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The related concepts of partisan belief systems, issue alignment, and partisan sorting are central to our understanding of politics. These phenomena have been studied using measures of alignment between pairs of topics, or how much…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-01-14 Letizia Iannucci , Ali Faqeeh , Ali Salloum , Ted Hsuan Yun Chen , Mikko Kivelä

Our paper aims to analyze political polarization in US political system using Language Models, and thereby help candidates make an informed decision. The availability of this information will help voters understand their candidates views on…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-01-04 Samiran Gode , Supreeth Bare , Bhiksha Raj , Hyungon Yoo

This paper examines the impact of temperature shocks on European Parliament elections. We combine high-resolution climate data with results from parliamentary elections between 1989 and 2019, aggregated at the NUTS-2 regional level.…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-03 Marco Dueñas , Hector Galindo-Silva , Antoine Mandel

The emergence of opinion polarization within human communities -- the phenomenon that individuals within a society tend to develop conflicting attitudes related to the greatest diversity of topics -- has been a focus of interest for…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-10-05 Anna Zafeiris

Political polarization has become a growing concern in democratic societies, as it drives tribal alignments and erodes civic deliberation among citizens. Given its prevalence across different countries, previous research has sought to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-07-01 Federico Zimmerman , Lucía Pedraza , Joaquín Navajas , Pablo Balenzuela

We measure polarization in the United States Congress using the network science concept of modularity. Modularity provides a conceptually-clear measure of polarization that reveals both the number of relevant groups and the strength of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2011-07-26 Andrew Scott Waugh , Liuyi Pei , James H. Fowler , Peter J. Mucha , Mason A. Porter

The simplified hypothesis that an election is polarized as an explanation of recent electoral outcomes worldwide is centered on perceptions of voting patterns rather than ideological data from the electorate. While the literature focuses on…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2024-07-30 Carlos Navarrete , Mariana Macedo , Viktor Stojkoski , Marcela Parada-Contzen , Christopher A Martínez

A method for studying exact properties of a class of {\it inhomogeneous} stochastic many-body systems is developed and presented in the framework of a voter model perturbed by the presence of a ``zealot'', an individual allowed to favour an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Mauro Mobilia

This study seeks to identify and quantify biases in simulating political samples with Large Language Models, specifically focusing on vote choice and public opinion. Using the GPT-3.5-Turbo model, we leverage data from the American National…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-17 Weihong Qi , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

Polarization, defined as the emergence of sharply divided groups with opposing and often extreme views, is an increasingly prominent feature of modern societies. While many studies analyze this phenomenon in the context of single issues,…

It is known that individual opinions on different policy issues often align to a dominant ideological dimension (e.g. "left" vs. "right") and become increasingly polarized. We provide an agent-based model that reproduces these two stylized…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Simon Schweighofer , David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer

The flourishing of fake news is favored by recommendation algorithms of online social networks which, based on previous users activity, provide content adapted to their preferences and so create filter bubbles. We introduce an analytically…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-28 Giordano De Marzo , Andrea Zaccaria , Claudio Castellano

Users online tend to join polarized groups of like-minded peers around shared narratives, forming echo chambers. The echo chamber effect and opinion polarization may be driven by several factors including human biases in information…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-05-15 Carlo Michele Valensise , Matteo Cinelli , Walter Quattrociocchi

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We present a model that explores the influence of persuasion in a population of agents with positive and negative opinion orientations. The opinion of each agent is represented by an integer number $k$ that expresses its level of agreement…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-05-30 C. E. La Rocca , L. A. Braunstein , F. Vazquez

Engaging with dissenting views, fostering productive disagreements or strategic anticonformity can benefit organizations as it challenges the status quo. The question arises, however, whether such strategic anticonformity ultimately leads…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-04-08 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

Nowadays, in societies threatened by atomization, selfishness, short-term thinking, and alienation from political life, there is a renewed debate about classical questions concerning the quality of democratic decision-making. In this work a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. G. Alves , N. M. Oliveira Neto , M. L. Martins

Many social interactions are group-based, yet their role in social polarization remains largely unexplored. To bridge this gap here we introduce a higher-order framework that takes into account both group interactions and homophily. We find…

Polarization of societies is getting more and more attention from researchers working at the intersection of many fields, because it seems to be a defining feature of many public domains. In this paper, we are going to investigate how the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2019-10-14 Janusz Szwabiński , Tomasz Weron

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft