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A time-delay embedding (TDE), grounded in the framework of Takens's Theorem, provides a mechanism to represent and analyze the inherent dynamics of time-series data. Recently, topological data analysis (TDA) methods have been applied to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Sixtus Dakurah , Jessi Cisewski-Kehe

The celebrated Takens' embedding theorem provides a theoretical foundation for reconstructing the full state of a dynamical system from partial observations. However, the classical theorem assumes that the underlying system is deterministic…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-11-07 Jonah Botvinick-Greenhouse , Maria Oprea , Romit Maulik , Yunan Yang

Real-world time series are often governed by complex nonlinear dynamics. Understanding these underlying dynamics is crucial for precise future prediction. While deep learning has achieved major success in time series forecasting, many…

This work establishes a rigorous bridge between infinite-dimensional delay dynamics and finite-dimensional Koopman learning, with explicit and interpretable error guarantees. While Koopman analysis is well-developed for ordinary…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-06 Santosh Mohan Rajkumar , Dibyasri Barman , Kumar Vikram Singh , Debdipta Goswami

Making accurate forecasts for a complex system is a challenge in various practical applications. The major difficulty in solving such a problem concerns nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics with time-varying characteristics. Takens' delay…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-04-09 Hao Peng , Wei Wang , Pei Chen , Rui Liu

Current approaches for time series forecasting, whether in the time or frequency domain, predominantly use deep learning models based on linear layers or transformers. They often encode time series data in a black-box manner and rely on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-14 Cheng He , Xijie Liang , Zengrong Zheng , Patrick P. C. Lee , Xu Huang , Zhaoyi Li , Hong Xie , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

We propose a novel method for forecasting the temporal evolution of probability distributions observed at discrete time points. Extending the Dynamic Probability Density Decomposition (DPDD), we embed distributional dynamics into…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-09-03 Ziyue Wang , Yuko Araki

Identifying the qualitative changes in time-series data provides insights into the dynamics associated with such data. Such qualitative changes can be detected through topological approaches, which first embed the data into a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2019-03-27 Quoc Hoan Tran , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

Nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, yet analysis and prediction of these systems remains a challenge. Koopman operator theory circumvents some of these issues by considering the dynamics in the space of…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-17 Mason Kamb , Eurika Kaiser , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We provide a method to identify system parameters of dynamical systems, called ID-ODE -- Inference by Differentiation and Observing Delay Embeddings. In this setting, we are given a dataset of trajectories from a dynamical system with…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-17 Alex Tong Lin , Adrian S. Wong , Robert Martin , Stanley J. Osher , Daniel Eckhardt

Dynamic relational data arise in many machine learning applications, yet their evolving structure poses challenges for learning representations that remain consistent and interpretable over time. A common approach is to learn time varying…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Haruka Ezoe , Hiroki Matsumoto , Ryohei Hisano

This paper addresses the data-driven identification of latent dynamical representations of partially-observed systems, i.e., dynamical systems for which some components are never observed, with an emphasis on forecasting applications,…

In various scientific and engineering fields, the primary research areas have revolved around physics-based dynamical systems modeling and data-driven time series analysis. According to the embedding theory, dynamical systems and time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-10 Jiaxi Hu , Bowen Zhang , Qingsong Wen , Fugee Tsung , Yuxuan Liang

Time-delay embedding is a technique that uses snapshots of state history over time to build a linear state space model of a nonlinear smooth system. We demonstrate that periodic non-smooth or hybrid system can also be modeled as a linear…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-08-12 Chun-Ming Yang , Pranav A. Bhounsule

Data-driven approximations of the Koopman operator are promising for predicting the time evolution of systems characterized by complex dynamics. Among these methods, the approach known as extended dynamic mode decomposition with dictionary…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-19 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

Delay-coordinate embedding is a powerful, time-tested mathematical framework for reconstructing the dynamics of a system from a series of scalar observations. Most of the associated theory and heuristics are overly stringent for real-world…

动力系统 · 数学 2018-05-22 Joshua Garland

A wide variety of real-world data, such as sea measurements, e.g., temperatures collected by distributed sensors and multiple unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) trajectories, can be naturally represented as graphs, often exhibiting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-11 Sivaram Krishnan , Jinho Choi , Jihong Park

Time series forecasting plays a vital role across scientific, industrial, and environmental domains, especially when dealing with high-dimensional and nonlinear systems. While Transformer-based models have recently achieved state-of-the-art…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-05 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi , Masoud Barati

Identifying coordinate transformations that make strongly nonlinear dynamics approximately linear is a central challenge in modern dynamical systems. These transformations have the potential to enable prediction, estimation, and control of…

动力系统 · 数学 2019-03-06 Bethany Lusch , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton
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