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Many data have an underlying dependence on spatial location; it may be weather on the Earth, a simulation on a mesh, or a registered image. Yet this feature is rarely taken advantage of, and violates common assumptions made by many neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-28 Nikoli Dryden , Torsten Hoefler

Space-Time Projection (STP) is introduced as a data-driven forecasting approach for high-dimensional and time-resolved data. The method computes extended space-time proper orthogonal modes from training data spanning a prediction horizon…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-04-01 Oliver T. Schmidt

Advancing epidemic dynamics forecasting is vital for targeted interventions and safeguarding public health. Current approaches mainly fall into two categories: mechanism-based and data-driven models. Mechanism-based models are constrained…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Rui Sun , Chenghua Gong , Tianjun Gu , Yuhao Zheng , Jie Ding , Juyuan Zhang , Liming Pan , Linyuan Lü

In this work we present a spatial-temporal convolutional neural network for predicting future COVID-19 related symptoms severity among a population, per region, given its past reported symptoms. This can help approximate the number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-15 Ravid Shwartz-Ziv , Itamar Ben Ari , Amitai Armon

In self-driving, predicting future in terms of location and motion of all the agents around the vehicle is a crucial requirement for planning. Recently, a new joint formulation of perception and prediction has emerged by fusing rich sensory…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-08-12 Adil Kaan Akan , Fatma Güney

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

Pre-trained on tremendous image-text pairs, vision-language models like CLIP have demonstrated promising zero-shot generalization across numerous image-based tasks. However, extending these capabilities to video tasks remains challenging…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-03-26 Zichen Liu , Kunlun Xu , Bing Su , Xu Zou , Yuxin Peng , Jiahuan Zhou

As the COVID-19 pandemic evolves, reliable prediction plays an important role for policy making. The classical infectious disease model SEIR (susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered) is a compact yet simplistic temporal model. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-20 Yunling Zheng , Zhijian Li , Jack Xin , Guofa Zhou

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

Global pandemics, such as the recent COVID-19 crisis, highlight the need for stochastic epidemic models that can capture the randomness inherent in the spread of disease. Such models must be accompanied by methods for estimating parameters…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-04-13 Vincent Wieland , Nils Wassmuth , Lorenzo Contento , Martin Kühn , Jan Hasenauer

In this paper, a unified susceptible-exposed-infected-susceptible-aware (SEIS-A) framework is proposed to combine epidemic spreading with individuals' on-line self-consultation behaviors. An epidemic spreading prediction model is…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Yun Feng , Bing-Chuan Wang

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

The Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction (STTP) problem is a classical problem with plenty of prior research efforts that benefit from traditional statistical learning and recent deep learning approaches. While STTP can refer to many…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-04-12 Leye Wang , Di Chai , Xuanzhe Liu , Liyue Chen , Kai Chen

Mathematical models in ecology and epidemiology must be consistent with observed data in order to generate reliable knowledge and evidence-based policy. Metapopulation systems, which consist of a network of connected sub-populations, pose…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-07 Jifan Li , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King , Mercedes Pascual , Ning Ning

Nowadays, navigation and ride-sharing apps have collected numerous images with spatio-temporal data. A core technology for analyzing such images, associated with spatiotemporal information, is Traffic Scene Understanding (TSU), which aims…

多媒体 · 计算机科学 2025-11-13 Jingtian Ma , Jingyuan Wang , Wayne Xin Zhao , Guoping Liu , Xiang Wen

Infectious diseases that incorporate pre-symptomatic transmission are challenging to monitor, model, predict and contain. We address this scenario by studying a variant of a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered model on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

The ability to predict future events or patterns based on previous experience is crucial for many applications such as traffic control, weather forecasting, or supply chain management. While modern supervised Machine Learning approaches…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2024-10-16 Florian Feiler , Emre Neftci , Younes Bouhadjar

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Although significant achievements have been achieved by recurrent neural network (RNN) based video prediction methods, their performance in datasets with high resolutions is still far from satisfactory because of the information loss…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-10 Zheng Chang , Xinfeng Zhang , Shanshe Wang , Siwei Ma , Wen Gao

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski