate estimation of the forecast uncertainty facilitates several operations management activities, predominantly in supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-18 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Phase balancing is essential to safe power system operation. We consider a substation connected to multiple phases, each with single-phase loads, generation, and energy storage. A representative of the substation operates the system and…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-11-30 Sun Sun , Ben Liang , Min Dong , Joshua A. Taylor

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

Energy storage scheduling problems, where a storage is operated to maximize its profit in response to a price signal, are essentially infinite-horizon optimization problems as storage systems operate continuously, without a foreseen end to…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-06-09 Eléa Prat , Richard M. Lusby , Juan Miguel Morales , Salvador Pineda , Pierre Pinson

Decision problems encountered in practice often possess a highly dynamic and uncertain nature. In particular fast changing forecasts for parameters (e.g., photovoltaic generation forecasts in the context of energy management) pose large…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-21 Jens Hönen , Johann L. Hurink , Bert Zwart

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

Batteries are nonlinear dynamical systems that can be modeled by Porous Electrode Theory models. The aim of optimal fast charging is to reduce the charging time while keeping battery degradation low. Most past studies assume that model…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-10-14 Minsu Kim , Joachim Schaeffer , Marc D. Berliner , Berta Pedret Sagnier , Rolf Findeisen , Richard D. Braatz

In response to the increasing deployment of battery storage systems for cost reduction and grid stress mitigation, this study presents the development of a new real-time Markov decision process model to efficiently schedule battery systems…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-09-17 Hussein Sharadga , Ahmad Dawahdeh , Golbon Zakeri , Abdullah Hayajneh , Geoff Pritchard

In this paper, we propose a control framework for a battery energy storage system to provide simultaneously multiple services to the electrical grid. The objective is to maximise the battery exploitation from these services in the presence…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-10-15 Emil Namor , Fabrizio Sossan , Rachid Cherkaoui , Mario Paolone

Topology identification (TI) is a key task for state estimation (SE) in distribution grids, especially the one with high-penetration renewables. The uncertainties, initiated by the time-series behavior of renewables, will almost certainly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-12-12 Xing He , Robert Qiu , Qian Ai , Tianyi Zhu
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