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We define data-driven macroeconomic regimes by clustering the relative performance in time of indices belonging to different asset classes. We then investigate lead-lag relationships within the regimes identified. Our study unravels market…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2022-09-05 Deborah Miori , Mihai Cucuringu

In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, much attention has been paid to investigating the appropriateness of the current practice of default risk modeling in banking, finance and insurance industries. A recent empirical study by…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2013-06-28 Jia-Wen Gu , Bo Jiang , Wai-Ki Ching , Harry Zheng

Extractive summaries are usually presented as lists of sentences with no expected cohesion between them and with plenty of redundant information if not accounted for. In this paper, we investigate the trade-offs incurred when aiming to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-06-07 Ronald Cardenas , Matthias Galle , Shay B. Cohen

What are the business causes behind tight deadlines? What drives the prioritization of features that pushes quality matters to the back burner? We conducted a survey with 71 experienced practitioners and did a thematic analysis of the…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Rodrigo Rebouças de Almeida , Christoph Treude , Uirá Kulesza

We reverse-engineer the equilibrium construction process of asset prices in order to obtain returns which depend on firm characteristics, possibly in a linear fashion. One key requirement is that agents must have demands that rely…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2022-03-16 Guillaume Coqueret

In this comment we discuss the problem of reconciling the linear efficiency of price returns with the long-memory of supply and demand. We present new evidence that shows that efficiency is maintained by a liquidity imbalance that co-moves…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 J. Doyne Farmer , Austin Gerig , Fabrizio Lillo , Szabolcs Mike

Many recent studies use individual longitudinal data to analyze job search behaviors. Such data allow the use of fixed-effects models, which supposedly address the issue of dynamic selection and make it possible to identify the structural…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-09 Jeremy Zuchuat

We continue investigation of the effect of position in announcements of newly received articles, a single day artifact, with citations received over the course of ensuing years. Earlier work [arXiv:0907.4740, arXiv:0805.0307] focused on the…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2011-02-01 Asif-ul Haque , Paul Ginsparg

We develop and evaluate a family of discrete-time logit-link (LLink) models (including fixed-effects and frailty extensions) to capture latent heterogeneity in repayment behaviour and quantify the effects of socio-temporal factors in…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-12 Cedric H. A. Koffi , Viani Biatat Djeundje , Olivier Menoukeu Pamen

One stylized feature of financial volatility impacting the modeling process is long memory. This paper examines long memory for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for Daily REITs and compares the findings for a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-03-29 John Cotter , Simon Stevenson

We analyze the dynamic tradeoff between generating and disclosing evidence. Agents are tempted to delay investing in a new technology in order to learn from information generated by the experiences of others. This informational free-riding…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-19 Jan Knoepfle , Julia Salmi

The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence regarding how "quickly", in different macroeconomic states, companies adjust their capital structure to their leverage targets. This study extends the empirical research on the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-13 Andreas Kaloudis , Dimitrios Tsolis

The lack of predictability of citation-based measures frequently used to gauge impact, from impact factors to short-term citations, raises a fundamental question: Is there long-term predictability in citation patterns? Here, we derive a…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2014-01-09 Dashun Wang , Chaoming Song , Albert-László Barabási

This paper presents a novel approach to distinguish the impact of duration-dependent forces and adverse selection on the exit rate from unemployment by leveraging variation in the length of layoff notices. I formulate a Mixed Hazard model…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-07-08 Div Bhagia

The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence into the empirical determinants of capital structure adjustment in different macroeconomics states by focusing and discussing the relative importance of firm-specific and…

经济学 · 定量金融 2018-01-23 Andreas Kaloudis , Dimitrios Tsolis

Released Large Language Models (LLMs) are often paired with a claimed knowledge cutoff date, or the dates at which training data was gathered. Such information is crucial for applications where the LLM must provide up to date information.…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-09-18 Jeffrey Cheng , Marc Marone , Orion Weller , Dawn Lawrie , Daniel Khashabi , Benjamin Van Durme

Leveraging contextual knowledge has become standard practice in automated claim verification, yet the impact of temporal reasoning has been largely overlooked. Our study demonstrates that time positively influences the claim verification…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2023-02-27 Liesbeth Allein , Marlon Saelens , Ruben Cartuyvels , Marie-Francine Moens

We describe a simple model of how a publication's citations change over time, based on pure-birth stochastic processes with a linear cumulative advantage effect. The model is applied to citation data from the Physical Review corpus provided…

数字图书馆 · 计算机科学 2017-03-16 Michael J. Hazoglu , Vivek Kulkarni , Steven S. Skiena , Ken A. Dill

Financial event studies, ubiquitous in finance research, typically use linear factor models with known factors to estimate abnormal returns and identify causal effects of information events. This paper demonstrates that when factor models…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-11-20 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Tianshu Lyu

In time-series analysis, the term "lead-lag effect" is used to describe a delayed effect on a given time series caused by another time series. lead-lag effects are ubiquitous in practice and are specifically critical in formulating…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-04 Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa
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