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Random-effects meta-analysis summarizes heterogeneous trials by estimating an average effect over the observed evidence base, which may not represent the clinically relevant target population. In cardiovascular medicine, treatment effects…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-22 Ibrahim Halil Tanboga

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

Weighting and trimming are popular methods for addressing positivity violations in causal inference. While well-studied with single-timepoint data, standard methods do not easily generalize to address non-baseline positivity violations in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-12 Alec McClean , Alexander W. Levis , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

The popularity of online surveys has increased the prominence of using weights that capture units' probabilities of inclusion for claims of representativeness. Yet, much uncertainty remains regarding how these weights should be employed in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-16 Luke W. Miratrix , Jasjeet S. Sekhon , Alexander G. Theodoridis , Luis F. Campos

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) in oncology often allow control group participants to crossover to experimental treatments, a practice that, while often ethically necessary, complicates the accurate estimation of long-term treatment…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-12 Harlan Campbell , Nicholas Latimer , Jeroen P Jansen , Shannon Cope

This article explores combinations of weighted bootstraps, like the Bayesian bootstrap, with the bootstrap $t$ method for setting approximate confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable in small samples. For this problem the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-21 Art B. Owen

Many treatment variables used in empirical applications nest multiple unobserved versions of a treatment. I show that instrumental variable (IV) estimands for the effect of a composite treatment are IV-specific weighted averages of effects…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2022-11-24 Clint Harris

We consider the problem of estimating the effects of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome of interest from observational data in the absence of confounding by unmeasured factors. We provide a new estimator of the population average…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 James Robins , Mariela Sued , Quanhong Lei-Gomez , Andrea Rotnitzky

Weight averaging is a widely used technique for accelerating training and improving the generalization of deep neural networks (DNNs). While existing approaches like stochastic weight averaging (SWA) rely on pre-set weighting schemes, they…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-11 Tao Li , Zhehao Huang , Yingwen Wu , Zhengbao He , Qinghua Tao , Xiaolin Huang , Chih-Jen Lin

In randomized experiments, regression adjustment can improve the precision of average treatment effect (ATE) estimation using covariates without requiring a correctly specified outcome model. Although well studied in low-dimensional…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Dogyoon Song

Online A/B tests have become increasingly popular and important for social platforms. However, accurately estimating the global average treatment effect (GATE) has proven to be challenging due to network interference, which violates the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-27 Qianyi Chen , Bo Li , Lu Deng , Yong Wang

In this paper, we propose a novel bootstrap algorithm that is more efficient than existing methods for approximating the distribution of the factor-augmented regression estimator for a rotated parameter vector. The regression is augmented…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Peiyun Jiang , Takashi Yamagata

A growing statistical literature focuses on causal inference in the context of experiments where the target of inference is the average treatment effect in a finite population and random assignment determines which subjects are allocated to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Donald P. Green

We consider the problem of estimating the average treatment effect (ATE) in a semi-supervised learning setting, where a very small proportion of the entire set of observations are labeled with the true outcome but features predictive of the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-27 David Cheng , Ashwin Ananthakrishnan , Tianxi Cai

Entropy estimation plays a crucial role in various fields, such as information theory, statistical data science, and machine learning. However, traditional entropy estimation methods often struggle with complex data distributions.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca

Large-sample Bayesian analogs exist for many frequentist methods, but are less well-known for the widely-used 'sandwich' or 'robust' variance estimates. We review existing approaches to Bayesian analogs of sandwich variance estimates and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-11-06 Kendrick Qijun Li , Kenneth Martin Rice

We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

Treatment effect estimates are often available from randomized controlled trials as a single average treatment effect for a certain patient population. Estimates of the conditional average treatment effect (CATE) are more useful for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-12 Wouter A. C. van Amsterdam , Rajesh Ranganath

Reliable causal effect estimation from observational data requires adjustment for confounding and sufficient overlap in covariate distributions between treatment groups. However, in high-dimensional settings, lack of overlap often inflates…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-21 Linying Yang , Robin J. Evans

Estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) plays an essential role in modern medicine by informing treatment decision-making at a patient level. Several metalearners have been proposed recently to estimate CATEs in an…

应用统计 · 统计学 2022-09-07 Yizhe Xu , Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Erik Sverdrup , Scott Fleming , Stefan Wager , Nigam Shah
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