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Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

This version is ***superseded*** by a full version that can be found at http://www.itu.dk/people/pagh/papers/mining-jour.pdf, which contains stronger theoretical results and fixes a mistake in the reporting of experiments. Abstract:…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2010-02-17 Andrea Campagna , Rasmus Pagh

Bayesian inference methods are useful in infectious diseases modeling due to their capability to propagate uncertainty, manage sparse data, incorporate latent structures, and address high-dimensional parameter spaces. However, parameter…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Xiahui Li , Fergus Chadwick , Ben Swallow

It is not always clear how to adjust for control data in causal inference, balancing the goals of reducing bias and variance. We show how, in a setting with repeated experiments, Bayesian hierarchical modeling yields an adaptive procedure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-01-23 Andrew Gelman , Matthijs Vákár

Surveys are an important research tool, providing unique measurements on subjective experiences such as sentiment and opinions that cannot be measured by other means. However, because survey data is collected from a self-selected group of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-14 Tal Sarig , Tal Galili , Roee Eilat

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

Statistical inference, a central tool of science, revolves around the study and the usage of statistical estimators: functions that map finite samples to predictions about unknown distribution parameters. In the frequentist framework,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-15 Maxime Peyrard , Kyunghyun Cho

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Approving and assessing new drugs is complex because multiple criteria must be considered simultaneously. A common approach is benefit-risk analysis, often conducted within a Bayesian framework to account for uncertainty and combine data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Lawrence Phillips

Is it possible to make statistical inference broadly accessible to non-statisticians without sacrificing mathematical rigor or inference quality? This paper describes BayesDB, a probabilistic programming platform that aims to enable users…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-12-17 Vikash Mansinghka , Richard Tibbetts , Jay Baxter , Pat Shafto , Baxter Eaves

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

There has been a tremendous methodological development of Bayes factors for hypothesis testing in the social and behavioral sciences, and related fields. This development is due to the flexibility of the Bayes factor for testing multiple…

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

To account for measurement error (ME) in explanatory variables, Bayesian approaches provide a flexible framework, as expert knowledge about unobserved covariates can be incorporated in the prior distributions. However, given the analytic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-19 Stefanie Muff , Andrea Riebler , Havard Rue , Philippe Saner , Leonhard Held

Identifying the parameters of a model and rating competitive models based on measured data has been among the most important but challenging topics in modern science and engineering, with great potential of application in structural system…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-02 F. A. DiazDelaO , A. Garbuno-Inigo , S. K. Au , I. Yoshida

Bayesian analyses are often performed using so-called noninformative priors, with a view to achieving objective inference about unknown parameters on which available data depends. Noninformative priors depend on the relationship of the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-14 Nicholas Lewis

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

Modern regression applications can involve hundreds or thousands of variables which motivates the use of variable selection methods. Bayesian variable selection defines a posterior distribution on the possible subsets of the variables…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-16 J. E. Griffin

Genetic association analyses often involve data from multiple potentially-heterogeneous subgroups. The expected amount of heterogeneity can vary from modest (e.g., a typical meta-analysis) to large (e.g., a strong gene--environment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-04-15 Xiaoquan Wen , Matthew Stephens

Three different inferential problems related to a two dimensional categorical data from a Bayesian perspective have been discussed in this article. Conjugate prior distribution with symmetric and asymmetric hyper parameters are considered.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-05 Samyajoy Pal , Christian Heumann , M. Subbiah