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This article derives prognostic expressions for the evolution of globally aggregated economic wealth, productivity, inflation, technological change, innovation and growth. The approach is to treat civilization as an open, non-equilibrium…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-02-03 Timothy J. Garrett

Climate change has become intertwined with the global economy. Here, we describe the importance of inertia to continued growth in energy consumption. Drawing from thermodynamic arguments, and using 38 years of available statistics between…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-11 Timothy J. Garrett , Matheus R. Grasselli , Stephen Keen

An axiomatic approach to macroeconomics based on the mathematical structure of thermodynamics is presented. It deduces relations between aggregate properties of an economy, concerning quantities and flows of goods and money, prices and the…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-06-18 N. J. Chater , R. S. MacKay

Once carbon emission neutrality and other sustainability goals have been achieved, a widespread assumption is that economic growth at current rates can be sustained beyond the 21st century. However, even if we achieve these goals, this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-12 Andreas M. Hein , Jean-Baptiste Rudelle

Inflationary models usually assume the existence of scalar fields or other exotic gravitational sources. We investigate an alternative approach in which the entire Universe is considered as a thermodynamic system described by…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2018-04-10 Christine Gruber , Hernando Quevedo

This study presents a computational and theoretical framework inspired by thermodynamic principles to analyze the dynamics of economic inflation within adiabatic and non-adiabatic systems. In a framework referred to as developmental…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-10-21 İdris Demir , Ali İhsan Keskin

The application of principles of thermodynamics and statistical mechanics to economic systems is considered in a broad historical perspective, extending from prehistoric times to the present day. The hypothesis of maximum entropy production…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Alastair D. Jenkins

We apply the concept of Rayleigh-Jeans thermalization of classical fields for a description of the world Gross Domestic Product (GDP) distribution over countries. The thermalization appears due to a variety of interactions between countries…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-09 Klaus M. Frahm , Dima L. Shepelyansky

For those concerned with the long-term value of their accounts, it can be a challenge to plan in the present for inflation-adjusted economic growth over coming decades. Here, I argue that there exists an economic constant that carries…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2012-11-14 Timothy J. Garrett

A thermodynamic approach to the description of economic systems and processes is developed. It is shown that there is a deep analogy between the parameters of thermodynamic and economic systems (markets); so each thermodynamic parameter can…

综合物理 · 物理学 2021-08-18 Sergey Rashkovskiy

The process of creating goods and services, measured by their value, is considered a process of creating complexity. This allows us to consider the production system as an open thermodynamic system, and to develop a simple heuristic model…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-24 Vladimir Pokrovskii

It is proven that there exist some universal relations between the energy gap and the differences of the thermodynamic potential, entropy, specific heat and critical magnetic field for many two- and three-dimensional models of…

超导电性 · 物理学 2015-06-24 R. Gonczarek , M. Krzyzosiak

The dependence of world GDP on current energy consumption and total energy produced over the previous period and materialized in the form of production infrastructure is studied. The dependence describes empirical data with high accuracy…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-06-16 Boris M. Dolgonosov

Nowadays, there is an increasing concern about the unsustainability of the take-make-dispose paradigm upon which traditional production and consumption systems are built. The concept of circular economy is gaining attention as a potential…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-11-21 Federico Zocco , Monica Malvezzi

Regardless of the gold-standard being considered as outdated, it provides valuable signs concerning the development of novel monetary standards, better adjusted to the current macroeconomic environment. By using a point of view of classical…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-01-18 Tiago Fernandes

A thermodynamic framework that predicts the thermal conductivity $\lambda$ of simple fluids beyond the dilute-gas limit is introduced. By generalizing the transition-rate approach of particles on a lattice to conserved quantities in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-12-03 Miguel Hoyuelos

Central to the official "green growth" discourse is the conjecture that absolute decoupling can be achieved with certain market instruments. This paper evaluates this claim focusing on the role of technology, while changes in GDP…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2019-05-06 Salvador Pueyo

We consider the relationship between economic activity and intervention, including monetary and fiscal policy, using a universal dynamic framework. Central bank policies are designed for growth without excess inflation. However,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-01-01 Yaneer Bar-Yam , Jean Langlois-Meurinne , Mari Kawakatsu , Rodolfo Garcia

Suppose that the early Universe starts with a quantum spacetime originated cosmological $\Lambda$-term at the Planck scale $M_{\rm pl}$. The cosmological energy density $\rho_{_{_\Lambda}}$ drives inflation and simultaneously reduces its…

广义相对论与量子宇宙学 · 物理学 2021-04-27 She-Sheng Xue

The Ward et al. (2016) Plos-One paper is an important, heavily-cited paper in the decoupling literature. The authors present evidence of 1990-2015 growth in material and energy consumption and GDP at a world level, and for selected…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-23 Hervé Bercegol , Paul E. Brockway
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