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In this paper, a novel non-parametric method for estimation of expectation and maximum value of the variance function is proposed for recurrent events where intensity of event occurrence changes with the occurrence of each higher order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-18 Sudipta Bhattacharya

In this expository paper, we consider the problem of causal inference and efficient estimation for the counterfactual survivor function. This problem has previously been considered in the literature in several papers, each relying on the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Benjamin R. Baer , Ashkan Ertefaie , Robert L. Strawderman

Many causal estimands are only partially identifiable since they depend on the unobservable joint distribution between potential outcomes. Stratification on pretreatment covariates can yield sharper bounds; however, unless the covariates…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-11-19 Wenlong Ji , Lihua Lei , Asher Spector

Efficient estimation under bias sampling, censoring or truncation is a difficult question which has been partially answered and the usual estimators are not always consistent. Several biased designs are considered for models with variables…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-10-22 Odile Pons

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

The statistical censoring setup is extended to the situation when random measures can be assigned to the realization of datapoints, leading to a new way of incorporating expert information into the usual parametric estimation procedures.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-05 Hansjörg Albrecher , Martin Bladt

Two commonly used methods for improving precision and power in clinical trials are stratified randomization and covariate adjustment. However, many trials do not fully capitalize on the combined precision gains from these two methods, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-04 Bingkai Wang , Ryoko Susukida , Ramin Mojtabai , Masoumeh Amin-Esmaeili , Michael Rosenblum

We study causal effect estimation from a mixture of observational and interventional data in a confounded linear regression model with multivariate treatments. We show that the statistical efficiency in terms of expected squared error can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-07-03 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Julius von Kügelgen , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

Our objective is to construct well-calibrated prediction sets for a time-to-event outcome subject to right-censoring with guaranteed coverage. Inspired by modern conformal inference, our approach avoids the need for a well-specified…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Rebecca Farina , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Conformal prediction provides prediction sets with finite-sample marginal coverage, but many applications require coverage guarantees that adapt to individual test points, a subpopulation, or a structural component of the data. Existing…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-27 Yinjie Min , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou

Interference arises when the treatment assigned to one individual affects the outcomes of other individuals. Commonly, individuals are naturally grouped into clusters, and interference occurs only among individuals within the same cluster,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Chao Cheng , Fan Li

Scientists regularly pose questions about treatment effects on outcomes conditional on a post-treatment event. However, causal inference in such settings requires care, even in perfectly executed randomized experiments. Recently, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-19 Chan Park , Mats Stensrud , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

An emerging challenge for time-to-event data is studying semi-competing risks, namely when two event times are of interest: a non-terminal event time (e.g. age at disease diagnosis), and a terminal event time (e.g. age at death). The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-12 Daniel Nevo , Malka Gorfine

In this paper, we discuss causal inference on the efficacy of a treatment or medication on a time-to-event outcome with competing risks. Although the treatment group can be randomized, there can be confoundings between the compliance and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Cheng Zheng , Ran Dai , Parameswaran Hari , Mei-Jie Zhang