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This paper presents price prediction models using Machine Learning algorithms augmented with Superforecasters predictions, aimed at enhancing investment decisions. Five Machine Learning models are built, including Bidirectional LSTM, ARIMA,…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-07-03 Anishka Chauhan , Pratham Mayur , Yeshwanth Sai Gokarakonda , Pooriya Jamie , Naman Mehrotra

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

Granular flows govern many natural and industrial processes, yet their interior kinematics and mechanics remain largely unobservable, as experiments access only boundaries or free surfaces. Conventional numerical simulations are…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Xuyang Li , Rui Li , Teng Man , Yimin Lu

In observational studies, accurately characterizing variance is critical for sample size determination, yet unaccounted-for variability from propensity score estimation and the resulting weights limit the accuracy of standard variance…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-24 Taekwon Hong , Daeyoung Lim , Woojung Bae , Yong Ma

Stock market plays an important role in the economic development. Due to the complex volatility of the stock market, the research and prediction on the change of the stock price, can avoid the risk for the investors. The traditional time…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-02-23 Zhuangwei Shi , Yang Hu , Guangliang Mo , Jian Wu

Energy price forecasting is a relevant yet hard task in the field of multi-step time series forecasting. In this paper we compare a well-known and established method, ARMA with exogenous variables with a relatively new technique Gradient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-06-24 Gergo Barta , Gyula Borbely , Gabor Nagy , Sandor Kazi , Tamas Henk

Neural networks in fluid mechanics offer an efficient approach for exploring complex flows, including multiphase and free surface flows. The recurrent neural network, particularly the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, proves attractive…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-01-22 Diego A. de Aguiar , Hugo L. França , Cassio M. Oishi

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

Time-series forecasting remains difficult in real-world settings because temporal patterns operate at multiple scales, from broad contextual trends to fast, fine-grained fluctuations that drive critical decisions. Existing neural models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-26 Sepideh Koohfar

Inexpensive machine learning potentials are increasingly being used to speed up structural optimization and molecular dynamics simulations of materials by iteratively predicting and applying interatomic forces. In these settings, it is…

化学物理 · 物理学 2023-09-12 Jonas Busk , Mikkel N. Schmidt , Ole Winther , Tejs Vegge , Peter Bjørn Jørgensen

Class imbalance is one of the challenging problems for machine learning in many real-world applications, such as coal and gas burst accident monitoring: the burst premonition data is extreme smaller than the normal data, however, which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-07 Qiuyan Yan , Shixiong Xia , Fanrong Meng

Global oil demand is rapidly increasing and is expected to reach 106.3 million barrels per day by 2040. Thus, it is vital for hydrocarbon extraction industries to forecast their production to optimize their operations and avoid losses. Big…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-08-31 Siavash Hosseini , Thangarajah Akilan

Predicting stock market movements remains a persistent challenge due to the inherently volatile, non-linear, and stochastic nature of financial time series data. This paper introduces a deep learning-based framework employing Long…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-09 Rajneesh Chaudhary

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

We present a comprehensive framework for applying rigorous statistical techniques from econometrics to analyze and improve machine learning systems. We introduce key statistical methods such as Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-03 Michaël Soumm

This paper presents a novel hybrid model that integrates long-short-term memory (LSTM) networks and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to significantly enhance the accuracy of stock market predictions. The LSTM component adeptly captures temporal…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-02-25 Meet Satishbhai Sonani , Atta Badii , Armin Moin

Accurate forecasting of commodity price spikes is vital for countries with limited economic buffers, where sudden increases can strain national budgets, disrupt import-reliant sectors, and undermine food and energy security. This paper…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2025-08-12 Mohammed-Khalil Ghali , Cecil Pang , Oscar Molina , Carlos Gershenson-Garcia , Daehan Won

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

When constructing parametric models to predict the cost of future claims, several important details have to be taken into account: (i) models should be designed to accommodate deductibles, policy limits, and coinsurance factors, (ii)…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal , Qian Zhao , Vytaras Brazauskas