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Temporal point processes (TPPs) are a fundamental tool for modeling event sequences in continuous time, but most existing approaches rely on autoregressive parameterizations that are limited by their sequential sampling. Recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 David Lüdke , Marten Lienen , Marcel Kollovieh , Stephan Günnemann

Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) addresses distribution shifts during testing by adapting a pretrained model without access to source data. In this work, we propose a novel TTA approach for 3D point cloud classification, combining sampling…

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

We introduce a technique of time series analysis, potential forecasting, which is based on dynamical propagation of the probability density of time series. We employ polynomial coefficients of the orthogonal approximation of the empirical…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-12 V. N. Livina , G. Lohmann , M. Mudelsee , T. M. Lenton

In this paper, we propose a machine learning approach for forecasting hierarchical time series. When dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from generating accurate forecasts, one needs to select a suitable method for producing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-12 Paolo Mancuso , Veronica Piccialli , Antonio M. Sudoso

The proposed method in this paper is designed to address the problem of time series forecasting. Although some exquisitely designed models achieve excellent prediction performances, how to extract more useful information and make accurate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-02-01 Yuanpeng He

The widespread deployment of sensing devices leads to a surge in data for spatio-temporal forecasting applications such as traffic flow, air quality, and wind energy. Although spatio-temporal graph neural networks have achieved success in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-30 Wei Chen , Yuxuan Liang

Meta-learning has proven to be a powerful paradigm for transferring the knowledge from previous tasks to facilitate the learning of a novel task. Current dominant algorithms train a well-generalized model initialization which is adapted to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-11 Huaxiu Yao , Longkai Huang , Linjun Zhang , Ying Wei , Li Tian , James Zou , Junzhou Huang , Zhenhui Li

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is critical in many real-world domains like financial planning and health monitoring. Recent studies have revealed that Large Language Models (LLMs), with their powerful in-contextual modeling capabilities,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-14 Jialiang Tang , Shuo Chen , Chen Gong , Jing Zhang , Dacheng Tao

Temporal Domain Generalization (TDG) aims to generalize across temporal distribution shifts, e.g., lexical change over time. Prior work often addresses this by predicting future model weights. However, full model prediction is prohibitively…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-01 Aoming Liu , Kevin Miller , Venkatesh Saligrama , Kate Saenko , Boqing Gong , Ser-Nam Lim , Bryan A. Plummer

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) such as Lag-Llama, TimeGPT, Chronos, MOMENT, UniTS, and TimesFM have shown strong generalization and zero-shot capabilities for time series forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-26 Dhruv D. Modi , Rong Pan

Time series forecasting (TSF) is crucial in fields like economic forecasting, weather prediction, traffic flow analysis, and public health surveillance. Real-world time series data often include noise, outliers, and missing values, making…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Quangao Liu , Ruiqi Li , Maowei Jiang , Wei Yang , Chen Liang , LongLong Pang , Zhuozhang Zou

In this study, we present aLLM4TS, an innovative framework that adapts Large Language Models (LLMs) for time-series representation learning. Central to our approach is that we reconceive time-series forecasting as a self-supervised,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-12 Yuxuan Bian , Xuan Ju , Jiangtong Li , Zhijian Xu , Dawei Cheng , Qiang Xu

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) focuses on identifying whether observations in streaming data deviate significantly from normal patterns. With the prevalence of connected devices, anomaly detection on time series has become paramount,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-11 Samy-Melwan Vilhes , Gilles Gasso , Mokhtar Z Alaya

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is critical for maintaining the reliability of modern IT infrastructures, where complex anomalies frequently arise in highly dynamic environments. In this paper, we present TShape, a novel framework…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2025-10-02 Hang Cui , Jingjing Li , Haotian Si , Quan Zhou , Changhua Pei , Gaogang Xie , Dan Pei

Dataset pruning aims to construct a coreset capable of achieving performance comparable to the original, full dataset. Most existing dataset pruning methods rely on snapshot-based criteria to identify representative samples, often resulting…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-05-29 Xin Zhang , Jiawei Du , Yunsong Li , Weiying Xie , Joey Tianyi Zhou

Synthetic data has transformed language model training, yet its role in time series forecasting remains poorly understood. We present a large-scale empirical study: nine experiment groups, 4,218 runs systematically evaluating synthetic time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Hugo Cazaux , Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson , Hlynur Stefánsson

Data augmentation (DA) has become a de facto solution to expand training data size for deep learning. With the proliferation of deep models for time series analysis, various time series DA techniques are proposed in the literature, e.g.,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-21 Muxi Chen , Zhijian Xu , Ailing Zeng , Qiang Xu

Data augmentation is a widely used technique in many machine learning tasks, such as image classification, to virtually enlarge the training dataset size and avoid overfitting. Traditional data augmentation techniques for image…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-04-12 Hiroshi Inoue