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Water events are the most frequent and costliest climate disasters around the world. In the U.S., an estimated 127 million people who live in coastal areas are at risk of substantial home damage from hurricanes or flooding. In flood…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-29 Bahareh Alizadeh , Diya Li , Zhe Zhang , Amir H. Behzadan

Sharp asymptotic lower bounds of the expected quadratic variation of discretization error in stochastic integration are given. The theory relies on inequalities for the kurtosis and skewness of a general random variable which are themselves…

概率论 · 数学 2012-04-04 Masaaki Fukasawa

In this work, we develop a distributed source routing algorithm for topology discovery suitable for ISP transport networks, that is however inspired by opportunistic algorithms used in ad hoc wireless networks. We propose a plug-and-play…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2011-05-02 Christophe Betoule , Thomas Bonald , Remi Clavier , Dario Rossi , Giuseppe Rossini , Gilles Thouenon

We study optimal proportional reinsurance and investment strategies for an insurance company which experiences both ordinary and catastrophic claims and wishes to maximize the expected exponential utility of its terminal wealth. We propose…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2021-05-18 Claudia Ceci , Katia Colaneri , Alessandra Cretarola

This paper considers an insurer with two collaborating business lines, and the risk exposure of each line follows a diffusion risk model. The manager of the insurer makes three decisions for each line: (i) dividend payout, (ii)…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-12 Tim J. Boonen , Engel John C. Dela Vega , Bin Zou

Risk-sensitive planning aims to identify policies maximizing some tail-focused metrics in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Such an optimization task can be very costly for the most widely used and interpretable metrics such as threshold…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-07-09 Alexandre Marthe , Samuel Bounan , Aurélien Garivier , Claire Vernade

We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2015-02-10 Tatiana Belkina , Shangzhen Luo

Assessing systemic risk in financial markets is of great importance but it often requires data that are unavailable or available at a very low frequency. For this reason, systemic risk assessment with partial information is potentially very…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-08-01 Domenico Di Gangi , Fabrizio Lillo , Davide Pirino

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

We examine the problem of optimal portfolio allocation within the framework of utility theory. We apply exponential utility to derive the optimal diversification strategy and logarithmic utility to determine the optimal leverage. We enhance…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-01 Vladimir Markov

The field of portfolio selection is an active research topic, which combines elements and methodologies from various fields, such as optimization, decision analysis, risk management, data science, forecasting, etc. The modeling and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-28 A. Georgantas

Electric utilities must make massive capital investments in the coming years to respond to explosive growth in demand, aging assets and rising threats from extreme weather. Utilities today already have rigorous frameworks for capital…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-04-06 Emma Benjaminson

Network theory proved recently to be useful in the quantification of many properties of financial systems. The analysis of the structure of investment portfolios is a major application since their eventual correlation and overlap impact the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-09 Danilo Delpini , Stefano Battiston , Guido Caldarelli , Massimo Riccaboni

Critical infrastructure protection (CIP) is envisioned to be one of the most challenging security problems in the coming decade. One key challenge in CIP is the ability to allocate resources, either personnel or cyber, to critical…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2017-02-22 AbdelRahman Eldosouky , Walid Saad , Charles Kamhoua , and Kevin Kwiat

We consider optimal stopping problems, in which a sequence of independent random variables is drawn from a known continuous density. The objective of such problems is to find a procedure which maximizes the expected reward; this is often…

概率论 · 数学 2020-12-07 Hugh Entwistle , Christopher Lustri , Georgy Sofronov

In this paper we consider reinsurance or risk sharing from a macroeconomic point of view. Our aim is to find socially optimal reinsurance treaties. In our setting we assume that there are $n$ insurance companies each bearing a certain risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Alexander Glauner

Evaluation of systemic risk in networks of financial institutions in general requires information of inter-institution financial exposures. In the framework of Debt Rank algorithm, we introduce an approximate method of systemic risk…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-04-14 Sebastian M. Krause , Hrvoje Štefančić , Vinko Zlatić , Guido Caldarelli

Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

Parametric insurance contracts translate index measurements to compensation for policyholders' losses using predefined payment schemes. These need to be designed carefully to keep basis risk, i.e. the disparity between payouts and true…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Markus Johannes Maier , Matthias Scherer

We study how to assess the potential benefit of diversifying an equity portfolio by investing within and across equity sectors. We analyse 20 years of US stock price data, which includes the global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Georg A. Gottwald