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Machine learning models have shown great success in predicting weather up to two weeks ahead, outperforming process-based benchmarks. However, existing approaches mostly focus on the prediction task, and do not incorporate the necessary…

Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Data-driven approaches for medium-range weather forecasting are recently shown extraordinarily promising for ensemble forecasting for their fast inference speed compared to traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, but their…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-03-15 Yuan Hu , Lei Chen , Zhibin Wang , Hao Li

Weather sensing and forecasting has become increasingly accurate in the last decade thanks to high-resolution radars, efficient computational algorithms, and high-performance computing facilities. Through a distributed and federated network…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-03-29 Robert Thompson , Eric Lyons , Ishita Dasgupta , Spyridon Mastorakis , Michael Zink , Susmit Shannigrahi

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather models are now reaching operational-grade performance for some variables, but like traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, they exhibit systematic biases and reliability issues. We test…

Data-driven weather prediction models (DDWPs) have made rapid strides in recent years, demonstrating an ability to approximate Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models to a high degree of accuracy. The fast, accurate, and low-cost DDWP…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-07 Vivek Ramavajjala , Peetak P. Mitra

Climate models struggle to accurately simulate precipitation, particularly extremes and the diurnal cycle. Here, we present a hybrid model that is trained directly on satellite-based precipitation observations. Our model runs at 2.8$^\circ$…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-17 Janni Yuval , Ian Langmore , Dmitrii Kochkov , Stephan Hoyer

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models that integrate coupled physical equations forward in time are the traditional tools for simulating atmospheric processes and forecasting weather. With recent advancements in deep learning, AI-based…

计算物理 · 物理学 2025-12-22 Milton Gomez , Louis Poulain--Auzeau , Alexis Berne , Tom Beucler

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

The hybrid model combines the physics-based primitive-equations model SPEEDY with a machine learning-based (ML-based) model component, while ERA5 reanalyses provide the presumed true states of the atmosphere. Six-hourly simulated noisy…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2025-09-29 Dylan Elliott , Troy Arcomano , Istvan Szunyogh , Brian R. Hunt

Operational meteorological forecasting has long relied on physics-based numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Recently, this landscape has faced disruption by the advent of data-driven artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather models,…

This paper describes a novel machine learning (ML) framework for tropical cyclone intensity and track forecasting, combining multiple ML techniques and utilizing diverse data sources. Our multimodal framework, called Hurricast, efficiently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-04 Léonard Boussioux , Cynthia Zeng , Théo Guénais , Dimitris Bertsimas

Over the past year, data-driven global weather forecasting has emerged as a new alternative to traditional numerical weather prediction. This innovative approach yields forecasts of comparable accuracy at a tiny fraction of computational…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-12-14 Zekun Ni

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

Operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) workflows are highly data-intensive. Data volumes have increased by many orders of magnitude over the last 40 years, and are expected to continue to do so, especially given the upcoming…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2024-04-05 Nicolau Manubens , Simon D. Smart , Emanuele Danovaro , Tiago Quintino , Adrian Jackson

Artificial intelligence (AI)-based weather prediction research is growing rapidly and has shown to be competitive with the advanced dynamic numerical weather prediction models. However, research combining AI-based weather prediction models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-10-16 Shunji Kotsuki , Kenta Shiraishi , Atsushi Okazaki

All-day and all-weather navigation is a critical capability for autonomous driving, which requires proper reaction to varied environmental conditions and complex agent behaviors. Recently, with the rise of deep learning, end-to-end control…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2020-11-03 Peide Cai , Sukai Wang , Yuxiang Sun , Ming Liu