Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling
Abstract
Energy system models underpin decisions by energy system planners and operators. Energy system modelling faces a transformation: accounting for changing meteorological conditions imposed by climate change. To enable that transformation, a community of practice in energy-climate modelling has started to form that aims to better integrate energy system models with weather and climate models. Here, we evaluate the disconnects between the energy system and climate modelling communities, then lay out a research agenda to bridge those disconnects. In the near-term, we propose interdisciplinary activities for expediting uptake of future climate data in energy system modelling. In the long-term, we propose a transdisciplinary approach to enable development of (1) energy-system-tailored climate datasets for historical and future meteorological conditions and (2) energy system models that can effectively leverage those datasets. This agenda increases the odds of meeting ambitious climate mitigation goals by systematically capturing and mitigating climate risk in energy sector decision making.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2205.15636,
title = {Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modeling},
author = {Michael T. Craig and Jan Wohland and Laurens P. Stoop and Alexander Kies and Bryn Pickering and Hannah C. Bloomfield and Jethro Browell and Matteo De Felice and Chris J. Dent and Adrien Deroubaix and Felix Frischmuth and Paula L. M. Gonzalez and Aleksander Grochowicz and Katharina Gruber and Philipp Härtel and Martin Kittel and Leander Kotzur and Inga Labuhn and Julie K. Lundquist and Noah Pflugradt and Karin van der Wiel and Marianne Zeyringer and David J. Brayshaw},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2205.15636},
year = {2023}
}
Comments
MTC, JW and LPS contributed equally to this manuscript. 25 pages, 2 figures. Fixed typos in manuscript title. This perspective is based on the discussion held at the 2021 Next Generations Challenges in Energy-Climate Modelling (NextGenEC'21) workshop