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We propose a simulation-optimization-based methodology to improve the way that organ transplant offers are made to potential recipients. Our policy can be applied to all types of organs, is implemented starting at the local level, is…

医学物理 · 物理学 2022-12-01 Ignacio Erazo , David Goldsman , Pinar Keskinocak , Joel Sokol

Optimal stopping is the problem of deciding when to stop a stochastic system to obtain the greatest reward, arising in numerous application areas such as finance, healthcare and marketing. State-of-the-art methods for high-dimensional…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-01 Dragos Florin Ciocan , Velibor V. Mišić

We review the literature on individual patient organ acceptance decision making by presenting a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model to formulate the organ acceptance decision process as a stochastic control problem. Under the umbrella of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-03 Xingyu Ren , Michael C. Fu , Steven I. Marcus

The allocation of scarce donor organs constitutes one of the most consequential algorithmic challenges in healthcare. While the field is rapidly transitioning from rigid, rule-based systems to machine learning and data-driven optimization,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-27 Ioannis Anagnostides , Itai Zilberstein , Zachary W. Sollie , Arman Kilic , Tuomas Sandholm

We study sequential experiments where sampling is costly and a decision-maker aims to determine the best treatment for full scale implementation by (1) adaptively allocating units between two possible treatments, and (2) stopping the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-05-06 Karun Adusumilli

Heart transplantation is a viable path for patients suffering from advanced heart failure, but this lifesaving option is severely limited due to donor shortage. Although the current allocation policy was recently revised in 2018, a major…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Ioannis Anagnostides , Zachary W. Sollie , Arman Kilic , Tuomas Sandholm

Organ transplantation is often the last resort for treating end-stage illness, but the probability of a successful transplantation depends greatly on compatibility between donors and recipients. Current medical practice relies on coarse…

Most clinical prediction studies are developed from retrospective cohorts and reported as if all patient information were observed at once. In practice, clinicians face a more consequential question: \emph{when is there already enough…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-27 Hui-Mean Foo , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

Optimal stopping is the problem of determining when to stop a stochastic system in order to maximize reward, which is of practical importance in domains such as finance, operations management and healthcare. Existing methods for…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-03-28 Xinyi Guan , Velibor V. Mišić

We study the problem of a decision maker who must provide the best possible treatment recommendation based on an experiment. The desirability of the outcome distribution resulting from the policy recommendation is measured through a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-04-06 Anders Bredahl Kock , David Preinerstorfer , Bezirgen Veliyev

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

This work bridges the gap between staggered adoption designs and survival analysis to estimate causal effects in settings with time-varying treatments, addressing a fundamental challenge in medical research exemplified by the Stanford Heart…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Xiang Meng , Iavor Bojinov

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

In this article we study an optimal stopping/optimal control problem which models the decision facing a risk-averse agent over when to sell an asset. The market is incomplete so that the asset exposure cannot be hedged. In addition to the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-10 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

We introduce the notion of adaptive synchronisation for pushdown automata, in which there is an external observer who has no knowledge about the current state of the pushdown automaton, but can observe the contents of the stack. The…

形式语言与自动机理论 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 A. R. Balasubramanian , K. S. Thejaswini

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic impulse control problem when there is a fixed delay $\Delta$ between the decision and execution times. The dynamics of the controlled system between two impulses is an arbitrary adapted…

概率论 · 数学 2026-01-23 Said Hamadène , Ibtissam Hdhiri

Estimating the causal effect of a treatment or health policy with observational data can be challenging due to an imbalance of and a lack of overlap between treated and control covariate distributions. In the presence of limited overlap,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-24 Martha Barnard , Jared D. Huling , Julian Wolfson

This paper considers the problem of optimal sensor schedules for remote state estimation of discrete-event systems. In this setting, the sensors observe information from the plant and transmit the observable information to the receiver or…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-11-27 Yingying Liu , Jin Hu , Yongxia Yang , Wei Duan

Bayesian optimization has been proposed as a practical and efficient tool through which to tune parameters in many difficult settings. Recently, such techniques have been combined with real-time fMRI to propose a novel framework which turns…

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