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The horseshoe prior is frequently employed in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional models, and has been shown to achieve minimax optimal risk properties when the truth is sparse. While optimization-based algorithms for the extremely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 James E. Johndrow , Paulo Orenstein , Anirban Bhattacharya

Bayesian inverse problems highly rely on efficient and effective inference methods for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Infinite-dimensional MCMC algorithms, directly defined on function spaces, are robust under refinement of physical…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-05-22 Shiwei Lan

Many scientific and engineering problems require to perform Bayesian inferences in function spaces, in which the unknowns are of infinite dimension. In such problems, many standard Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms become arbitrary…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-04-12 Zhe Feng , Jinglai Li

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth Roberts

This paper introduces a Bayesian inference framework for incomplete structural models, termed distribution-matching posterior inference (DMPI). Extending the minimal econometric interpretation (MEI), DMPI constructs a divergence-based…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-06 Takashi Kano

Approximate Bayesian computation methods can be used to evaluate posterior distributions without having to calculate likelihoods. In this paper we discuss and apply an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) method based on sequential Monte…

统计计算 · 统计学 2009-01-15 Tina Toni , David Welch , Natalja Strelkowa , Andreas Ipsen , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Bayesian inference often faces a trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy. We propose an adaptive workflow that integrates rapid amortized inference with gold-standard MCMC techniques to achieve a favorable combination of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-19 Chengkun Li , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev , Luigi Acerbi , Marvin Schmitt

While MCMC methods have become a main work-horse for Bayesian inference, scaling them to large distributed datasets is still a challenge. Embarrassingly parallel MCMC strategies take a divide-and-conquer stance to achieve this by writing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Diego Mesquita , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

Estimating the predictive uncertainty of a Bayesian learning model is critical in various decision-making problems, e.g., reinforcement learning, detecting adversarial attack, self-driving car. As the model posterior is almost always…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-16 Yufei Cui , Wuguannan Yao , Qiao Li , Antoni B. Chan , Chun Jason Xue

Tasks such as record linkage and multi-target tracking, which involve reconstructing the set of objects that underlie some observed data, are particularly challenging for probabilistic inference. Recent work has achieved efficient and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Brian Milch , Stuart Russell

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

Quantum computation is expected to accelerate certain computational task over classical counterpart. Its most primitive advantage is its ability to sample from classically intractable probability distributions. A promising approach to make…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-07-26 Yuichiro Nakano , Hideaki Hakoshima , Kosuke Mitarai , Keisuke Fujii

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) inference. We introduce a method for numerically approximating ABC posteriors using the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). A sequential Monte Carlo version of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-14 Ajay Jasra , Seongil Jo , David Nott , Christine Shoemaker , Raul Tempone

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

We introduce a novel combination of Bayesian Models (BMs) and Neural Networks (NNs) for making predictions with a minimum expected risk. Our approach combines the best of both worlds, the data efficiency and interpretability of a BM with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 Mathias Löwe , Per Lunnemann Hansen , Sebastian Risi

Variational inference lies at the core of many state-of-the-art algorithms. To improve the approximation of the posterior beyond parametric families, it was proposed to include MCMC steps into the variational lower bound. In this work we…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-09-28 Christopher Wolf , Maximilian Karl , Patrick van der Smagt

A simple and efficient adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, called the Metropolized Adaptive Subspace (MAdaSub) algorithm, is proposed for sampling from high-dimensional posterior model distributions in Bayesian variable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-04 Christian Staerk , Maria Kateri , Ioannis Ntzoufras

In many computational problems, using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be prohibitively time-consuming. We propose MCMC-Net, a simple yet efficient way to accelerate MCMC via neural networks. The key idea of our approach is to…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-16 Sudeb Majee , Anuj Abhishek , Thilo Strauss , Taufiquar Khan

We introduce a new micro-macro Markov chain Monte Carlo method (mM-MCMC) with indirect reconstruction to sample invariant distributions of molecular dynamics systems that exhibit a time-scale separation between the microscopic (fast)…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-03-27 Hannes Vandecasteele , Giovannni Samaey