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This paper investigates the optimality analysis of the recursive least-squares (RLS) algorithm for autoregressive systems with exogenous inputs (ARX systems). A key challenge in analyzing is managing the potential unboundedness of the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-27 Xingrui Liu , Jieming Ke , Yanlong Zhao

Recent work has discovered that large language models can develop broadly misaligned behaviors after being fine-tuned on narrowly harmful datasets, a phenomenon known as emergent misalignment (EM). However, the fundamental mechanisms…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-05 Daniel Aarao Reis Arturi , Eric Zhang , Andrew Ansah , Kevin Zhu , Ashwinee Panda , Aishwarya Balwani

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

We address regularised versions of the Expectation-Maximisation (EM) algorithm for Generalised Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) in the context of panel data (measured on several individuals at different time-points). A random response y is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-21 Jocelyn Chauvet , Catherine Trottier , Xavier Bry

We consider the problem of inference in a linear regression model in which the relative ordering of the input features and output labels is not known. Such datasets naturally arise from experiments in which the samples are shuffled or…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-04 Abubakar Abid , James Zou

A non linear regression approach which consists of a specific regression model incorporating a latent process, allowing various polynomial regression models to be activated preferentially and smoothly, is introduced in this paper. The model…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-30 Faicel Chamroukhi , Allou Samé , Gérard Govaert , Patrice Aknin

We study Sinkhorn EM (sEM), a variant of the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm for mixtures based on entropic optimal transport. sEM differs from the classic EM algorithm in the way responsibilities are computed during the expectation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-01 Gonzalo Mena , Amin Nejatbakhsh , Erdem Varol , Jonathan Niles-Weed

We study robust linear regression in high-dimension, when both the dimension $d$ and the number of data points $n$ diverge with a fixed ratio $\alpha=n/d$, and study a data model that includes outliers. We provide exact asymptotics for the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-24 Matteo Vilucchio , Emanuele Troiani , Vittorio Erba , Florent Krzakala

Probabilistic inversion methods based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation are well suited to quantify parameter and model uncertainty of nonlinear inverse problems. Yet, application of such methods to CPU-intensive forward models…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-01-11 M. Rosas-Carbajal , N. Linde , T. Kalscheuer , J. A. Vrugt

We show how the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm can be applied exactly for the fitting of mixtures of general multivariate skew t (MST) distributions, eliminating the need for computationally expensive Monte Carlo estimation. Finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-09-06 S. X. Lee , G. J. McLachlan

We propose a new constrained EM algorithm that is applicable to general constrained estimation problems. The proposed method is based on a novel framework, the `dual-homotopy framework,' which combines deterministic annealing EM with a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-13 Jisoo Choi , Hee-Seok Oh

A family of explicit modified Euler methods (MEMs) is constructed for long-time approximations of super-linear SODEs driven by multiplicative noise. The proposed schemes can preserve the same Lyapunov structure as the continuous problems.…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-09-11 Zhihui Liu , Xiaojie Wang , Xiaoming Wu , Xiaoyan Zhang

Reinforcement learning (RL) enables an agent interacting with an unknown MDP $M$ to optimise its behaviour by observing transitions sampled from $M$. A natural entity that emerges in the agent's reasoning is $\widehat{M}$, the maximum…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-24 Shivaram Kalyanakrishnan , Sheel Shah , Santhosh Kumar Guguloth

We study properties and parameter estimation of finite-state homogeneous continuous-time bivariate Markov chains. Only one of the two processes of the bivariate Markov chain is observable. The general form of the bivariate Markov chain…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-14 Brian L. Mark , Yariv Ephraim

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi

We study the gradient Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian Mixture Models (GMM) in the over-parameterized setting, where a general GMM with $n>1$ components learns from data that are generated by a single ground truth…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-03 Weihang Xu , Maryam Fazel , Simon S. Du

In this study, an efficient stochastic gradient-free method, the ensemble neural networks (ENN), is developed. In the ENN, the optimization process relies on covariance matrices rather than derivatives. The covariance matrices are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-11-11 Yuntian Chen , Haibin Chang , Meng Jin , Dongxiao Zhang

We investigate how fully-passive electromagnetic skins (EMSs) can be engineered to enhance channel charting (CC) in dense urban environments. We employ two complementary state-of-the-art CC techniques, semi-supervised t-distributed…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-04 Mahdi Maleki , Reza Agahzadeh Ayoubi , Marouan Mizmizi , Umberto Spagnolini

This paper considers estimating the parameters in a regime-switching stochastic differential equation(SDE) driven by Normal Inverse Gaussian(NIG) noise. The model under consideration incorporates a continuous-time finite state Markov chain…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

We introduce mixed model trace regression (MMTR), a mixed model linear regression extension for scalar responses and high-dimensional matrix-valued covariates. MMTR's fixed effects component is equivalent to trace regression, with an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Ian Hultman , Sanvesh Srivastava