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This paper presents an approach to modeling progressive event-history data when the overall objective is prediction based on time-dependent covariates. This approach does not model the hazard function directly. Instead, it models the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-09-07 Song Cai , James V. Zidek , Nathaniel Newlands

The individual data collected throughout patient follow-up constitute crucial information for assessing the risk of a clinical event, and eventually for adapting a therapeutic strategy. Joint models and landmark models have been proposed to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-07-17 Anthony Devaux , Robin Genuer , Karine Pérès , Cécile Proust-Lima

Given functional data from a survival process with time-dependent covariates, we derive a smooth convex representation for its nonparametric log-likelihood functional and obtain its functional gradient. From this, we devise a generic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Donald K. K. Lee , Ningyuan Chen , Hemant Ishwaran

With the availability of massive amounts of data from electronic health records and registry databases, incorporating time-varying patient information to improve risk prediction has attracted great attention. To exploit the growing amount…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-08-29 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Colin O. Wu , Meghan McGarry , Chiung-Yu Huang

The problem of dynamic prediction with time-dependent covariates, given by biomarkers, repeatedly measured over time, has received much attention over the last decades. Two contrasting approaches have become in widespread use. The first is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-31 Hein Putter , Hans C. van Houwelingen

This paper investigates the integration of gradient boosted decision trees and varying coefficient models. We introduce the tree boosted varying coefficient framework which justifies the implementation of decision tree boosting as the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-03 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

Traditional survival models often rely on restrictive assumptions such as proportional hazards or instantaneous effects of time-varying covariates on the hazard function, which limit their applicability in real-world settings. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-30 Bingqing Hu , Bin Nan

In survival analysis, estimating the conditional survival function given predictors is often of interest. There is a growing trend in the development of deep learning methods for analyzing censored time-to-event data, especially when…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Sehwan Kim , Rui Wang , Wenbin Lu

In recent years, the growing availability of biomedical datasets featuring numerous longitudinal covariates has motivated the development of several multi-step methods for the dynamic prediction of survival outcomes. These methods employ…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-14 Mirko Signorelli , Sophie Retif

A key question in clinical practice is accurate prediction of patient prognosis. To this end, nowadays, physicians have at their disposal a variety of tests and biomarkers to aid them in optimizing medical care. These tests are often…

In epidemiological studies of time-to-event data, a quantity of interest to the clinician and the patient is the risk of an event given a covariate profile. However, methods relying on time matching or risk-set sampling (including Cox…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-23 Sahir Rai Bhatnagar , Maxime Turgeon , Jesse Islam , James A. Hanley , Olli Saarela

Predicting patient survival probabilities based on observed covariates is an important assessment in clinical practice. These patient-specific covariates are often measured over multiple follow-up appointments. It is then of interest to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-11 Annabel L. Davies , Anthony C. C. Coolen , Tobias Galla

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Mixture cure models are widely used in survival analysis when a portion of patients is considered cured and is no longer at risk for the event of interest. In clinical settings, dynamic survival prediction is particularly important to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-24 Marta Cipriani , Marco Alfò , Mirko Signorelli

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

We study the multiplicative hazards model with intermittently observed longitudinal covariates and time-varying coefficients. For such models, the existing ad hoc approach, such as the last value carried forward, is biased. We propose a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-13 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao

This work extends causal inference with stochastic confounders. We propose a new approach to variational estimation for causal inference based on a representer theorem with a random input space. We estimate causal effects involving latent…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-01-26 Thanh Vinh Vo , Pengfei Wei , Wicher Bergsma , Tze-Yun Leong

We propose two novel approaches for estimating time-varying effects of functional predictors within a linear functional Cox model framework. This model allows for time-varying associations of a functional predictor observed at baseline,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-20 Hongyu Du , Andrew Leroux

In biomedical studies it is common to collect data on multiple biomarkers during study follow-up for dynamic prediction of a time-to-event clinical outcome. The biomarkers are typically intermittently measured, missing at some event times,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-05 Ning Li , Yi Liu , Shanpeng Li , Robert M. Elashoff , Gang Li

The proliferation of medical monitoring devices makes it possible to track health vitals at high frequency, enabling the development of dynamic health risk scores that change with the underlying readings. Survival analysis, in particular…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-12-07 Xiaochen Wang , Arash Pakbin , Bobak J. Mortazavi , Hongyu Zhao , Donald K. K. Lee
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