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相关论文: Variational Inference for Bayesian MIDAS Regressio…

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Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Monte Carlo integration becomes prohibitively expensive when each sample requires a high-fidelity model evaluation. Multi-fidelity uncertainty quantification methods mitigate this by combining estimators from high- and low-fidelity models,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-27 Thomas E. Coons , Aniket Jivani , Xun Huan

We review recently proposed Bayesian approaches for clustering high-dimensional data. After identifying the main limitations of available approaches, we introduce an alternative framework based on vertical consensus inference (VCI) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-31 Khai Nguyen , Yang Ni , Peter Mueller

We propose a computationally efficient estimator, formulated as a convex program, for a broad class of non-linear regression problems that involve difference of convex (DC) non-linearities. The proposed method can be viewed as a significant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-04-01 Sohail Bahmani

We pursue tractable Bayesian analysis of generalized linear models (GLMs) for categorical data. Thus far, GLMs are difficult to scale to more than a few dozen categories due to non-conjugacy or strong posterior dependencies when using…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-02 Michael T. Wojnowicz , Shuchin Aeron , Eric L. Miller , Michael C. Hughes

We develop Bayesian machine learning methods for mixed data sampling (MIDAS) regressions. This involves handling frequency mismatches and specifying functional relationships between many predictors and the dependent variable. We use…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-09-11 Niko Hauzenberger , Massimiliano Marcellino , Michael Pfarrhofer , Anna Stelzer

We develop a variational Bayesian (VB) approach for estimating large-scale dynamic network models in the network autoregression framework. The VB approach allows for the automatic identification of the dynamic structure of such a model and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-19 Wei-Ting Lai , Ray-Bing Chen , Ying Chen , Thorsten Koch

Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) provides distribution-free prediction intervals with asymptotic coverage guarantees for time series under distribution shift. However, ACI only adapts the quantile threshold -- it cannot shift the interval…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-16 Ankit Lade , Sai Krishna J. , Indar Kumar

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

In many practices, scientists are particularly interested in detecting which of the predictors are truly associated with a multivariate response. It is more accurate to model multiple responses as one vector rather than separating each…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Xiaotian Dai , Guifang Fu , Randall Reese , Shaofei Zhao , Zuofeng Shang

Learning latent representations that are simultaneously expressive, geometrically well-structured, and reliably calibrated remains a central challenge for Variational Autoencoders (VAEs). Standard VAEs typically assume a diagonal Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-02 Mehmet Can Yavuz

Multidimensional numerical integration is a central ingredient of theoretical predictions in high-energy physics, where multiloop Feynman diagrams and phase-space integrals are computationally demanding due to divergences and complex…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-26 Konstantinos Pyretzidis , Jorge J. Martínez de Lejarza , Germán Rodrigo

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-03-14 Chong Wang , David M. Blei

We propose an adaptive confidence interval procedure (CIP) for the coefficients in the normal linear regression model. This procedure has a frequentist coverage rate that is constant as a function of the model parameters, yet provides…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-10 Peter D. Hoff , Chaoyu Yu

In this work, we investigate the large-scale mean-field variational inference (MFVI) problem from a mini-batch primal-dual perspective. By reformulating MFVI as a constrained finite-sum problem, we develop a novel primal-dual algorithm…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-11 Jinhua Lyu , Tianmin Yu , Ying Ma , Naichen Shi

We present a Gaussian Variational Inference (GVI) technique that can be applied to large-scale nonlinear batch state estimation problems. The main contribution is to show how to fit both the mean and (inverse) covariance of a Gaussian to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-04-13 Timothy D. Barfoot , James R. Forbes , David Yoon

In recent years, data selection has emerged as a core issue for large-scale visual-language model pretraining, especially on noisy web-curated datasets. One widely adopted strategy assigns quality scores such as CLIP similarity for each…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-06 Yiping Wang , Yifang Chen , Wendan Yan , Kevin Jamieson , Simon Shaolei Du

We consider a binary unsupervised classification problem where each observation is associated with an unobserved label that we want to retrieve. More precisely, we assume that there are two groups of observation: normal and abnormal. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-05-05 Stevenn Volant , Marie-Laure Martin Magniette , Stéphane Robin

Variational inference (VI) is a computationally efficient and scalable methodology for approximate Bayesian inference. It strikes a balance between accuracy of uncertainty quantification and practical tractability. It excels at generative…

Gaussian graphical models are widely used to infer dependence structures. Bayesian methods are appealing to quantify uncertainty associated with structural learning, i.e., the plausibility of conditional independence statements given the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-05 Deborah Sulem , Jack Jewson , David Rossell