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A subjective expected utility policy making centre, managing complex, dynamic systems, needs to draw on the expertise of a variety of disparate panels of experts and integrate this information coherently. To achieve this, diverse supporting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-12-21 Jim Q. Smith , Martine J. Barons , Manuele Leonelli

This article gives a survey of the e-value, a statistical significance measure a.k.a. the evidence rendered by observational data, X, in support of a statistical hypothesis, H, or, the other way around, the epistemic value of H given X. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-29 Julio Michael Stern , Carlos Alberto de Braganca Pereira

The machine learning community adopted the use of null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) in order to ensure the statistical validity of results. Many scientific fields however realized the shortcomings of frequentist reasoning and in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Alessio Benavoli , Giorgio Corani , Janez Demsar , Marco Zaffalon

The last decades saw dramatic progress in brain research. These advances were often buttressed by probing single variables to make circumscribed discoveries, typically through null hypothesis significance testing. New ways for generating…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2019-03-26 Danilo Bzdok , John Ioannidis

This paper calls attention to the missing component of the recommender system evaluation process: Statistical Inference. There is active research in several components of the recommender system evaluation process: selecting baselines,…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-09-15 Ngozi Ihemelandu , Michael D. Ekstrand

Statistics has moved beyond the frequentist-Bayesian controversies of the past. Where does this leave our ability to interpret results? I suggest that a philosophy compatible with statistical practice, labeled here statistical pragmatism,…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2011-06-23 Robert E. Kass

Symbolic regression searches for analytic expressions that accurately describe studied phenomena. The main attraction of this approach is that it returns an interpretable model that can be insightful to users. Historically, the majority of…

Researchers often misinterpret and misrepresent statistical outputs. This abuse has led to a large literature on modification or replacement of testing thresholds and $P$-values with confidence intervals, Bayes factors, and other devices.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-02 Zad Rafi , Sander Greenland

In high-dimensional linear models, the sparsity assumption is typically made, stating that most of the parameters are equal to zero. Under the sparsity assumption, estimation and, recently, inference have been well studied. However, in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-09 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

I present a critique of the methods used in a typical paper. This leads to three broad conclusions about the conventional use of statistical methods. First, results are often reported in an unnecessarily obscure manner. Second, the null…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-03-05 Michael Wood

Concerns over reproducibility in science extend to research using existing healthcare data; many observational studies investigating the same topic produce conflicting results, even when using the same data. To address this problem, we…

A lot of Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) research is of an empirical nature. Nevertheless, statistical significance testing (SST) is still not widely used. This endangers true progress, as seeming improvements over a baseline…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-15 Dennis Ulmer , Christian Hardmeier , Jes Frellsen

Inference and decision making under uncertainty are key processes in every autonomous system and numerous robotic problems. In recent years, the similarities between inference and decision making triggered much work, from developing unified…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-01-06 Elad I. Farhi , Vadim Indelman

Deep learning techniques are rapidly advanced recently, and becoming a necessity component for widespread systems. However, the inference process of deep learning is black-box, and not very suitable to safety-critical systems which must…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-03-14 Hiroshi Kuwajima , Masayuki Tanaka , Masatoshi Okutomi

The study of online decision-making problems that leverage contextual information has drawn notable attention due to their significant applications in fields ranging from healthcare to autonomous systems. In modern applications, contextual…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-22 Qiyu Han , Will Wei Sun , Yichen Zhang

Innovation is the direct intended product of certain styles in research, but not of others. Fundamental conflicts between descriptive vs inferential statistics, deductive vs inductive hypothesis testing, and exploratory vs pre-planned…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-11-05 Scott E. Kern

Over the past two decades, the field of high-dimensional statistics has experienced substantial progress, driven largely by technological advances that have dramatically reduced the cost and effort for data collection and storage across a…

Statistical inference often conflates the probability of a parameter with the probability of a hypothesis, a critical misunderstanding termed the ultimate issue error. This error is pervasive across the social, biological, and medical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-07 Stanley E. Lazic

Experimental research on behavior and cognition frequently rests on stimulus or subject selection where not all characteristics can be fully controlled, even when attempting strict matching. For example, when contrasting patients to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-29 Jona Sassenhagen , Phillip M. Alday

Missing data is a fundamental challenge in data science, significantly hindering analysis and decision-making across a wide range of disciplines, including healthcare, bioinformatics, social science, e-commerce, and industrial monitoring.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Jicong Fan