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As climate change intensifies, the shift to cleaner energy sources becomes increasingly urgent. With wind energy production set to accelerate, reliable wind probabilistic forecasts are essential to ensure its efficient use. However, since…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-08 Jean-Sébastien Giroux , Simon-Philippe Breton , Julie Carreau

Deep learning-based approaches have demonstrated significant advancements in time series forecasting. Despite these ongoing developments, the complex dynamics of time series make it challenging to establish the rule of thumb for designing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-03 Bin Wang , Yongqi Han , Minbo Ma , Tianrui Li , Junbo Zhang , Feng Hong , Yanwei Yu

Oceanographic forecasting impacts various sectors of society by supporting environmental conservation and economic activities. Based on global circulation models, traditional forecasting methods are computationally expensive and slow,…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-06-09 Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez , Ángel Rodríguez-Santana

Modern deep learning models operating on multi-modal visual signals often rely on inductive biases that are poorly aligned with the physical processes governing signal formation, leading to brittle performance under cross-spectral and…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-23 Georgios Voulgaris

Accurate and robust weather forecasting remains a fundamental challenge due to the inherent spatio-temporal complexity of atmospheric systems. In this paper, we propose a novel self-supervised learning framework that leverages…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-04 Yao Liu

Deep Neural Networks have impressive classification performance, but this comes at the expense of significant computational resources at inference time. Autonomous Underwater Vehicles use low-power embedded systems for sonar image…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-09-08 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

A number of industrial applications, such as smart grids, power plant operation, hybrid system management or energy trading, could benefit from improved short-term solar forecasting, addressing the intermittent energy production from solar…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Climate change is one of the most critical challenges that our planet is facing today. Rising global temperatures are already bringing noticeable changes to Earth's weather and climate patterns with an increased frequency of unpredictable…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-01-19 Karandeep Singh , Chaeyoon Jeong , Naufal Shidqi , Sungwon Park , Arjun Nellikkattil , Elke Zeller , Meeyoung Cha

Persistent systematic errors in Earth system models (ESMs) arise from difficulties in representing the full diversity of subgrid, multiscale atmospheric convection and turbulence. Machine learning (ML) parameterizations trained on short…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-05-18 Helge Heuer , Tom Beucler , Mierk Schwabe , Julien Savre , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Severe convective storms are among the most dangerous weather phenomena and accurate forecasts mitigate their impacts. The recently released suite of AI-based weather models produces medium-range forecasts within seconds, with a skill…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-03-11 Monika Feldmann , Tom Beucler , Milton Gomez , Olivia Martius

Accurate and efficient climate simulations are crucial for understanding Earth's evolving climate. However, current general circulation models (GCMs) face challenges in capturing unresolved physical processes, such as cloud and convection.…

The advent of Large Weather Models (LWMs) has marked a turning point in data-driven forecasting, with many models now outperforming traditional numerical systems in the medium range. However, achieving stable, long-range autoregressive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-21 Minjong Cheon

Recent advances in hardware and big data acquisition have accelerated the development of deep learning techniques. For an extended period of time, increasing the model complexity has led to performance improvements for various tasks.…

Weather forecast plays an essential role in multiple aspects of the daily life of human beings. Currently, physics based numerical weather prediction is used to predict the weather and requires enormous amount of computational resources. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-14 Akshay Punjabi , Pablo Izquierdo Ayala

Accurate day-ahead individual residential load forecasting is of great importance to various applications of smart grid on day-ahead market. Deep learning, as a powerful machine learning technology, has shown great advantages and promising…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2019-12-23 Yunyou Huang , Nana Wang , Wanling Gao , Xiaoxu Guo , Cheng Huang , Tianshu Hao , Jianfeng Zhan

We present WeatherMesh-3 (WM-3), an operational transformer-based global weather forecasting system that improves the state of the art in both accuracy and computational efficiency. We introduce the following advances: 1) a latent rollout…

Achieving net zero carbon emissions by 2050 requires the integration of increasing amounts of wind power into power grids. This energy source poses a challenge to system operators due to its variability and uncertainty. Therefore, accurate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-23 Julie Keisler , Etienne Le Naour

By the end of 2021, the renewable energy share of the global electricity capacity reached 38.3% and the new installations are dominated by wind and solar energy, showing global increases of 12.7% and 18.5%, respectively. However, both wind…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

Mesoscale eddies are of utmost importance in understanding ocean dynamics and the transport of heat, salt, and nutrients. Accurate representation of these eddies in ocean models is essential for improving model predictions. However,…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2024-06-07 Guosong Wang , Min Hou , Xinrong Wu , Xidong Wang , Zhigang Gao , Hongli Fu , Bo Dan , Chunjian Sun , Xiaoshuang Zhang

Accurate medium-range precipitation forecasting is crucial for hydrometeorological risk management and disaster mitigation, yet remains challenging for current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Traditional ensemble systems such as…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-10-24 Tianyi Xiong , Haonan Chen