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Uncertainties surrounding the energy transition often lead modelers to present large sets of scenarios that are challenging for policymakers to interpret and act upon. An alternative approach is to define a few qualitative storylines from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-14 Florian Joseph Baader , Stefano Moret , Wolfram Wiesemann , Iain Staffell , André Bardow

Participatory research in energy system modelling can generate bottom-up knowledge to explore co-designed future net-zero energy system scenarios. However, it often fails to facilitate collective learning, explore explicitly informed…

We explore the crucial interplay between climate change and power system planning, highlighting the urgent need to systematically integrate climate information into energy system studies. Climate change impacts the energy sector on multiple…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-05 Laurent Dubus , Alberto Troccoli , Aron zuiker , Laurens Stoop

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a…

The balancing provided by hydropower reservoirs is essential in the transition towards a decarbonised European energy system, but the resource might be impacted by future climate change. In this work, we first analyse the hydropower…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-09-07 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Marta Victoria

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

Renewable energy sources play a major role in future net-zero energy systems. However, achieving energy system resilience remains challenging, since renewables depend on weather fluctuations, and future energy systems are subject to major…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-12-16 Luna Bloin-Wibe , Erich Fischer , Leonard Göke , Reto Knutti , Francesco de Marco , Jan Wohland

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

Building on the carbon reduction targets agreed in the Paris Agreements, many nations have renewed their efforts toward achieving carbon neutrality by the year 2050. In line with this ambitious goal, nations are seeking to understand the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-10 Dinh Hoa Nguyen , Andrew Chapman , Takeshi Tsuji

In the face of escalating climate change, achieving significant reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from hard-to-abate industrial sectors is imperative. Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) represents an essential technological advancement…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-05-21 Mohammad Nooraiepour , Pawel Gladysz , Eirik Melaaen

In the process of decarbonization, the global energy mix is shifting from fossil fuels to renewables. To study decarbonization pathways, large-scale energy system models are utilized. These models require accurate data on renewable…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-01-22 Alexander Kies , Bruno U. Schyska , Mariia Bilousova , Omar El Sayed , Jakub Jurasz , Horst Stöcker

The retirement of unabated coal power plants, the plummeting cost of renewable energy technologies, along with more aggressive public policies and regulatory reforms, are occurring at an unprecedented speed to decarbonize the power and…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2022-10-19 Jian Shi , Dan Wang , Chenye Wu , Zhu Han

Renewable energy power is influenced by the atmospheric system, which exhibits nonlinear and time-varying features. To address this, a dynamic temporal correlation modeling framework is proposed for renewable energy scenario generation. A…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-27 Xiaochong Dong , Yilin Liu , Xuemin Zhang , Shengwei Mei

This integrated assessment modeling research analyzes what Korea's 2050 carbon neutrality would require for the national energy system and the role of the power sector concerning the availability of critical mitigation technologies. Our…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-03 Hanwoong Kim , Haewon McJeon , Dawoon Jung , Hanju Lee , Candelaria Bergero , Jiyong Eom

The net-zero energy transition is an extraordinary societal challenge. It requires a swift, radical and economy wide transformation. With the aim of informing research and policy, we identify general phases of this transition and the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-11-17 Joche Markard , Daniel Rosenbloom

Rigorous model-based analysis can help inform state-level energy and climate policy. In this study, we utilize an open-source energy system optimization model and publicly available datasets to examine future electricity generation, CO2…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-01-22 Binghui Li , Jeffrey Thomas , Anderson Rodrigo de Queiroz , Joseph F. DeCarolis

This article proposes a fundamental methodological shift in the modelling of policy interventions for sustainability transitions in order to account for complexity (e.g. self-reinforcing mechanism arising from multi-agent interactions) and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-03-23 J. -F. Mercure , H. Pollitt , A. M. Bassi , J. E Viñuales , N. R. Edwards

Power grid operations increasingly interact with environmental systems and human systems such as transportation, agriculture, the economy, and financial markets. Our objective is to discuss the modelling gaps and opportunities to advance…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-10-19 K. Oikonomou , J. Kern , B. Tarroja , N. Voisin

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner
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