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A hockey player's plus-minus measures the difference between goals scored by and against that player's team while the player was on the ice. This measures only a marginal effect, failing to account for the influence of the others he is…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Robert B. Gramacy , Matt Taddy , Sen Tian

Evaluating the overall ability of players in the National Hockey League (NHL) is a difficult task. Existing methods such as the famous "plus/minus" statistic have many shortcomings. Standard linear regression methods work well when player…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-03-01 A. C. Thomas , Samuel L. Ventura , Shane Jensen , Stephen Ma

Despite growing interest in quantifying and modeling the scoring dynamics within professional sports games, relative little is known about what patterns or principles, if any, cut across different sports. Using a comprehensive data set of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-24 Sears Merritt , Aaron Clauset

A variety of machine learning models have been proposed to assess the performance of players in professional sports. However, they have only a limited ability to model how player performance depends on the game context. This paper proposes…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-07-17 Guiliang Liu , Oliver Schulte

Highlights in a sport video are usually referred as actions that stimulate excitement or attract attention of the audience. A big effort is spent in designing techniques which find automatically highlights, in order to automatize the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2017-10-03 Marco Godi , Paolo Rota , Francesco Setti

Faced with data-driven policies, individuals will manipulate their features to obtain favorable decisions. While earlier works cast these manipulations as undesirable gaming, recent works have adopted a more nuanced causal framing in which…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-22 Tom Yan , Shantanu Gupta , Zachary Lipton

This study proposes a statistically grounded framework for real-time win probability evaluation and player assessment in score-based team sports, based on minute-by-minute cumulative box-score data. We introduce a continuous dominance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-02-24 Yasutaka Shimizu , Atsushi Yamanobe

Training of elite athletes requires regular physiological and medical monitoring to plan the schedule, intensity and volume of training, and subsequent recovery. In sports medicine, ECG-based analyses are well established. However, they…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-09-27 Marcel Młyńczak , Hubert Krysztofiak

Professional team sports provide an excellent domain for studying the dynamics of social competitions. These games are constructed with simple, well-defined rules and payoffs that admit a high-dimensional set of possible actions and…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

This paper represents an analysis on the momentum of tennis match. And due to Generalization performance of it, it can be helpful in constructing a system to predict the result of sports game and analyze the performance of player based on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-23 Jingdi Lei , Tianqi Kang , Yuluan Cao , Shiwei Ren

This study employs Bayesian methodologies to explore the influence of player or positional factors in predicting the probability of a shot resulting in a goal, measured by the expected goals (xG) metric. Utilising publicly available data…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-14 Alexander Scholtes , Oktay Karakuş

Causal discovery is a crucial initial step in establishing causality from empirical data and background knowledge. Numerous algorithms have been developed for this purpose. Among them, the score-matching method has demonstrated superior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-04-14 Hao Chen , Kai Yi

This study outlines a light gradient boosted model aimed at predicting shot outcomes in the NHL. The model uses the NHL's spatiotemporal data to account for both the skill of shooters and goaltenders. This approach involves isolating and…

其他计算机科学 · 计算机科学 2025-11-18 J. T. P. Noel

Regression-based adjusted plus-minus statistics were developed in basketball and have recently come to hockey. The purpose of these statistics is to provide an estimate of each player's contribution to his team, independent of the strength…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-19 Brian Macdonald

Expected goals (xG) models estimate the probability that a shot results in a goal from its context (e.g., location, pressure), but they operate only on observed shots. We propose xG+, a possession-level framework that first estimates the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Jonathan Pipping-Gamón , Tianshu Feng , R. Paul Sabin

Understanding the dynamics of momentum and game fluctuation in tennis matches is cru-cial for predicting match outcomes and enhancing player performance. In this study, we present a comprehensive analysis of these factors using a dataset…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-05-14 Wankang Zhai , Yuhan Wang

Pace of play is an important characteristic in hockey as well as other team sports. We provide the first comprehensive study of pace within the sport of hockey, focusing on how teams and players impact pace in different regions of the ice,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-07 David Yu , Christopher Boucher , Luke Bornn , Mehrsan Javan

Throughout the analytical revolution that has occurred in the NBA, the development of specific metrics and formulas has given teams, coaches, and players a new way to see the game. However - the question arises - how can we verify any…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-14 Eamon Mukhopadhyay

Recognizing actions in ice hockey using computer vision poses challenges due to bulky equipment and inadequate image quality. A novel two-stream framework has been designed to improve action recognition accuracy for hockey using three main…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-12-27 Zixi Cai , Helmut Neher , Kanav Vats , David Clausi , John Zelek

We present a regularized logistic regression model for evaluating player contributions in hockey. The traditional metric for this purpose is the plus-minus statistic, which allocates a single unit of credit (for or against) to each player…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-01-15 Robert B. Gramacy , Matthew A. Taddy , Shane T. Jensen
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