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In this article, by using composite asymmetric least squares (CALS) and empirical likelihood, we propose a two-step procedure to estimate the conditional value at risk (VaR) and conditional expected shortfall (ES) for the GARCH series.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-05 Sheng Wu , Yi Zhang , Jun Zhao , Liming Shen

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

Instrumental variables (IV) regression is a popular method for the estimation of the endogenous treatment effects. Conventional IV methods require all the instruments are relevant and valid. However, this is impractical especially in…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-29 Qingliang Fan , Yaqian Wu

We develop a method to perform model averaging in two-stage linear regression systems subject to endogeneity. Our method extends an existing Gibbs sampler for instrumental variables to incorporate a component of model uncertainty. Direct…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-03-20 Anna Karl , Alex Lenkoski

This work presents a new model and estimation procedure for the illness-death survival data where the hazard functions follow accelerated failure time (AFT) models. A shared frailty variate induces positive dependence among failure times of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-10 Lea Kats , Malka Gorfine

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

Instrumental variable analysis is a powerful tool for estimating causal effects when randomization or full control of confounders is not possible. The application of standard methods such as 2SLS, GMM, and more recent variants are…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-08 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus , Tobias Schnabel

Model-Implied Instrumental Variable Two-Stage Least Squares (MIIV-2SLS) is a limited information, equation-by-equation, non-iterative estimator for latent variable models. Associated with this estimator are equation specific tests of model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-17 Teague R. Henry , Zachary F. Fisher , Kenneth A. Bollen

Instrumental variable (IV) strategies are widely used in political science to establish causal relationships. However, the identifying assumptions required by an IV design are demanding, and it remains challenging for researchers to assess…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-11-08 Apoorva Lal , Mac Lockhart , Yiqing Xu , Ziwen Zu

The Granular Instrumental Variables (GIV) methodology exploits panels with factor error structures to construct instruments to estimate structural time series models with endogeneity even after controlling for latent factors. We extend the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-26 Saman Banafti , Tae-Hwy Lee

Non-adherence to assigned treatment is common in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Recently, there has been an increased interest in estimating causal effects of treatment received, for example the so-called local average treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-05 Karla DiazOrdaz , James Carpenter

In this paper, we consider a partially linear model of the form $Y_t=X_t^{\tau}\theta_0+g(V_t)+\epsilon_t$, $t=1,...,n$, where $\{V_t\}$ is a $\beta$ null recurrent Markov chain, $\{X_t\}$ is a sequence of either strictly stationary or…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-16 Jia Chen , Jiti Gao , Degui Li

This paper studies the asymptotic properties of the adaptive elastic net in ultra-high dimensional sparse linear regression models and proposes a new method called SSLS (Separate Selection from Least Squares) to improve prediction accuracy.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-15 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

In causal inference, encouragement designs (EDs) are widely used to analyze causal effects, when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are impractical or compliance to treatment cannot be perfectly enforced. Unlike RCTs, which directly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-12-20 Anpeng Wu , Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Xiangwei Chen , Zexu Sun , Fei Wu , Kun Zhang

We propose logit-based IV and augmented logit-based IV estimators that serve as alternatives to the traditionally used 2SLS estimator in the model where both the endogenous treatment variable and the corresponding instrument are binary. Our…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-02-19 Denis Chetverikov , Jinyong Hahn , Zhipeng Liao , Shuyang Sheng

Instrumental variable (IV) methods are widely used for estimating average treatment effects in the presence of unmeasured confounders. However, the capability of existing IV procedures, and most notably the two-stage residual inclusion…

We are in the middle of a remarkable rise in the use and capability of artificial intelligence. Much of this growth has been fueled by the success of deep learning architectures: models that map from observables to outputs via multiple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-02 Jason Hartford , Greg Lewis , Kevin Leyton-Brown , Matt Taddy

Simultaneous analysis of gene expression data and genetic variants is highly of interest, especially when the number of gene expressions and genetic variants are both greater than the sample size. Association of both causal genes and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-07 Morteza Amini

Observational genome-wide association studies are now widely used for causal inference in genetic epidemiology. To maintain privacy, such data is often only publicly available as summary statistics, and often studies for the endogenous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-26 Shimeng Huang , Niklas Pfister , Jack Bowden

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara