相关论文: Structural grouping of extreme value models via gr…
Focusing on regression based analysis of extremes in a presence of systematically missing covariates, this work presents a data-driven spatio-temporal regression based clustering of threshold excesses. It is shown that in a presence of…
The generalised extreme value (GEV) distribution is a three parameter family that describes the asymptotic behaviour of properly renormalised maxima of a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables. If the shape…
Due to its heavy-tailed and fully parametric form, the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) has been receiving much attention for modeling extreme events in signal and image processing applications. Considering the…
In this paper we develop inference for high dimensional linear models, with serially correlated errors. We examine Lasso under the assumption of strong mixing in the covariates and error process, allowing for fatter tails in their…
When modeling a vector of risk variables, extreme scenarios are often of special interest. The peaks-over-thresholds method hinges on the notion that, asymptotically, the excesses over a vector of high thresholds follow a multivariate…
Due to the skessed distribution, high peak and thick tail and asymmetry of financial return data, it is difficult to describe the traditional distribution. In recent years, generalized autoregressive score (GAS) has been used in many fields…
Robust clustering of high-dimensional data is an important topic because clusters in real datasets are often heavy-tailed and/or asymmetric. Traditional approaches to model-based clustering often fail for high dimensional data, e.g., due to…
The Extended Generalized Pareto Distribution (EGPD) (Naveau et al. 2016) is a family of distribution that has been introduced to model the full range of a positive random variable but with the lower and the upper tails distributed according…
Model-based clustering imposes a finite mixture modelling structure on data for clustering. Finite mixture models assume that the population is a convex combination of a finite number of densities, the distribution within each population is…
This article proposes a mixture modeling approach to estimating cluster-wise conditional distributions in clustered (grouped) data. We adapt the mixture-of-experts model to the latent distributions, and propose a model in which each…
A key building block in the design of ultra-reliable communication systems is a wireless channel model that captures the statistics of rare events occurring due to significant fading. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology based on…
We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…
An important question in health services research is the estimation of the proportion of medical expenditures that exceed a given threshold. Typically, medical expenditures present highly skewed, heavy tailed distributions, for which (a)…
We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…
Graph clustering is an unsupervised machine learning method that partitions the nodes in a graph into different groups. Despite achieving significant progress in exploiting both attributed and structured data information, graph clustering…
This paper proposes a goodness of fit test for the generalized Pareto distribution (GPD). Firstly, we provide two characterizations of GPD based on Stein's identity and dynamic survival extropy. These characterizations are used to test GPD…
In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…
A location- and scale-invariant predictor is constructed which exhibits good probability matching for extreme predictions outside the span of data drawn from a variety of (stationary) general distributions. It is constructed via the…
We introduce and study the Group Square-Root Lasso (GSRL) method for estimation in high dimensional sparse regression models with group structure. The new estimator minimizes the square root of the residual sum of squares plus a penalty…
A weighted Gaussian approximation to tail product-limit process for Pareto-like distributions of randomly right-truncated data is provided and a new consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the extreme value index is derived. A…