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Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

Real-world multimodal systems routinely face missing-input scenarios, and in reality, robots lose audio in a factory or a clinical record omits lab tests at inference time. Standard fusion layers either preserve robustness or calibration…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-05-22 Leon Chlon , Maggie Chlon , MarcAntonio M. Awada

Time series forecasting has important applications in financial analysis, weather forecasting, and traffic management. However, existing deep learning models are limited in processing non-stationary time series data because they cannot…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-13 Yuqi Xiong , Yang Wen

The rapidly changing landscapes of modern optimization problems require algorithms that can be adapted in real-time. This paper introduces an Adaptive Metaheuristic Framework (AMF) designed for dynamic environments. It is capable of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-04-19 Bestoun S. Ahmed

News text classification is a crucial task in natural language processing, essential for organizing and filtering the massive volume of digital content. Traditional methods typically rely on statistical features like term frequencies or…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2025-11-24 Mohammad Zare

The need for an intelligent, real-time spoilage prediction system has become critical in modern IoT-driven food supply chains, where perishable goods are highly susceptible to environmental conditions. Existing methods often lack…

We introduce TimeCopilot, the first open-source agentic framework for forecasting that combines multiple Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) with Large Language Models (LLMs) through a single unified API. TimeCopilot automates the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-10 Azul Garza , Renée Rosillo

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

Prediction models frequently face the challenge of concept drift, in which the underlying data distribution changes over time, weakening performance. Examples can include models which predict loan default, or those used in healthcare…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-16 Louis Chislett , Catalina A. Vallejos , Timothy I. Cannings , James Liley

A simultaneous enhancement of accuracy and diversity of predictions remains a challenge in ambiguous medical image segmentation (AMIS) due to the inherent trade-offs. While truncated diffusion probabilistic models (TDPMs) hold strong…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2025-12-01 Fanding Li , Xiangyu Li , Xianghe Su , Xingyu Qiu , Suyu Dong , Wei Wang , Kuanquan Wang , Gongning Luo , Shuo Li

Spatio-temporal forecasting plays a crucial role in various sectors such as transportation systems, logistics, and supply chain management. However, existing methods are limited by their ability to handle large, complex datasets. To…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-27 Sakhinana Sagar Srinivas , Chidaksh Ravuru , Geethan Sannidhi , Venkataramana Runkana

In multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), accurately modeling the intricate dependencies among multiple variables remains a significant challenge due to the inherent limitations of traditional approaches. Most existing models adopt…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-19 Yuchen Luo , Xinyu Li , Liuhua Peng , Mingming Gong

We propose \textbf{Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP)}, a distribution-free framework for constructing well-calibrated prediction intervals in nonstationary time series. TCP couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich , Dipak C. Jain

This paper proposes a novel approach to hedging portfolios of risky assets when financial markets are affected by financial turmoils. We introduce a completely novel approach to diversification activity not on the level of single assets but…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-09-28 Jakub Michańków , Paweł Sakowski , Robert Ślepaczuk

The financial domain presents a complex environment for stock market prediction, characterized by volatile patterns and the influence of multifaceted data sources. Traditional models have leveraged either Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-04-08 Arya Chakraborty , Auhona Basu

Stochastic Discount Factor (SDF) models provide a unified framework for asset pricing and risk assessment, yet traditional formulations struggle to incorporate unstructured textual information. We introduce NewsNet-SDF, a novel deep…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-05-13 Shunyao Wang , Ming Cheng , Christina Dan Wang

Financial time series forecasting presents significant challenges due to complex nonlinear relationships, temporal dependencies, variable interdependencies and limited data availability, particularly for tasks involving low-frequency data,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2025-07-11 Ben A. Marconi

This paper investigates the dynamics of risk transmission in cryptocurrency markets and proposes a novel framework for volatility forecasting. The framework uncovers two key empirical facts: the asymmetric amplification of volatility…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-07-31 Sicheng Fu , Fangfang Zhu , Xiangdong Liu

Lattice field theory (LFT) simulations underpin advances in classical statistical mechanics and quantum field theory, providing a unified computational framework across particle, nuclear, and condensed matter physics. However, the…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2025-09-17 Meng Xu , Jichang Yang , Ning Lin , Qundao Xu , Siqi Tang , Han Wang , Xiaojuan Qi , Zhongrui Wang , Ming Xu

Spatio-Temporal (ST) Foundation Models (STFMs) promise cross-dataset generalization, yet joint ST pretraining is computationally expensive and grapples with the heterogeneity of domain-specific spatial patterns. Substantially extending our…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-21 Siru Zhong , Junjie Qiu , Yangyu Wu , Yiqiu Liu , Yuanpeng He , Zhongwen Rao , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Hao Xu , Yuxuan Liang