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Accurate forecasting of the grid carbon intensity factor (CIF) is critical for enabling demand-side management and reducing emissions in modern electricity systems. Leveraging multiple interrelated time series, CIF prediction is typically…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-13 Bowen Zhang , Hongda Tian , Adam Berry , A. Craig Roussac

High-frequency trading (HFT) has transformed modern financial markets, making reliable short-term price forecasting models essential. In this study, we present a novel approach to mid-price forecasting using Level 1 limit order book (LOB)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-01-03 Adamantios Ntakaris , Gbenga Ibikunle

Time-series data is central to decision-making in financial markets, yet building high-performing, interpretable, and auditable models remains a major challenge. While Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) frameworks streamline model…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-08-27 Yihao Ang , Yifan Bao , Lei Jiang , Jiajie Tao , Anthony K. H. Tung , Lukasz Szpruch , Hao Ni

In this paper we extend the analysis of an agent-based model for adaptive trading, called asynchronous stochastic price pump (ASPP) introduced by Perepelitsa and Timofeyev (2019), to the model with heterogeneous distribution of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2021-09-28 Misha Perepelitsa

The novel of coronavirus (COVID-19) has suddenly and abruptly changed the world as we knew at the start of the 3rd decade of the 21st century. Particularly, COVID-19 pandemic has negatively affected financial econometrics and stock markets…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-09 Farnoush Ronaghi , Mohammad Salimibeni , Farnoosh Naderkhani , Arash Mohammadi

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

This work presents, to the best of the authors' knowledge, the first generalizable and fully data-driven adaptive framework designed to stabilize deep learning (DL) autoregressive forecasting models over long time horizons, with the goal of…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-05-06 Rodrigo Abadía-Heredia , Manuel Lopez-Martin , Soledad Le Clainche

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

This article introduces a novel hybrid regime identification-forecasting framework designed to enhance multi-asset portfolio construction by integrating asset-specific regime forecasts. Unlike traditional approaches that focus on broad…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-08-19 Yizhan Shu , Chenyu Yu , John M. Mulvey

This paper proposes an innovative Multi-Modal Transformer framework (MMF-Trans) designed to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the Chinese stock market by integrating multi-source heterogeneous information including…

Learning from data streams is among the most vital fields of contemporary data mining. The online analysis of information coming from those potentially unbounded data sources allows for designing reactive up-to-date models capable of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-16 Łukasz Korycki , Bartosz Krawczyk

Many real-world ubiquitous applications, such as parking recommendations and air pollution monitoring, benefit significantly from accurate long-term spatio-temporal forecasting (LSTF). LSTF makes use of long-term dependency between spatial…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-02 Wei Shao , Zhiling Jin , Shuo Wang , Yufan Kang , Xiao Xiao , Hamid Menouar , Zhaofeng Zhang , Junshan Zhang , Flora Salim

We develop a unified model in which AI adoption in financial markets generates systemic risk through three mutually reinforcing channels: performative prediction, algorithmic herding, and cognitive dependency. Within an extended rational…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-07 Shuchen Meng , Xupeng Chen

Distributed intelligence in industrial networks increasingly integrates sensing, communication, and computation across heterogeneous and resource constrained devices. Federated learning (FL) enables collaborative model training in such…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-03-27 Paul Shepherd , Tasos Dagiuklas , Bugra Alkan , Jonathan Rodriguez

Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies. Not surprisingly, this area has attracted…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-12 Yifan Hu , Yuante Li , Peiyuan Liu , Yuxia Zhu , Naiqi Li , Tao Dai , Shu-tao Xia , Dawei Cheng , Changjun Jiang

Tool-Integrated Reasoning (TIR) has significantly enhanced the capabilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), yet current agents tend to exhibit cognitive offloading, redundantly invoking external tools even for simple tasks. In this paper,…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-01-22 Zhaiyu Fang , Ruipeng Sun

Event cameras have recently been introduced into image semantic segmentation, owing to their high temporal resolution and other advantageous properties. However, existing event-based semantic segmentation methods often fail to fully exploit…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-07-08 Hebei Li , Yansong Peng , Jiahui Yuan , Peixi Wu , Jin Wang , Yueyi Zhang , Xiaoyan Sun

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a critical task with broad applications in domains such as meteorology, transportation, and economics. Nevertheless, pervasive missing values caused by sensor failures or human errors…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-23 Kai Tang , Ji Zhang , Hua Meng , Minbo Ma , Qi Xiong , Fengmao Lv , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Time series data are valuable but are often inscrutable. Gaining trust in time series classifiers for finance, healthcare, and other critical applications may rely on creating interpretable models. Researchers have previously been forced to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-11-09 Yuhui Wang , Diane J. Cook

Chaotic time series are notoriously difficult to forecast. Small uncertainties in initial conditions amplify rapidly, while strong nonlinearities and regime dependent variability constrain predictability. Although modern deep learning often…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-10 Madhurima Panja , Grace Younes , Tanujit Chakraborty