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This work proposes an adaptive output feedback model predictive control (MPC) framework for uncertain systems subject to external disturbances. In the absence of exact knowledge about the plant parameters and complete state measurements,…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-03 Anchita Dey , Shubhendu Bhasin

Quantifying uncertainty of predictions has been identified as one way to develop more trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) models beyond conventional reporting of performance metrics. When considering their role in a clinical decision…

Multi-horizon time-series forecasting involves simultaneously making predictions for a consecutive sequence of subsequent time steps. This task arises in many application domains, such as healthcare and finance, where mispredictions can…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Luca Stradiotti , Laurens Devos , Anna Monreale , Jesse Davis , Andrea Pugnana

Conformal prediction (CP) offers a principled framework for uncertainty quantification, but it fails to guarantee coverage when faced with missing covariates. In addressing the heterogeneity induced by various missing patterns,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-17 Jiarong Fan , Juhyun Park. Thi Phuong Thuy Vo , Nicolas Brunel

Ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed frequencies is critical in high-stakes domains such as clinical decision support, autonomous driving and financial risk assessment. Existing calibration methods typically apply a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

Machine unlearning aims to remove the influence of specific training data from a model while preserving reliable behavior on the remaining data, making reliable prediction and uncertainty estimation essential for evaluation. Calibration is…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-21 Divyaksh Shukla , Ashutosh Modi

A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Identifying T-cell receptors (TCRs) that interact with antigenic peptides provides the technical basis for developing vaccines and immunotherapies. The emergent deep learning methods excel at learning antigen binding patterns from known…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-11-28 Jiangbin Zheng , Qianhui Xu , Ruichen Xia , Stan Z. Li

Evaluating the performance of a prediction model is a common task in medical statistics. Standard accuracy metrics require the observation of the true outcomes. This is typically not possible in the setting with time-to-event outcomes due…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-18 Zhenwei Yang , Dimitris Rizopoulos , Lisa F. Newcomb , Nicole S. Erler

Model Predictive Control (MPC) offers rigorous safety and performance guarantees but is computationally intensive. Approximate MPC (AMPC) aims to circumvent this drawback by learning a computationally cheaper surrogate policy. Common…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-19 Elias Milios , Kim P. Wabersich , Felix Berkel , Felix Gruber , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Being cautious is crucial for enhancing the trustworthiness of machine learning systems integrated into decision-making pipelines. Although calibrated probabilities help in optimal decision-making, perfect calibration remains unattainable,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-12 Mari-Liis Allikivi , Joonas Järve , Meelis Kull

This paper studies the problem of risk-averse receding horizon motion planning for agents with uncertain dynamics, in the presence of stochastic, dynamic obstacles. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) scheme that formulates the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-02 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is often tuned by trial and error. When a baseline linear controller exists that is already well tuned in the absence of constraints and MPC is introduced to enforce them, one would like to avoid altering the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-01 Mario Zanon , Alberto Bemporad

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Certification for machine learning is proving that no adversarial sample can evade a model within a range under certain conditions, a necessity for safety-critical domains. Common certification methods for segmentation use a flat set of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-05 Alaa Anani , Tobias Lorenz , Bernt Schiele , Mario Fritz

Reliable set-valued prediction provides a principled way to mitigate hallucinations in open-ended question answering (QA), yet existing conformal approaches typically rely on a fragile premise: finite sampling must already produce at least…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Anqi Hu , Zhiyuan Wang , Zijun Jia , Bo Fu

Designing full-length, epitope-specific TCR {\alpha}\b{eta} remains challenging due to vast sequence space, data biases and incomplete modeling of immunogenetic constraints. We present LSMTCR, a scalable multi-architecture framework that…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-10-09 Ruihao Zhang , Xiao Liu

In this paper we investigate the optimal controller synthesis problem, so that the system under the controller can reach a specified target set while satisfying given constraints. Existing model predictive control (MPC) methods learn from a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-06-22 Dejin Ren , Wanli Lu , Jidong Lv , Lijun Zhang , Bai Xue

We analyze the trade-off between the undetected error probability (i.e., the probability that the channel decoder outputs an erroneous message without detecting the error) and the total error probability in the short blocklength regime. We…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Alexander Sauter , A. Oguz Kislal , Giuseppe Durisi , Gianluigi Liva , Balazs Matuz , Erik G. Ström