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This study develops a digitalized forecasting-inventory optimization pipeline integrating traditional forecasting models, machine learning regressors, and deep sequence models within a unified inventory simulation framework. Using the M5…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-18 Swata Marik , Swayamjit Saha , Garga Chatterjee

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

In this work, multi-step traffic predictions are leveraged to enable multi-period planning in reconfigurable optical networks. The proposed framework aims to achieve spectrum savings by adapting the network to predicted time-varying…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Giannis Savva , Hafsa Maryam , Venkatesh Chebolu , Tania Panayiotou , Georgios Ellinas

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

Recently, there has been tremendous progress in developing each individual module of the standard perception-planning robot autonomy pipeline, including detection, tracking, prediction of other agents' trajectories, and ego-agent trajectory…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-10-19 Xinshuo Weng , Boris Ivanovic , Marco Pavone

Demand forecasting in the online fashion industry is particularly amendable to global, data-driven forecasting models because of the industry's set of particular challenges. These include the volume of data, the irregularity, the high…

Time series forecasting is essential for operational intelligence in the hospitality industry, and particularly challenging in large-scale, distributed systems. This study evaluates the performance of statistical, machine learning (ML),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-06 Issar Arab , Rodrigo Benitez

Ensemble weather predictions require statistical post-processing of systematic errors to obtain reliable and accurate probabilistic forecasts. Traditionally, this is accomplished with distributional regression models in which the parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Stephan Rasp , Sebastian Lerch

While most time series are non-stationary, it is inevitable for models to face the distribution shift issue in time series forecasting. Existing solutions manipulate statistical measures (usually mean and std.) to adjust time series…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Wei Fan , Kun Yi , Hangting Ye , Zhiyuan Ning , Qi Zhang , Ning An

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mixture models to forecast individual customer transactions,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-07 Lindsay R. Berry , Paul Helman , Mike West

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

Many planning and decision activities in logistics and supply chain management are based on forecasts of multiple time dependent factors. Therefore, the quality of planning depends on the quality of the forecasts. We compare various…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-07 Lena Schmid , Moritz Roidl , Markus Pauly

Forecast combination integrates information from various sources by consolidating multiple forecast results from the target time series. Instead of the need to select a single optimal forecasting model, this paper introduces a deep learning…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 Yinuo Ren , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang , Jue Wang

Rapid progress in machine learning and deep learning has enabled a wide range of applications in the electricity load forecasting of power systems, for instance, univariate and multivariate short-term load forecasting. Though the strong…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Yuqi Jiang , Yan Li , Yize Chen

The training phase is the most important stage during the machine learning process. In the case of labeled data and supervised learning, machine training consists in minimizing the loss function subject to different constraints. In an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Davide La Torre , Danilo Liuzzi , Marco Repetto , Matteo Rocca

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

The fourth industrial revolution creates ubiquitous sensor data in production plants. To generate maximum value out of these data, reliable and precise time series-based machine learning methods like temporal neural networks are needed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-05-22 Stefan Gaugel , Manfred Reichert

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren