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Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

When cloud layers cover photovoltaic (PV) panels, the amount of power the panels produce fluctuates rapidly. Therefore, to maintain enough energy on a power grid to match demand, utilities companies rely on reserve power sources that…

Amongst all the renewable energy resources (RES), solar is the most popular form of energy source and is of particular interest for its widely integration into the power grid. However, due to the intermittent nature of solar source, it is…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-10 Ekanki Sharma , Wilfried Elmenreich

Accurate forecasting of photovoltaic power is essential for reliable grid integration, yet remains difficult due to highly variable irradiance, complex meteorological drivers, site geography, and device-specific behavior. Although…

Photovoltaic systems have been widely deployed in recent times to meet the increased electricity demand as an environmental-friendly energy source. The major challenge for integrating photovoltaic systems in power systems is the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-13 Reza Zafarani , Sara Eftekharnejad , Urvi Patel

Predicting the short-term power output of a photovoltaic panel is an important task for the efficient management of smart grids. Short-term forecasting at the minute scale, also known as nowcasting, can benefit from sky images captured by…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-10-16 Jinsong Zhang , Rodrigo Verschae , Shohei Nobuhara , Jean-François Lalonde

The high penetration of volatile renewable energy sources such as solar make methods for coping with the uncertainty associated with them of paramount importance. Probabilistic forecasts are an example of these methods, as they assist…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-21 Vinayak Sharma , Jorge Angel Gonzalez Ordiano , Ralf Mikut , Umit Cali

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2026-05-20 Sumit Laha , Ankit Sharma , Hassan Foroosh

Ahead-of-time forecasting of the output power of power plants is essential for the stability of the electricity grid and ensuring uninterrupted service. However, forecasting renewable energy sources is difficult due to the chaotic behavior…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-10-27 Anas Al-lahham , Obaidah Theeb , Khaled Elalem , Tariq A. Alshawi , Saleh A. Alshebeili

Short- or mid-term rainfall forecasting is a major task with several environmental applications such as agricultural management or flood risk monitoring. Existing data-driven approaches, especially deep learning models, have shown…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-01-13 Vincent Bouget , Dominique Béréziat , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Arthur Filoche

This paper presents a parametric model approach to address the problem of photovoltaic generation forecasting in a scenario where measurements of meteorological variables, i.e., solar irradiance and temperature, are not available at the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-20 Daniele Pepe , Gianni Bianchini , Antonio Vicino

Reliable forecasts of the power output from variable renewable energy generators like solar photovoltaic systems are important to balancing load on real-time electricity markets and ensuring electricity supply reliability. However, solar PV…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-07 Andea Scott , Sindhu Sreedhara , Folasade Ayoola

In this paper, a stochastic model with regime switching is developed for solar photo-voltaic (PV) power in order to provide short-term probabilistic forecasts. The proposed model for solar PV power is physics inspired and explicitly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-09-19 Raksha Ramakrishna , Anna Scaglione , Vijay Vittal

Meteorological satellite imagery is critical for meteorologists. The data have played an important role in monitoring and analyzing weather and climate changes. However, satellite imagery is a kind of observation data and exists a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-09-26 Fang Huang , Wencong Cheng , PanFeng Wang , ZhiGang Wang , HongHong He

Several energy management applications rely on accurate photovoltaic generation forecasts. Common metrics like mean absolute error or root-mean-square error, omit error-distribution details needed for stochastic optimization. In addition,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Philipp Danner , Hermann de Meer

Nowcasting is a field of meteorology which aims at forecasting weather on a short term of up to a few hours. In the meteorology landscape, this field is rather specific as it requires particular techniques, such as data extrapolation, where…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-12-18 Léa Berthomier , Bruno Pradel , Lior Perez

To address the high levels of uncertainty associated with photovoltaic energy, an increasing number of studies focusing on short-term solar forecasting (i.e. nowcasting) have been published. Most of these studies use deep-learning-based…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-07 Lorenzo F. C. Varaschin , Danilo Silva

Solar power harbors immense potential in mitigating climate change by substantially reducing CO$_{2}$ emissions. Nonetheless, the inherent variability of solar irradiance poses a significant challenge for seamlessly integrating solar power…

Despite the advances in the field of solar energy, improvements of solar forecasting techniques, addressing the intermittent electricity production, remain essential for securing its future integration into a wider energy supply. A…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2020-05-25 Quentin Paletta , Joan Lasenby

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón
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