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In this paper a new concept, namely the critical predictable time $T_c$, is introduced to give a more precise description of computed chaotic solutions of nonlinear differential equations: it is suggested that computed chaotic solutions are…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2010-06-01 Shijun Liao

The striking fractal geometry of strange attractors underscores the generative nature of chaos: like probability distributions, chaotic systems can be repeatedly measured to produce arbitrarily-detailed information about the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 William Gilpin

Deterministic chaos is phenomenon from nonlinear dynamics and it belongs to greatest advances of twentieth-century science. Chaotic behavior appears apart of mathematical equations also in wide range in observable nature, so as in there…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-12-15 Radim Pánis , Martin Kološ , Zdeněk Stuchlík

This paper is the second in a series of two, and describes the current state of the art in modelling and prediction of chaotic time series. Sampled data from deterministic non-linear systems may look stochastic when analysed with linear…

chao-dyn · 物理学 2008-02-03 Bjoern Lillekjendlie , Dimitris Kugiumtzis , Nils Christophersen

Reservoir computing systems, a class of recurrent neural networks, have recently been exploited for model-free, data-based prediction of the state evolution of a variety of chaotic dynamical systems. The prediction horizon demonstrated has…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-04-06 Huawei Fan , Junjie Jiang , Chun Zhang , Xingang Wang , Ying-Cheng Lai

Predictive multiplicity and chaotic dynamics represent two fundamental challenges in machine learning that have evolved independently despite their conceptual connections. We bridge this gap by introducing horizon-constrained Rashomon sets,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-08 Gauri Kale , Rahul Vishwakarma , Holly Diamond , Ava Hedayatipour , Amin Rezaei

Chaos and unpredictability are traditionally synonymous, yet large-scale machine learning methods recently have demonstrated a surprising ability to forecast chaotic systems well beyond typical predictability horizons. However, recent works…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-27 William Gilpin

Chaos is omnipresent in nature, and its understanding provides enormous social and economic benefits. However, the unpredictability of chaotic systems is a textbook concept due to their sensitivity to initial conditions, aperiodic behavior,…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-20 Jian Jiang , Long Chen , Lu ke , Bozheng Dou , Yueying Zhu , Yazhou Shi , Huahai Qiu , Bengong Zhang , Tianshou Zhou , Guo-Wei Wei

Fundamental problems of periodicity and transient process to periodicity of chaotic trajectories in computer realization with finite computation precision is investigated by taking single and coupled Logistic maps as examples. Empirical…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Shihong Wang , Weirong Liu , Huaping Lu , Jinyu Kuang , Gang Hu

Reliable prediction of large chaotic sytems in the short to middle time range is of interest in a number of fields, including climate, ecology, seismology, and economics. In this paper, results from chaos theory, and statistical theory are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-12-17 M. LuValle

This paper introduces a new notion of chaotic algorithms. These algorithms are iterative and are based on so-called chaotic iterations. Contrary to all existing studies on chaotic iterations, we are not interested in stable states of such…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-11-03 Christophe Guyeux , Jacques M. Bahi

Using 1200 CPUs of the National Supercomputer TH-A1 and a parallel integral algorithm based on the 3500th-order Taylor expansion and the 4180-digit multiple precision data, we have done a reliable simulation of chaotic solution of Lorenz…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2014-05-23 Shijun Liao , Pengfei Wang

Chaotic logic gates or `chaogates' are a promising mixed-signal approach to designing universal computers. However, chaotic systems are exponentially sensitive to small perturbations, and the effects of noise can cause chaotic computers to…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2022-02-16 Noeloikeau Charlot , Daniel J. Gauthier

Fixed point iterations are known to generate chaos, for some values in their parameter range. It is an established fact that Turing Machines are fixed point iterations. However, as these Machines operate in integer space, the standard…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2015-07-06 Nabarun Mondal , Partha P. Ghosh

The deep learning revolution has spurred a rise in advances of using AI in sciences. Within physical sciences the main focus has been on discovery of dynamical systems from observational data. Yet the reliability of learned surrogates and…

The problem of statistical inference for open chaotic systems measured with error is complicated by the interaction of the uncertainty introduced by chaos, and the various sources of random or external variation. Here a method of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-03-11 Michael LuValle

A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Predicting chaotic dynamical systems is critical in many scientific fields, such as weather forecasting, but challenging due to the characteristic sensitive dependence on initial conditions. Traditional modeling approaches require extensive…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-12 Christof Schötz , Alistair White , Maximilian Gelbrecht , Niklas Boers

In this paper, a new concept, i.e. ultra-chaos, is proposed for the first time. Unlike a normal-chaos, statistical properties such as the probability density functions (PDF) of an ultra-chaos are sensitive to tiny disturbances. We…

综合物理 · 物理学 2022-03-22 Shijun Liao , Shijie Qin

The applicability of machine learning for predicting chaotic dynamics relies heavily upon the data used in the training stage. Chaotic time series obtained by numerically solving ordinary differential equations embed a complicated noise of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-10-13 Igor A Khovanov
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