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In spite of its importance, passenger demand prediction is a highly challenging problem, because the demand is simultaneously influenced by the complex interactions among many spatial and temporal factors and other external factors such as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-15 Xiaoyuan Liang , Guiling Wang , Martin Renqiang Min , Yi Qi , Zhu Han

We investigate ensembling techniques in forecasting and examine their potential for use in nonseasonal time-series similar to those in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Developing improved forecast methods is essential as they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-04 Pieter Cawood , Terence L. van Zyl

For traffic prediction in transportation services such as car-sharing and ride-hailing, mid-term road traffic prediction (within a few hours) is considered essential. However, the existing road-level traffic prediction has mainly studied…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-08-26 Sumin Han , Jisun An , Dongman Lee

Spatio-temporal area-level datasets play a critical role in official statistics, providing valuable insights for policy-making and regional planning. Accurate modeling and forecasting of these datasets can be extremely useful for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-06 Zhenhua Wang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) has long been a key research focus. Traditionally, these studies assume a fixed number of variables, but in real-world applications, Cyber-Physical Systems often expand as new sensors are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Minbo Ma , Kai Tang , Huan Li , Fei Teng , Dalin Zhang , Tianrui Li

Traffic flow forecasting has emerged as an indispensable mission for daily life, which is required to utilize the spatiotemporal relationship between each location within a time period under a graph structure to predict future flow.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-27 Runfei Chen

Traffic data imputation is fundamentally important to support various applications in intelligent transportation systems such as traffic flow prediction. However, existing time-to-space sequential methods often fail to effectively extract…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Yiming Wang , Hao Peng , Senzhang Wang , Haohua Du , Chunyang Liu , Jia Wu , Guanlin Wu

Machine learning for early syndrome diagnosis aims to solve the intricate task of predicting a ground truth label that most often is the outcome (effect) of a medical consensus definition applied to observed clinical measurements (causes),…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Michael Staniek , Marius Fracarolli , Michael Hagmann , Stefan Riezler

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

The COVID-19 outbreak has stimulated the interest in the proposal of novel epidemiological models to predict the course of the epidemic so as to help planning effective control strategies. In particular, in order to properly interpret the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-29 Andrea Zugarini , Enrico Meloni , Alessandro Betti , Andrea Panizza , Marco Corneli , Marco Gori

Within the field of complicated multivariate time series forecasting (TSF), popular techniques frequently rely on intricate deep learning architectures, ranging from transformer-based designs to recurrent neural networks. However, recent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-25 Aiyinsi Zuo , Haixi Zhang , Zirui Li , Ce Zheng

Spatiotemporal predictive learning (ST-PL) is a hotspot with numerous applications, such as object movement and meteorological prediction. It aims at predicting the subsequent frames via observed sequences. However, inherent uncertainty…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-04-13 Zenghao Chai , Zhengzhuo Xu , Yunpeng Bai , Zhihui Lin , Chun Yuan

As Federated Learning (FL) expands to larger and more distributed environments, consistency in training is challenged by network-induced delays, clock unsynchronicity, and variability in client updates. This combination of factors may…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-12 Baran Can Gül , Stefanos Tziampazis , Nasser Jazdi , Michael Weyrich

In this paper, we develop a method to estimate the infection-rate of a disease, over a region, as a field that varies in space and time. To do so, we use time-series of case-counts of symptomatic patients as observed in the areal units that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Cosmin Safta , Wyatt Bridgman , Jaideep Ray

Forecasting disease spread is a critical tool to help public health officials design and plan public health interventions. However, the expected future state of an epidemic is not necessarily well defined as disease spread is inherently…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-05-05 Mariah C. Boudreau , Andrea J. Allen , Nicholas J. Roberts , Antoine Allard , Laurent Hébert-Dufresne

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition that seriously endangers millions of people over the world. Hopefully, with the widespread availability of electronic health records (EHR), predictive models that can effectively deal with clinical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-10-16 Luchen Liu , Haoxian Wu , Zichang Wang , Zequn Liu , Ming Zhang

The paper introduces an approach to identify a set of spatially constrained homogeneous areas maximally homogeneous in terms of epidemic trends. The proposed hierarchical algorithm is based on the Dynamic TimeWarping distances between…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Roberto Benedetti , Federica Piersimoni , Giacomo Pignataro , Francesco Vidoli

Mathematical models of epidemics often use compartmental models dividing the population into several compartments. Based on a microscopic setting describing the temporal evolution of the subpopulation sizes in the compartments by stochastic…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-03-11 Florent Ouabo Kamkumo , Ibrahim Mbouandi Njiasse , Ralf Wunderlich

Traffic prediction, an essential component for intelligent transportation systems, endeavours to use historical data to foresee future traffic features at specific locations. Although existing traffic prediction models often emphasize…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-09 Chenxi Liu , Sun Yang , Qianxiong Xu , Zhishuai Li , Cheng Long , Ziyue Li , Rui Zhao

Air pollution remains a major environmental risk factor that is often associated with adverse health outcomes. However, quantifying and evaluating its effects on human health is challenging due to the complex nature of exposure data. Recent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-02 Soumyakanti Pan , Sudipto Banerjee